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ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.27.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Expansion of range on this timeframe and within striking distance of all time highs.

DAILY - Bearish. Continued price exploration downward with close below prior day's low after entry back into prior day's range.

Good morning traders. In the March 6th issue of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader, we pointed out how the Dow Jones Transportation Index (DTX) had not confirmed the new high recently made by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX). Per the Dow Theory, the new high made by DJX was not necessarily a bullish signal unless DTX also made a new high.

Let's fast forward to yesterday's close and check back in with the Dow Theory on the chart below.

The red circles highlight the point referenced in the March 6th issue when we were watching DTX for bullish confirmation of the new high made by DJX. Unfortunately for bulls, the confirmation never occurred.

Now the tables have turned where both DJX and DTX have made lower highs, and DJX has made a lower low.

Once again we will be watching DTX to see if it provides a bearish conformation by making a new lower low as well. If so, it would be additional technical information signaling further downside for stocks.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17678.23-40.31-0.23%
S&P 500 Index2056.15-4.90-0.24%
Nasdaq Composite4863.36-13.15-0.27%
Nasdaq 1004315.25-14.02-0.32%
Russell 20001231.98-1.87-0.15%
Spot Gold1204.90+13.40+1.12%
Crude Oil51.43+3.90+8.21%
NYSE Overall Volume3,482,959Kn/a+10.28%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,990,701Kn/a+24.74%
NYSE Breadth1.93 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.41 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio34.09
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio41.41
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-644
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-250
NYSE Trin1.26
Nasdaq Trin1.17
$VIX15.800.36
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2053.00 4322.00
Point of Control 2048.00 4308.50
Value Area Low 2043.50 4289.00
R3 2081.924396.50
R2 2070.334363.75
R1 2059.424337.25
Pivot 2047.834304.50
S1 2036.924278.00
S2 2025.334245.25
S3 2014.424218.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Thursday. The five sectors that closed higher were were XBD, $DJUSSW, $DJUSBK, OSX, and CEX. BTK flagged an oversold signal with its fifth consecutive lower close. Six other sectors would signal an oversold condition with another close lower today. These are $DJUSIT, $DJUSRE, $DJUSHC, $DJUSRR, SOX, and $DJSINS.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/27/2015

08:30 am EST - GDP
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CCL, FINL


Monday - 03/30/2015

08:30 am - Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 am - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: CALM


Tuesday - 03/31/15

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Schiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: CLDN, CONN



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0047.77 open 49.921.9$190$4,802
  Testing breakout level
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HPQlong 15003/0932.9903/2532.536.3032.50closed n/a(0.49)($74)$4,949
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $4,802

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/26/2015 9:20:09 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.26.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Expansion of range on this timeframe and within striking distance of all time highs.

DAILY - Bearish. Daily chart rolling over a bit with large extension of range to the downside yesterday.

Good morning traders. In the picture below, we've provided an example of how using technical indicators on broad market measures, such as the NYSE Cumulative TICK (TICK), can be useful tools in an overall analysis of the broad market.

In the example above, we have applied a standard Relative Strength Indicator (14) (RSI) to TICK. It is interesting to note that sizeable moves lower by the S&P 500 Index (SPX) took place following three out of the last four times RSI moved below the 70 level (red horizontal lines and arrows).

Yesterday, RSI broke below 70 again. We think this is a reliable forward looking bearish signal for the broad market, not because of the size of yesterday's SPX move lower, but because the RSI applied to TICK showed weakness with a lower high (blue arrow) at the second SPX top of the recent double top (green circles).

