ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - NSR Buy the Stock
 
October 31, 2014
 
Company: Nuestar, Inc. - (NSR)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 27.02
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 25.08
Target: 30
 
Trade Explanation: We have bought NSR on this mornings breakout from the cup & handle patterrn on the daily chart.  This setup was illustrated in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/31/2014 9:36:30 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - LNKD Buy the Stock
 
October 31, 2014
 
Company: LinkedIn Corp. - (LNKD)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 227.88
Shares: 75
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 210.00
Target: 253.00 
Trade Explanation: We have bought LNKD on this breakout from a clear cup & handle patterrn onthe daily chart spanning from  1/16/2014 to yesterday.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/31/2014 9:33:31 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.31.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of range on this timeframe which has rallied market well past a 61.80% retracement of the recent down move as measured from the all time high to the swing low on 10/15.

DAILY - Bullish. Market continues to one timeframe higher with complete lack of meaningful liquidation breaks.

Good morning traders. We've been waiting patiently for Nuestar, Inc. (NSR) to report earnings. The company did that last evening, but did not trade after hours, so it is not clear how the market will react to the new information. However, from a technical perspective, we're looking for the stock to trade higher. Please observe the chart below.

The blue lines illustrate a cup & handle pattern formed by NSR over the past eight months. The higher low is noted to underscore the fact that the handle portion of the pattern (descending blue lines) did not undercut the bottom of the cup which is labeled "Low" which otherwise would have negated the bullish pattern.

The better than expected forward guidance provided by NSR last evening may be the catalyst the stock needs to breakout and trade up to the top of the cup around 30.00 (magenta line).

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17195.42+221.11+1.30%
S&P 500 Index1994.65+12.35+0.62%
Nasdaq Composite4566.13+16.91+0.37%
Nasdaq 1004100.63+10.08+0.25%
Russell 20001155.77+9.40+0.82%
Spot Gold1198.60-26.3-2.15%
Crude Oil81.06-1.18-1.43%
NYSE Overall Volume3,613,080Kn/a-1.85%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,009,452Kn/a-6.75%
NYSE Breadth1.68 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.18 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio62.73
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio54.11
NYSE Advancers/Decliners847
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners645
NYSE Trin1.04
Nasdaq Trin1.41
$VIX14.52-0.63
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1990.75 4086.00
Point of Control 1988.75 4082.00
Value Area Low 1974.75 4058.50
R3 2025.424153.50
R2 2009.834128.00
R1 1999.174108.75
Pivot 1983.584083.25
S1 1972.924064.00
S2 1957.334038.50
S3 1946.674019.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Thursday with fourteen closing higher and eleven ending loower. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/31/2014

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: AON, ABBV, BUD, CBOE, CLX, COL, COMM, CVX, D, EC, HLT, HPY, ITT, LM, MMP, MSG, NEE, NWL, OSK, PNM, PNW, POM, SPR, TDS, WY, XOM


Monday - 11/03/2014

Motor Vehicle Sales
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index 10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
Reporting earnings today: AGU, AIG, APL, AUXL, CFN, CHD, CNVR, CTRP, CVD, CYH, CYOU, EEP, FANG, GAS, HLF, HNT, ISIS, KND, KRG, L, LBTYA, LCI, MDU, MRO, RIG, RKT, RLJ, SALE, SBRA, SGY, SNH, SOHU, SYKE, SYY, TDW, THC, TWTC, TXRH, VNO


Tuesday - 11/04/14

08:30 am EST - International Trade
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: ACAD, ADM, AER, AFSI, AWAY, AXLL, BABA, BDX, BKD, BKW, CBSO, CLNY, CNQR, CVS, DISCA, DISH, DOX, DVN, EL, EMR, EOG, ETR, EXH, EXPD, FE, FEYE, FOXA, HCLP, HCN, HCP, HMSY, HR, ICE, IP, JAZZ, KORS, LINE, LMCA, LNCO, MSI, MYGN, NCT, NGLS, NNN, OAS, OKE, OKS, PCLN, PCYC, PPL, PXD, QVCA, RCPT, REGN, ROSE, SBAC, SCTY, SRE, TIME, TMH, TNET, TRIP, TRP, TSU, TX, VLO, VMC, VSI, WLK, WNR, WTR, XEC, ZTS, ZU



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
NSR 26.08 25.08 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/30/2014 11:28:39 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.30.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of range on this timeframe which has rallied market well past a 61.80% retracement of the recent down move as measured from the all time high to the swing low on 10/15.

