ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.20.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Neutral to Bullish. Large bottoming tail on this timeframe but close of week still well below open of week.

DAILY - Neutral to Bearish. Some retracement of recent down move but no clearly established higher low, thus market still susceptible to more correction.

Good morning traders. In the last three issues of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader, we've illustrated broad market internal clues pointing to the growing possibility of a "V" shaped reversal. Each of these clues is still constructive for bulls.

The chart below adds to this thesis and details what more needs to occur for last week's reversal to finally be established.

First, the S&P 500 Index (B>SPX needs to close above the pivotal level of 1904.75 (blue line). The influence of this level is exemplified by points where price has found resistance and support so far this year (red arrows).

Second, follow through higher must continue to exhibit not only a rising advance decline line, but increasing volume that favors advancing issues.

The right side of the picture above zooms in on the last 18 weeks. The blue circles highlight how last week's SPX Advance-Decline Volume (green line) was very similar to that of the last "V" shaped bottom my moving only slightly lower when the week was said and done. This market action was then followed by higher prices (orange arrow) and an increasing SPX AD Volume line.

ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is looking for a repeat of this scenario during the next five trading days. Stay tuned.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16380.41+263.17+1.63%
S&P 500 Index1886.76+24.00+1.29%
Nasdaq Composite4258.43+41.047+0.97%
Nasdaq 1003815.47+50.18+1.33%
Russell 20001082.32-3.78-0.35%
Spot Gold1238.80-2.30-0.19%
Crude Oil82.10-0.46-0.56%
NYSE Overall Volume4,428,280Kn/a-12.05%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,216,600Kn/a-13.65%
NYSE Breadth3.06 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.85 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio75.37
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio64.92
NYSE Advancers/Decliners978
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-29
NYSE Trin0.63
Nasdaq Trin0.53
$VIX21.99-3.21
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1886.50 3819.75
Point of Control 1880.50 3811.25
Value Area Low 1875.00 3792.25
R3 1913.583895.83
R2 1902.673868.17
R1 1891.833836.08
Pivot 1880.923808.42
S1 1870.083776.33
S2 1859.173748.67
S3 1848.333716.58


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Friday. Of those that closed higher, five will trigger an overbought signal with another close higher today. These sectors are XBD, $DJUSIT, CEX, $DJUSRR, and SOX.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/20/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: AAPL, BRO, BXS, CE, CMG, FLS, GCI, GNC, GPC, HAL, HAS, HLX, HXL, IBM, ILMN, LII, MOVE, PKG, RCII, SAP, STLD, TXN, VFC, VRX, WHR, ZION


Tuesday - 10/21/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: ABG, ACC, ACE, AOS, APOL, ARMH, ATI, BRCM, CBST, CNI, CP, CREE, CSL, DFS, EAT, ETFC, FTI, HOG, ITW, KMB, KO, LMT, LPT, LXK, MAN, MCD, OMC, PNR, RAI, RHI, SBRA, SIX, SNV, SONC, TRV, UTX, VMW, VZ, WAT, XRS, YHOO


Wednesday - 10/22/14

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
08:35 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: ABB, ABT, ALB, APH, BA, BEAV, BIIB, BPOP, CA, CAKE, CLB, CLGX, CTXS, CVA, DOW, EFX, EMC, EVR, FTK, FTNT, GD, GM, GNTX, GRA, ICLR, IR, KNX, LEG, LHO, LL, LRCX, LUV, MDCO, MLNX, NOC, NOW, NSC, NTRS, NXPI, OC, ORLY, PII, R, RXN, SCSS, SEIC, SKX, SLG, SPG, SWK, T, TCBI, TMO, TSCO, USB, VAR, WYNN, YELP



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/20/14 - 10/24/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 30010/1739.02 n/a n/a 44.0037.45 open 39.030.01$3$11,706
  Etnered on move over descending trendline
SCTYlong 10010/1753.10 n/a n/a 62.5050.18 open 51.51(1.59)($159)$5,310
  Tightened stop on stock's pullback from entry
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
STXlong 12510/0957.2310/1353.7763.0054.25closed n/a(3.46)($433)$7,154
  Implemented 15 minute rule on opening gap down
SPYlong 35010/10190.5810/13189.6198.50188.55closed n/a(0.98)($343)$66,703
  Right or right out trade
TOTALS: 400 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $17,016

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/19/2014 10:10:45 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - SCTY Move the Stop
October 17, 2014
 
Company: Solar City Corp.  - (SCTY)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 53.10
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 50.18
Target: 62.50
 
Trade Explanation:  We are keeping a tight leash on today's long entries.  We've move the stop on SCTY up to 50.18 which is just under yesterday's shelf on the hourly chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/17/2014 2:13:50 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - SINA Buy the Stock
October 17, 2014
 
Company: Sina Corp. (SINA)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry price: 39.02
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 300
Stop: 37.45
Target: 44.00
 
Trade Explanation: We bought SINA on the move over the descending trendline on the daily chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/17/2014 9:45:18 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - SCTY Buy the Stock
October 17, 2014
 
Company: Solar City Corp.  - (SCTY)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 53.10
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 48.00
Target: 62.50
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought SCTY on a follow through off the lows and break of the descending trendline.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/17/2014 9:36:02 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.17.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Closing a very large body candle right at support lows, momentum on this timeframe should carry lower.