No single indicator is correct 100% of the time, but this reading should be added to the market narrative moving forward.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17718.54-292.60-1.62%
S&P 500 Index2061.05-30.45-1.46%
Nasdaq Composite4876.51-118.20-2.37%
Nasdaq 1004329.28-101.69-2.30%
Russell 20001233.85-29.61-2.34%
Spot Gold1197.20+5.70+0.48%
Crude Oil49.19+1.66+3.49%
NYSE Overall Volume3,440,780Kn/a+8.94%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,184,869Kn/a+36.90%
NYSE Breadth3.08 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth5.85 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio24.53
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio14.59
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1448
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1732
NYSE Trin1.10
Nasdaq Trin1.28
$VIX15.441.82
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2078.00 4394.50
Point of Control 2065.00 4353.00
Value Area Low 2052.50 4320.00
R3 2114.924515.67
R2 2102.084475.83
R1 2077.924399.67
Pivot 2065.084359.83
S1 2040.924283.67
S2 2028.084243.83
S3 2003.924167.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Wednesday while four closed higher. The four that closed higher were XNG, XOI, OSX, and $DJUSCL. No sectors, nor the braod market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/26/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ACN, CAG, GME, LULU, RH, SIG, WGO


Friday - 03/27/2015

08:30 am EST - GDP
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CCL, FINL


Monday - 03/30/2015

08:30 am - Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 am - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: CONN, CLDN



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0047.77 open 49.51.48$148$4,802
  Testing breakout level
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HPQlong 15003/0932.9903/2532.536.3032.50closed n/a(0.49)($74)$4,949
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $4,802

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/25/2015 9:42:47 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - HPQ - Trailing Stop Triggered
March 25, 2015
 
Company: Hewlett Packard Co. - (HPQ)
Action: Trailing Stop Triggered
Buy Stop Price: 32.99
Shares: 150
Exit Price: 32.50
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation: Our trailing stop for HPQ was triggered at 32.50, we were stopped out for a small loss.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/25/2015 1:32:27 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GILD Stopped Out
March 25, 2015
 
Company: Gilead Sciences, Inc. - (GILD)
Action: Stopped Out
Entry Price: 102.22
Shares: 100
Price n/a
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our stop on GILD was triggered at 101.50 for a small loss.  We are now flat the stock.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/25/2015 11:20:46 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GILD Buy the Stock
March 25, 2015
 
Company: Gilead Sciences, Inc. - (GILD)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 102.27
Shares: 100
Price n/a
Stop: 101.50
Target: 107.75
 
Trade Explanation:  We have initiated a position in GILD which is poised to breakout from recent consolidation.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/25/2015 9:40:41 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader - /ES Pivots Updated

Today's /ES pivots have been updated in the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/25/2015 8:53:03 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.25.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Expansion of range on this timeframe and within striking distance of all time highs.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Late day liquidation break leading to lower prices.

Good morning traders. The 61.8% Fibonacci on the daily chart of the S&P 500 Index discussed in the March 13, 2015 issue is back in play. This time as immediate support for the index. Please observe the chart below.

Drawing a Fibonacci retracement study from the high on 02/05 to the low on 03/11 produces a 61.8% level at 2089.07 which is just under yesterday's close. The twenty day moving average (green line) is less than two points lower at 2087.83.

We're looking for this level to hold, but if it fails, the next stop for SPX should be the confluence of technical support within the red circle. It is around this area that a prior key horizontal level (orange line), fifty day moving average (red line), and ascending trendline all come together. A failure of this area would make the possibility that yesterday's high was the second of a double top more viable.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18011.14-104.90-0.58%
S&P 500 Index2091.50-12.92-0.61%
Nasdaq Composite4994.72-16.24-0.32%
Nasdaq 1004430.98-14.55-0.33%
Russell 20001263.46-1.25-0.10%
Spot Gold1191.50+3.80+0.32%
Crude Oil47.53+0.09+0.19%
NYSE Overall Volume3,158,273Kn/a-1.77%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,595,934Kn/a+0.39%
NYSE Breadth1.97 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.74 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio33.70
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio36.52
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-389
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-76
NYSE Trin1.52
Nasdaq Trin1.64
$VIX13.620.21
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2098.75 4453.00
Point of Control 2096.25 4438.00
Value Area Low 2087.75 4429.50
R3 2113.084488.67
R2 2106.674474.83
R1 2095.834451.92
Pivot 2089.424438.08
S1 2078.584415.17
S2 2072.174401.33
S3 2061.334378.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Tuesday while six closed higher. $DJUSNS remained overbought with its seventh consecutive higher close. Beyond this, no other sectors, nor the braod market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/25/2015