DAILY - Bullish. Still one-timeframing since 10/16 and vulnerable to liquidation breaks, but took end of QE3 in stride.

Good morning traders. Of the four trade ideas listed in today's Bulls and Bears section, we think Monsanto Co. (MON), Ownes Ill, Inc. (OI), and Meritage Homes Corp. (MTH) are particularly vulnerable to lower stock prices on any broad market weakness following yesterday's FOMC announcement.

The setup in MON is illustrated below.

MON popped its head outside of the descending channel, but has been unable to sustain any follow through higher. Yesterday's price action shut off buyers after the stock put in a feeble lower high.

The weak price action of MON versus the broad market over the past six trading days has created a very manageable short trade structure with an entry just under yesterday's low and a protective stop placed just above yesterday's high. The target 104.10 is near the prior low of 02/03/14.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16974.31-31.44-0.18%
S&P 500 Index1982.30-2.75-0.14%
Nasdaq Composite4549.22-15.06-0.33%
Nasdaq 1004090.55-16.07-0.39%
Russell 20001146.36-3.08-0.27%
Spot Gold1224.90-4.40-0.36%
Crude Oil82.24+0.90+1.11%
NYSE Overall Volume3,681,078Kn/a+2.50%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,154,823Kn/a+12.38%
NYSE Breadth1.60 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.41 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio38.40
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio41.47
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-434
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-182
NYSE Trin1.21
Nasdaq Trin1.23
$VIX15.150.76
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1983.50 4087.75
Point of Control 1975.50 4083.25
Value Area Low 1971.50 4069.25
R3 2008.424135.58
R2 1997.084115.92
R1 1984.674094.08
Pivot 1973.334074.42
S1 1960.924052.58
S2 1949.584032.92
S3 1937.174011.08


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Wednesday, eliminating the threat of an overbought market. However SOX did close higher for a fifth consecutive day yesterday which triggered an overbought signal.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/30/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:00 am EST - Janet Yellen speaks
Reporting earnings today: ABC, ACOR, AEGR, AIV, ALLE, AMT, APD,  APO, ATK, BG, BLL,   BRFS, BTE, BWA,  BYI, CAH, CCI, CI, CME, COP,  CPT, CRR, CTRX, DBD, DFT, EGN, EMES, EMN, EPD,  ESV,  EXPE, FIS, FLR,  FLT, GBX, GDOT, GG, GMED, GNC, GOV, GPRO, GTLS, HAR, HST, IMPV, INCY, INGR, IRM, ITC, IVZ, JCI,  K, KMT, LKQ, LLL, LNKD,   LPLA, LYV, MA, MCHP, MD, MDC, MELI, MGM, MHK, MO, MOH, MOS,  MPC,  MSCI, MTZ, MYL, NEM,  NI, NOV,   OCN, ODFL,   OIS, PBF, PBI,  PCRX, PEG, PKI, RGLD, RSG, SBUX,   SCG, SGEN, STAG, STRZA, TEVA, THRM,  TPX, TRI, TRMB, TSO, TWC, UPL,  VNTV, XEL


Friday - 10/31/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, AON, BUD, CHTR, CLX, COL, COMM, CVX, D, EC, HLT, ITT, LM, MMP, MSG, NEE, NWL, OSK,  PNW, POM, SPR,  TDS, WY, XOM  


Monday - 11/03/2014

Motor Vehicle Sales
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index 10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
Reporting earnings today: AGU, AIG, AUXL, CFN, CHD, CSOD, CTRP, CXW, CYH, EEP, FANG, GAS, HLF,  HNT, IRF, ISIS, KND, KRG, L, LBTYA, LCI, MDU, MRO,  NNN, PL, RCPT, RIG, RKT, RLJ, SBRA, SGY, SNH, SYY, TDW, THC, TWTC, VNO



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
MON 111.55 114.30 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
MTH 36.05 38.45 Looking for follow through lower after disappointing earnings
OI 23.37 24.87 Undercut prior swing low, target 20.80
HXL 40.95 41.45 Looking for reversal at descending trendline

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/30/2014 12:02:21 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.29.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of range on this timeframe which has rallied market well past a 61.80% retracement of the recent down move as measured from the all time high to the swing low on 10/15.