DAILY - Nuetral to Bullish. Value overlapping to up with Wednesday's low maintained.

Good morning traders. We've used the last two issues to point out the "green shoots" we've spotted following the markets strong price decline. Each one discussed is still intact as of yesterday's close.

Today we are adding to the list of subtle bullish signals with the chart below.

We've torn the Utilities Index (UTY)and the Dow Transportation Index ($DJX) out of the Dow Theory book and plotted them against the daily chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX).

It is very interesting to see that while the SPX (dark candle chart) was bottoming over the past two days, the $DJX (blue line) traded up near 4.0%. This could be interpreted as bullish since the $DJX has been known to lead the broad market.

While this divergence was taking place, UTY, often considered a defensive sector, traded lower.

If this and the other trends pointed out in the last two issues continue, a rally higher by the broad market could be stronger than initially anticipated.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16117.24-24.50-0.15%
S&P 500 Index1862.76+0.27+0.01%
Nasdaq Composite4217.39+2.07+0.05%
Nasdaq 1003765.28-20.69-0.55%
Russell 20001086.11+13.36+1.27%
Spot Gold1241.10-3.80-0.31%
Crude Oil82.56+0.74+0.90%
NYSE Overall Volume5,035,273Kn/a-16.94%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,567,007Kn/a-15.24%
NYSE Breadth1.56 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.49 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio60.90
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio59.87
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1297
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners894
NYSE Trin1.56
Nasdaq Trin1.35
$VIX25.20-1.05
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1863.00 3764.50
Point of Control 1851.00 3738.00
Value Area Low 1841.50 3725.50
R3 1919.583875.50
R2 1894.673831.00
R1 1872.583786.25
Pivot 1847.673741.75
S1 1825.583697.00
S2 1800.673652.50
S3 1778.583607.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Sixteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday while nine ended lower. $DJUSHC signaled an oversold reading by closing lower five consecutive days. No other sectors are overbought or oversold at this point.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/17/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:35 am EST - Janet Yellen Speaks
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: BK, CMA, GE, HON, KSU, MS, MTB, STI, TXT


Monday - 10/20/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: AAPL, BCC, BXS, CE, EWBC, FLS, GCI, GLF, GNC, GPC, HAL, HAS, HLX, HXL, IBM, IEX, ILMN, LII, MOVE, PKG, RCII, RCL, SAP, SBNY, STLD, TXN, VFC, VRX, WERN, WHR, ZION


Tuesday - 10/21/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: ACC, ACE, AMAG, AOS, APOL, ARMH, ATI, BRCM, BRO, CBST, CNI, CP, CREE, CSL, DFS, EAT, EFII, ETH, FTI, HOG, ITW, KMB, KO, LMT, LPT, LXK, MAN, MANH, MCD, OMC, PNR, RAI, RHI, SBRA, SIX, SNV, SONC, TRV, UTX, VMW, VZ, WAT, WCN, XRS, YHOO



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None $0.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
STXlong 12510/0957.2310/1353.7763.0054.25closed n/a(3.46)($433)$7,154
  Implemented 15 minute rule on opening gap down
SPYlong 35010/10190.5810/13189.6198.50188.55closed n/a(0.98)($343)$66,703
  Right or right out trade
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/17/2014 12:10:20 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.16.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Closing a very large body candle right at support lows, momentum on this timeframe should carry lower.

DAILY - Bearish . Breakaway value to the downside.

Good morning traders. In yesterday's issue, we posted the diverging NYSE new highs chart that is giving early indications of higher stock prices in the near future. As of yesterday's close, the NYSE new high chart maintained a higher low and it's bullish indication.

Today we are posting another "green shoot" on the landscape of leading technical indicators. Please observe the chart of NYSE Cumulative Advancers - Decliners (AD Line) below.

Yesterday, the S&P 500 Index (SPY) made a new low, while the AD Line did not end lower. This is another subtle clue the market is preparing to trade higher in the near term.

Now let's define the phrase "near term" using the chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) below.

"Near term", in this case, isn't defined so much by the length of time, but by the destination of SPX. There are two technical resistant points we see SPX moving to next.