08:30 am - Durable Goods Orders
10:30 am - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: APOL, FIVE, LDOS, PAYX, PVH, RHT


Thursday - 03/26/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ACN, CAG, GME, LULU, RH, SIG, WGO


Friday - 03/27/2015

08:30 am EST - GDP
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CCL, FINL



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
WDR 50.75 48.50 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
FLR 58.75 56.30 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
BA 151.00-150.70 149.70 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HPQlong 15003/0932.99 n/a n/a 36.3032.50 open 33.310.32$48$4,949
  Moved stop up to 32.50
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0047.77 open 51.473.45$345$4,802
  Strong breakout on high volume
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 250 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $9,751

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/24/2015 10:26:05 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.24.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Expansion of range on this timeframe and within striking distance of all time highs.

DAILY - Bullish. Balancing inside day closed at all time highs.

Good morning traders. We added Boeing Co. (BA) to the list of long trade ideas in today's Bulls and Bears section and designed the trading plan with innovators in mind. Please observe the chart below.

The bull pennant formed by BA over the past five weeks is outlined in blue. Instead of waiting for price to breakout of the upside like most books would advise, we're proposing an entry at the bottom of the triangle with a tight stop.

In this scenario, if price breaks down out of the triangle to the downside, the loss is held to 1.00 points. But if price reverses off the bottom of the triangle and ultimately breaks out of the topside, traders could be ahead by approximately 2.50% at the point of the breakout.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18116.04-11.61-0.06%
S&P 500 Index2104.42-3.68-0.17%
Nasdaq Composite5010.97-15.44-0.31%
Nasdaq 1004445.54-12.99-0.29%
Russell 20001264.71-1.65-0.13%
Spot Gold1187.70+3.20+0.27%
Crude Oil47.44+0.86+1.85%
NYSE Overall Volume3,215,235Kn/a-37.55%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,589,674Kn/a-39.30%
NYSE Breadth1.44 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.34 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio59.04
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio42.78
NYSE Advancers/Decliners501
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners174
NYSE Trin0.97
Nasdaq Trin1.52
$VIX13.410.39
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2105.50 4454.00
Point of Control 2103.00 4448.00
Value Area Low 2101.00 4444.50
R3 2113.504470.83
R2 2110.254464.92
R1 2102.504450.83
Pivot 2099.254444.92
S1 2091.504430.83
S2 2088.254424.92
S3 2080.504410.83


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Monday while eight closed higher. $DJUSNS remained overbought with its sixth consecutive higher close. Beyond this, no other sectors, nor the braod market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/24/2015

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: HDS, MKC, SCS, SONC


Wednesday - 03/25/2015

08:30 am - Durable Goods Orders
10:30 am - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: APOL, FIVE, LDOS, PAYX, PVH, RHT


Thursday - 03/23/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ACN, CAG, GME, LULU, RH, SIG, SNP



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
WDR 50.75 48.50 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
FLR 58.75 56.30 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
BA 151.00-150.70 149.70 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HPQlong 15003/0932.99 n/a n/a 36.3032.50 open 33.450.46$69$4,949
  Moved stop up to 32.50
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0047.77 open 48.460.44$44$4,802
  Moved stop up to 47.77
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/23/15-03/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 250 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $9,751

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/23/2015 8:14:49 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - HPQ - Move the Stop
March 23, 2015
 
Company: Hewlett Packard Co. - (HPQ)
Action: Move the Stop
Buy Stop Price: 32.99
Shares: 150
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 32.50
Target: 36.30
 
Trade Explanation: We movedd our stop  on HPQ to 32.50.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/23/2015 3:52:27 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - TWTR Move the Stop
March 23, 2015
 
Company: Twitter, Inc.  - (TWTR)
 
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 48.09
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 47.77
Target: 60.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We moved our stop on TWTR to just under today's low.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/23/2015 3:26:40 PM | 0 Comments