DAILY - Bullish and still overbought on this timeframe. Very important FOMC announcement of the end of QE3 happening today. If market does not suffer large pullback on this news, expect bullishness to continue to retest all time highs.

Good morning traders. ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader tracks a number of internal indicators on the daily and weekly time frames. Outside of the NASDAQ Cumulative AD Line that was posted in yesterday's issue, it is no exaggeration to state that no other indicators are reflecting anything remotely bearish.

However, everything is subject to change with today's FOMC announcement at 02:00 pm EST.

It has been a while since we've posted ShadowTrader's proprietary tracking of broad market money flow (MF), so here is the chart as of yesterday's close.

The green oval highlights the all-time high on the S&P 500 Index (SPY) and the level of MF at that time. The blue oval circles yesterday's surge higher in MF which brought it very close to the level it was at when SPY was at the all-time high.

Beyond the unknown of today's FOMC announcement, there is not much standing in the way of higher stock prices into the end of 2014.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17005.75+187.81+1.12%
S&P 500 Index1985.05+23.42+1.19%
Nasdaq Composite4564.29+78.36+1.75%
Nasdaq 1004106.62+60.61+1.50%
Russell 20001149.45+31.98+2.86%
Spot Gold1229.300.000.00%
Crude Oil81.34+0.41+0.51%
NYSE Overall Volume3,59,1315Kn/a+3.45%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,917,453Kn/a+23.23%
NYSE Breadth6.58 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth6.73 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio86.82
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio87.06
NYSE Advancers/Decliners2101
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners1588
NYSE Trin0.79
Nasdaq Trin0.59
$VIX14.39-1.65
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1970.75 4085.75
Point of Control 1966.25 4072.25
Value Area Low 1962.25 4063.75
R3 2002.584157.92
R2 1990.674128.83
R1 1985.334111.42
Pivot 1973.424082.33
S1 1968.084064.92
S2 1956.174035.83
S3 1950.834018.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty three of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. The two sectors that closed lower were $DJUSCA and DRG. Nine sectors have closed higher four consecutive days. A fifth consecutive close higher today will trigger an overbought signal. These sectors are $DJUSIT, $DJUSRE, XAL, $DJUSHC, SOX, XTC, TOB, BTK, and $DJSINS.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/29/2014

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ACHC, ACMP, ADP, AEM, AIZ, AKAM, ALKS, ALL, ALLY, ARII, ARRS, ARW, ASGN, AXS, BAH, BIDU, BMR, CAR, CAVM, CBG, CENX, CNW, CRUS, DB, DRIV, DWA, EQIX, EQY, ETN, EXC, FBHS, FFIV, FLTX, FMC, FNF, FSLR, GRMN, GT, H, HBI, HES, HOS, HSY, IACI, KRFT, KS, LNC, MASI, MDAS, MEOH, MET, MHFI, MTGE, MTH, MUR, NCLH, NE, O, OII, PAG, PPC, PRXL, PSX, PX, QGEN, RGR, RJF, RL, RRC, RYAM, SCI, SEE, SFLY, SLCA, SO, SODA, SPN, SPW, SPWR, STO, STR, SU, TEL, TEX, TOT, TTWO, UNM, V, VECO, VGR, VPRT, WEC, WLL, WLP, WM, WMB, WPZ, WTW, XRAY