The first is the horizontal line at 1904.78. Price has a history of reacting at this level as highlighted by blue circles. The second is the descending trendline (magenta) the all-time high. Yes, we anticipate a move back higher in the near term, but once SPX reaches either of these technical resistance points, we'll be looking to implement short positions.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16141.74-173.45-1.06%
S&P 500 Index1862.49-15.21-0.81%
Nasdaq Composite4215.31-11.85-0.28%
Nasdaq 1003785.97-24.47-0.64%
Russell 20001072.44+10.85+1.02%
Spot Gold1244.90+10.50+0.85%
Crude Oil81.82-0.01-0.01%
NYSE Overall Volume6,062,567Kn/a+27.20%
Nasdaq Overall Volume3,028,703Kn/a+22.50%
NYSE Breadth1.59 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.01 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio38.67
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio49.83
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-211
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners277
NYSE Trin1.39
Nasdaq Trin1.24
$VIX26.253.46
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1860.00 3785.00
Point of Control 1849.00 3747.50
Value Area Low 1835.50 3737.00
R3 1918.833902.58
R2 1890.923848.17
R1 1868.833800.08
Pivot 1840.923745.67
S1 1818.833697.58
S2 1790.923643.17
S3 1768.833595.08


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Eleven ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday while fourteen ended lower. XOI and DRG both signal an oversold reading by closing lower five consecutive days. No other sectors are overbought or oversold at this point.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/16/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
11:00 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
04:00 pm EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADS, ATHN, BAX, BBT, BHI, BX, CCK, COF, CPHD, CYT, DAL, DHR, DOV, FRC, GOOGL, GS, GWW, HLSS, MAT, NTCT, ORB, PM, PPG, PVTB, SLB, SNA, SNDK, SON, SYK, TSM, UNH, WAL, WBS, WGO, XLNX


Friday - 10/17/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:35 am EST - Janet Yellen Speaks
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: BK, CMA, GE, HON, KSU, MS, MTB, STI, TXT


Monday - 10/20/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: AAPL, AMGN, CE, CMG, EWBC, FLS, GCI, GLF, GNC, GPC, HAL, HAS, HLX, HXL, IBM, IEX, ILMN, LII, MOVE, PKG, RCII, RCL, RHI, SAP, SBNY, SEIC, STLD, TXN, VFC, VRX, WERN, WHR, ZION



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None $0.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
STXlong 12510/0957.2310/1353.7763.0054.25closed n/a(3.46)($433)$7,154
  Implemented 15 minute rule on opening gap down
SPYlong 35010/10190.5810/13189.6198.50188.55closed n/a(0.98)($343)$66,703
  Right or right out trade
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/15/2014 10:03:43 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.15.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Closing a very large body candle right at support lows, momentum on this timeframe should carry lower.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Double bottom low over last two days and value overlapping to down.

Good morning traders. After the close yesterday, we observed some subtle indications of higher stock prices in the near future. One of these "green shoots" is illustrated below.

The green line plots new daily highs (only) on the NYSE. We've circled three different times (blue) when this line made a higher low (HL) which was the first clue the S&P 500 Index (SPX) would reverse higher in coming days.

Fast forward to yesterday, and the same line came off a higher low and ended with the highest reading since the third week of September (red arrow). It may take a few more days of fits and starts, but if NYSE continues to see an increase in new highs, the market will have to trade higher, perhaps up to the descending trendline (orange) on the SPX chart.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16315.19-5.88-0.04%
S&P 500 Index1877.70+2.96+0.16%
Nasdaq Composite4227.17+13.51+0.32%
Nasdaq 1003810.45+2.45+0.06%
Russell 20001061.60+12.30+1.17%
Spot Gold1234.40-1.47-0.12%
Crude Oil81.83-3.91-4.56%
NYSE Overall Volume4,766,129Kn/a+10.41%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,472,458Kn/a+1.61%
NYSE Breadth1.74 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.04 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio63.52
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio67.08
NYSE Advancers/Decliners675
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners609
NYSE Trin0.89
Nasdaq Trin0.78
$VIX22.79-1.85
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1883.75 3832.00
Point of Control 1874.75 3810.00
Value Area Low 1870.75 3800.00
R3 1917.753905.08
R2 1905.253878.92
R1 1890.003845.33
Pivot 1877.503819.17
S1 1862.253785.58
S2 1849.753759.42
S3 1834.503725.83


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. Of the six sectors that closed lower, five were down for the fourth consecutive day. These sectors included XNG, XOI, OSX, $DJUSHC, and DRG. Our oversold signal triggers when a sector has closed lower five consecutive days.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/15/2014

08:30 am EST - PPI-FD
08:30 pm EST - Retail Sales
08:30 am EST - Emppire State Mfg Survey
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
02:00 pm EST - Beige Book
Reporting earnings today: ASML, AXP, BLK, CBSH, EBAY, EPB, KMI, KMP, LVS, NFLX, PNC, SCHW, STJ, URI