Thursday - 10/30/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:00 am EST - Janet Yellen speaks
Reporting earnings today: ABC, ACOR, AEGR, AIV, ALLE, AMT, APD, APO, BG, BLL, BRFS, BTE, BWA, CAH, CBD, CCI, CDW, CI, CME, COP, CRR, CTRX, CUBE, CVI, DFT, EGN, EMES, EMN, EPD, ESV, EXPE, FIS, FLR, FLT, GBX, GDOT, GEL, GG, GMED, GNC, GPRO, GTLS, HAR, HST, IDCC, INCY, INGR, IRM, ITC, IVZ, JCI, K, KMT, LKQ, LLL, LNKD, LPLA, LYV, MA, MCHP, MD, MDC, MELI, MGM, MO, MOH, MOS, MPC, MSCI, MTZ, MYL, NCT, NEM, NI, NOV, NSR, OIS, PBF, PBI, PEG, PKI, RGLD, RSG, SBUX, SCG, SGEN, SNN, STRZA, TEVA, THRM, TPX, TRI, TRMB, TSO, TWC, UPL, VNTV, XEL


Friday - 10/31/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, AON, BUD, CHTR, CLX, COL, COMM, CVX, D, DORM, EC, HLT, ITT, LM, MMP, MSG, NEE, NS, NWL, PNM, PNW, POM, SPR, TDS, WY, XOM



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/28/2014 10:07:20 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.28.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of range on this timeframe which has rallied market well past a 61.80% retracement of the recent down move as measured from the all time high to the swing low on 10/15.

DAILY - Bullish to neutral. Balancing day on Monday, market may be in "pause" mode ahead of very important FOMC announcement on Wednesday.

Good morning traders. The Health Care Sector ($DJUSHC) continues to lead the broad market. Healthcare Information Services provider Veeva Systems, Inc. VEEV is listed as a long trade idea in today's Bulls and Bears section. Please observe the chart below.

Seven trading days ago, VEEV broke out of the "handle" portion of the cup & handle pattern outlined in blue on the daily chart.

After the initial thrust higher, the stock spent three days trading sideways to lower. Any bearish hope of a follow through back lower was scuttled by yesterday's "seller shut off" price action. This also provides bulls with another opportunity to enter a long trade or add to an existing position on a move over yesterday's high.

VEEV will most likely experience some resistance around 31.65 giving traders the opportunity to lock in some profit. However, once this level is surpassed, the stock should not be encumbered by much resistance up to the prior high of 39.80.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16817.94+12.53+0.07%
S&P 500 Index1961.63-2.95-0.15%
Nasdaq Composite4485.93+2.21+0.05%
Nasdaq 1004046.01+3.99+0.10%
Russell 20001117.47-1.35-0.12%
Spot Gold1229.30-2.50-0.20%
Crude Oil80.93-0.10-0.12%
NYSE Overall Volume3,471,523Kn/a+14.35%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,556,018Kn/a-10.41%
NYSE Breadth1.92 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.15 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio34.19
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio53.45
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-431
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-144
NYSE Trin1.45
Nasdaq Trin0.78
$VIX16.04-0.07
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1956.50 4040.00
Point of Control 1955.50 4032.75
Value Area Low 1950.50 4027.00
R3 1977.004087.42
R2 1968.004066.08
R1 1962.504052.17
Pivot 1953.504030.83
S1 1948.004016.92
S2 1939.003995.58
S3 1933.503981.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Monday. Eleven closed higher while fourteen sectors ended lower. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/28/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
09:00 am EST - S&P Case Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AEGR, AET, AFL, AGCO, ALR, AME, AMP, AMTD, AN, APC, AZPN, BP, BXP, BYI, CBT, CHRW, CIT, CMI, CNC, CNL, CNX, COH, CSC, CVLT, DD, DLR, EA, ECL, EIX, EQR, ESRX, EXP, FB, FCX, FISV, GILD, GLPI, GPRE, HCA, HCC, HOT, HRS, ICON, INVN, KIM, LH, LVLT, MAC, MAR, MCK, MLM, MMC, MSM, MWV, NBL, NFX, NVS, OI, PCAR, PCG, PFE, PH, POR, SAVE, SHW, SKT, SM, SNCR, ST, SWI, TKR, TRN, TRW, TSS, UDR, UTHR, VRTX, WAB, WDC, WDR, WHR, WYNN, X, XYL


Wednesday - 10/29/2014

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ACMP, ADP, AEM, AKAM, ALKS, ALL, ALLY, ARRS, BIDU, BMR, CAR, CBG, CENX, CNW, CRUS, DB, DRIV, DWA, EQIX, ETN, EXC, EXR, FBHS, FFIV, FMC, FNF, FSLR, GRMN, GT, HBI, HES, HOS, HSY, IACI, KRFT, KS, LNC, MASI, MEOH, MET, MHFI, MUR, NE, NU, O, OII, PAG, PPC, PSX, PX, QGEN, RL, RRC, RYAM, SCI, SEE, SFLY, SLCA, SO, SODA, SPN, SPW, SPWR, STO, STR, SU, TEL, TEX, TOT, TTWO, UNM, V, WEC, WLL, WLP, WM, WMB, WPZ, WTW, XRAY


Thursday - 10/30/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:00 am EST - Janet Yellen speaks
Reporting earnings today: ABC, AIV, ALLE, AMT, APD, BG, BLL, BRFS, BTE, BWA, CAH, CBD, CCI, CI, CME, COP, CPT, CRR, CTRX, CUBE, CVI, DBD, EGN, EMES, EMN, EPD, ESV, EXPE, FIS, FLR, GBX, GG, GNC, GOV, GPRO, GTLS, HAR, HST, IMPV, INCY, INGR, IRM, ITC, IVZ, JCI, K, KMT, LKQ, LLL, LNKD, LPLA, LYV, MA, MCHP, MDC, MELI, MGM, MO, MOS, MPC, MTZ, MYL, NCT, NEM, NI, NOV, NSR, OIS, PBF, PBI, PEG, PKI, PSA, PWR, RGLD, RSG, SBUX, SGEN, STRZA, TEVA, THRM, TLLP, TPX, TRI, TRMB, TSO, TWC, UPL, VNTV, XEL



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
VEEV 29.02 27.02 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
HRS 67.40-68.00 70.00 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
UTX 105.00 108.00 Entry at descending trendline from 6/9/14 high
BC 47.00-47.69 49.35 Anticipating reversal at top of one year trading range

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/27/2014 9:12:26 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.27.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of range on this timeframe which has rallied market well past a 61.80% retracement of the recent down move as measured from the all time high to the swing low on 10/15.

DAILY - Bullish but overbought. Market has rallied for a number of days straight without pause. A pullback to a higher low would be a healthy pause for the market before moving back upwards.

Good morning traders. In the 10/16/14 issue of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader we posted the turn by the cumulative NYSE AD Line that was a leading indication the broad market pullback had bottomed. The chart below updates the status of the NYSE AD Line as of Friday's close.

NYSE AD Line has recovered the prior swing low of early August (blue dashed line) and is in decent shape.

The cumulative AD Line that has us more concerned is that of the NASDAQ which is pictured below.

Although the NASDAQ 100 Index (QQQ) is within range of September highs, the cumulative NASDAQ AD Line has not recovered its prior swing low and is in fact at a much lower reading than it previously was when QQQ was at current price levels. The blue ovals highlight this divergence.

This condition is not sustainable. If it continues, the most likely scenario is another pullback by the NASDAQ 100 Index.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16805.41+127.51+0.76%
S&P 500 Index1964.58+13.76+0.71%
Nasdaq Composite4483.71+30.92+0.69%
Nasdaq 1004042.01+29.74+0.74%
Russell 20001118.82+2.34+0.21%
Spot Gold1231.80-13.70-1.10%
Crude Oil81.03+0.51+0.63%
NYSE Overall Volume3,035,888Kn/a-18.31%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,736,871Kn/a-10.74%
NYSE Breadth2.04 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.23 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio67.09
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio69.02
NYSE Advancers/Decliners752
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners328
NYSE Trin0.81
Nasdaq Trin0.58
$VIX16.11-0.42
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1956.25 4024.75
Point of Control 1953.75 4015.75
Value Area Low 1945.25 4007.25
R3 1986.584092.83
R2 1972.924064.92
R1 1966.334049.83
Pivot 1952.674021.92
S1 1946.084006.83
S2 1932.423978.92
S3 1925.833963.83