Thursday - 10/16/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
11:00 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
04:00 pm EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADS, ATHN, BAX, BBT, BHI, BX, CCK, COF, CPHD, CYT, DAL, DHR, DOV, FRC, GOOGL, GS, GWW, MAT, NTCT, PM, PPG, PVTB, SLB, SNDK, SYK, TSM, UNH, WBS, XLNX


Friday - 10/17/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:35 am EST - Janet Yellen Speaks
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: BK, CMA, GE, HON, KSU, MS, MTB, STI, TXT



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None $0.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
STXlong 12510/0957.2310/1353.7763.0054.25closed n/a(3.46)($433)$7,154
  Implemented 15 minute rule on opening gap down
SPYlong 35010/10190.5810/13189.6198.50188.55closed n/a(0.98)($343)$66,703
  Right or right out trade
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/15/2014 12:03:19 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.14.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Closing a very large body candle right at support lows, momentum on this timeframe should carry lower.

DAILY - Bearish. Market continues lower albeit quite oversold in the short term.

Good morning traders. The chart below illustrates ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader's S&P 500 Index (SPX) downside target for the month of October.

The yellow shaded circle highlights the intersection of the prior swing low (blue dashed line) and bottom of the ascending channel on the weekly chart. Yesterday, price closed well below the 50.0% line (red dashed). A close below the 50.0% line is generally thought to be an indication that price will reach the bottom of the channel before the next successful move back to the top of the channel.

No doubt there will be oversold rallies along the way, but with current downside momentum, SPX has the strong potential to trade another 60.0 points lower within the next two weeks.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16321.07-223.03-1.35%
S&P 500 Index1874.74-31.39-1.65%
Nasdaq Composite4213.65-62.58-1.46%
Nasdaq 1003807.99-62.85-1.62%
Russell 20001049.30-4.02-0.38%
Spot Gold1235.87+12.71+1.04%
Crude Oil85.74-0.08-0.09%
NYSE Overall Volume4,316,568Kn/a-4.82%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,433,294Kn/a-11.52%
NYSE Breadth3.08 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth3.07 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio24.48
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio24.57
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1116
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-355
NYSE Trin1.43
Nasdaq Trin2.34
$VIX24.643.40
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1903.00 3858.00
Point of Control 1894.00 3823.00
Value Area Low 1885.50 3801.50
R3 1930.673941.92
R2 1918.333913.83
R1 1891.923856.17
Pivot 1879.583828.08
S1 1853.173770.42
S2 1840.833742.33
S3 1814.423684.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty three of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Monday. The two sectors that ended higher were GOX and UTY. XALremained oversold with its sixth consecutive lower close. The broad market has also flagged an oversold reading via our individual sector tracking.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/14/14

No economic data scheduled for release.
Reporting earnings today: C, CSX, DPZ, INTC,   JBHT,  JNJ, JPM,  KMP,  KMR, LLTC, WFC, WWW


Wednesday - 10/15/2014

08:30 am EST - PPI-FD
08:30 pm EST - Retail Sales
08:30 am EST - Emppire State Mfg Survey
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
02:00 pm EST - Beige Book
Reporting earnings today: ASML, AXP, BLK, EBAY,   EPB, KMI,  LVS, NFLX,   PNC, SCHW, STJ, URI  


Thursday - 10/16/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
11:00 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
04:00 pm EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADS, ATHN, BAX, BBT,  BHI,  BX, CCK, COF, CYT, DAL,  DHR,  DOV,  FRC,  GOOGL, GS, GWW, MAT, NTCT, PM, PPG, SLB,  SNDK, SON, SYK, UNH, WBS,  XLNX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None $0.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/12/14 - 10/16/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
STXlong 12510/0957.2310/1353.7763.0054.25closed n/a(3.46)($433)$7,154
  Implemented 15 minute rule on opening gap down
SPYlong 35010/10190.5810/13189.6198.50188.55closed n/a(0.98)($343)$66,703
  Right or right out trade
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/13/2014 9:27:11 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - STX Sell the Stock
October 13, 2014
 
Company: Seagate Technology  - (STX)
Action: Sell the Stop
Entry Price: 57.23
Shares: 125
Exit Price: 53.77
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  We sold STX and are now flat the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/13/2014 10:08:59 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - SPY Sell the Stock
 
October 13, 2014
 
Company: S&P 500 Index SPDR Trust  - (SPY)
 
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 190.55
Shares: 350
Exit Price: 189.60
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  We have sold our SPY shares as the broad market has undercut Friday's low.  We are now flat SPY
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/13/2014 9:55:54 AM | 0 Comments