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Eighteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Friday. Three sectors extended their overbought status by closing higher for the sixth consecutive day. These sectors are UTY, $DJUSHB, and DRG.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/27/14

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AGN, AGNC, ALSN, AMGN, AWI, BEN, BWLD, CGNX, DRC, EXAS, GGP, HIG, HUN, MAS, MRK, OHI, OMI, PCL, PCYC, RGC, ROP, SCCO, STX, TEN, TMUS, TWTR, UHS, WUBA, XL


Tuesday - 10/28/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
09:00 am EST - S&P Case Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AEGR, AET, AFL, AGCO, AME, AMP, AMTD, AN, APC, AZPN, BP, BXP, CHRW, CIT, CMI, CNC, CNX, COH, CSC, CVLT, DD, DLR, EA, ECL, EIX, EQR, ESRX, FB, FCX, FISV, GILD, GPRE, HCA, HOT, ICON, INVN, KIM, LVLT, MAC, MAR, MCK, MLM, MMC, MSM, MWV, NBL, NFX, NVS, OI, PCAR, PCG, PFE, PH, PNRA, POR, SAVE, SKT, SM, SNCR, ST, TRN, TRW, TSS, UDR, VRTX, WDC, WHR, WSH, WYNN, X, XYL


Wednesday - 10/29/2014

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ADP, AEM, AKAM, ALKS, ALL, ALLY, ARRS, BIDU, BMR, CAR, CAVM, CBG, CENX, CNW, CRUS, DB, DRIV, DWA, EQIX, ETN, EXC, EXR, FBHS, FFIV, FMC, FNF, FSLR, GRMN, GT, HES, HSY, IACI, KRFT, LNC, MEOH, MET, MHFI, MUR, NE, NU, O, OII, PPC, PSX, PX, QGEN, RL, RRC, RYAM, SCI, SEE, SFLY, SLCA, SO, SODA, SPN, SPWR, STO, STR, SU, TEL, TEX, TOT, TTWO, UNM, V, WEC, WLL, WLP, WM, WMB, WPZ, WTW, XRAY



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
HRS 67.40-68.00 70.00 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/27/14 - 10/31/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None (0)
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/20/14 - 10/24/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 30010/1739.0210/2140.0844.0037.45closed n/a1.06$318$11,706
 
SCTYlong 10010/1753.1010/2154.762.5050.18closed n/a1.6$160$5,310
 
MWVshort 50010/2141.9010/2142.0237.0042.90closed n/a(0.12)($60)$20,950
  Cut trade on break of descnending trendline at strength at day's highs
LVLTshot 35010/2142.3910/2242.5137.7542.51closed n/a(0.12)($42)$14,837
  Trailing stop hit
ADBEshort 30010/2165.6310/2365.9158.6067.30closed n/a(0.28)($84)$19,689
  Cut trade on continuation higher
AXPshort 12510/2185.0810/2385.378.5085.30closed n/a(0.22)($28)$10,635
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/26/2014 9:11:27 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 10.24.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bearish to Neutral. Market closed on lows after making all time highs in this monthly bar.

WEEKLY - Neutral to Bullish. Large bottoming tail on this timeframe but close of week still well below open of week.

DAILY - Bullish. Market crossed downtrend line and is holding thus far.

Good morning traders. How low could Amazon.com, Inc. go after last evenings disappointing earnings? Let's take a look at the chart below.

The horizontal magenta line at 272.50 marks the after hours (AH) low. By 8:00 pm, the stock ended slightly higher at 279.80 (blue line).

Those involved in the trade should look for the lower of last evening's after hours session, or today's pre market trade, to support today's regular trading hours price. If this does not occur and AMZN undercuts the lowest extended session price, we'll look for the stock to be absorbed down into the prior trading range (red circle) and ultimately work its way down to 245.25 (red line).

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16677.90+216.58+1.32%
S&P 500 Index1950.82+23.71+1.23%
Nasdaq Composite4452.79+69.94+1.60%
Nasdaq 1004012.26+62.68+1.59%
Russell 20001116.4819.611.79%
Spot Gold1229.20-16.30-1.31%
Crude Oil82.05+1.53+1.90%
NYSE Overall Volume3,744,212Kn/a+0.75%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,919,486Kn/a-1.35%
NYSE Breadth3.46 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth6.18 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio77.59
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio86.07
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1708
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners1224
NYSE Trin0.99
Nasdaq Trin0.44
$VIX16.53-1.34
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1950.25 4013.50
Point of Control 1945.25 4007.00
Value Area Low 1942.75 3997.50
R3 1975.084078.42
R2 1965.674051.58
R1 1955.834028.42
Pivot 1946.424001.58
S1 1936.583978.42
S2 1927.173951.58
S3 1917.333928.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty four of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday. The only sector to close lower was CEX. Three sectors closed higher for the fifth consecutive day which puts them in the overbought category. These sectors are UTY, $DJUSHB, and DRG.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 10/24/2014

10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: AAN, AVY, BMY, CL, COG, DLPH, DTE, EDU, FET, FLIR, IDXX, IMS, LEA, LPNT, LYB, MCO, NDAQ, OCR, OFC, PG, STT, SXC, UPS, VTR, WBC, WYN


Monday - 10/27/14

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AGN, AGNC, ALKS, ALSN, AMGN, AVB, AWI, BEN, BKW, BWLD, DRC, EMES, EXAS, GGP, GPRE, HIG, HUN, MAS, MRK, NCLH, OHI, OMI, PCL, PCYC, RYN, SCCO, SCI, SHPG, STX, SYA, TEN, TMUS, TWTR, UHS, WUBA, XL


Tuesday - 10/28/2014

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
09:00 am EST - S&P Case Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AEGR, AET, AFL, AGCO, AJG, AME, AMP, AMTD, AN, APC, AZPN, BP, BXP, BYI, CHMT, CHRW, CIT, CMI, CNC, CNL, CNX, COH, CSC, CVLT, DD, DLR, EA, ECL, EIX, EQR, ESRX, EXP, FB, FCX, FISV, GAS, GILD, GLPI, HOT, ICON, INVN, KIM, LH, LVLT, MAR, MCK, MLM, MMC, MWV, NBL, NFX, NVS, OI, PCAR, PCG, PFE, PH, PNRA, POR, SAVE, SHW, SKT, SM, SNCR, ST, STE, SWI, TKR, TRN, TRW, TSS, UDR, UTHR, VGR, VRTX, WAB, WDC, WDR, WHR, WSH, X, XYL



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 10/20/14 - 10/24/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None (0)
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 10/20/14 - 10/24/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 30010/1739.0210/2140.0844.0037.45closed n/a1.06$318$11,706
 
SCTYlong 10010/1753.1010/2154.762.5050.18closed n/a1.6$160$5,310
 
MWVshort 50010/2141.9010/2142.0237.0042.90closed n/a(0.12)($60)$20,950
  Cut trade on break of descnending trendline at strength at day's highs
LVLTshot 35010/2142.3910/2242.5137.7542.51closed n/a(0.12)($42)$14,837
  Trailing stop hit
ADBEshort 30010/2165.6310/2365.9158.6067.30closed n/a(0.28)($84)$19,689
  Cut trade on continuation higher
AXPshort 12510/2185.0810/2385.378.5085.30closed n/a(0.22)($28)$10,635
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/24/2014 1:07:25 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AXP Trailing Stop Hit
October 23, 2014
 
Company: American Express Co. - (AXP)
Action: Trailing Stop Hit
Entry Price: 85.08
Shares: 125
Exit Price: 85.30
Stop: 85.30
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our trailing stop on AXP was hit.  We are now flat the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/23/2014 10:49:43 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AXP Move the Stop
 
October 23, 2014
 
Company: American Express Co. - (AXP)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 85.08
Shares: 125
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 85.30
Target: 78.50
 
Trade Explanation:  We have moved our stop on AXP to 85.30 which is just over today's high.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 10/23/2014 10:14:45 AM | 0 Comments