ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - ALLY Sell the Stock
March 24, 2015
 
Company: ALLY Fin, Inc. - (ALLY)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 20.55
Shares: 500
Exit Price: 20.19
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation: We have sold our position in ALLY.  The stock has broken Wednesday's low and is trading outside of the triangle on the daily chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/24/2015 12:14:26 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - RKT Move the Stop
March 24, 2015
 
Company: Rock Ten Co. - (RKT)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 60.20
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 59.10
Target: 67.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have moved our stop for RKT up under Tuesday's low.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/24/2015 12:02:17 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.24.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Some backing off on this timeframe but continued higher lows for third week in a row

DAILY - Bullish. Long breakout yesterday taking S&P cash very close to new all-time highs.

Good morning traders. A higher close by the broad market today could lead a number of ShadowTrader Sectors into overbought territory as noted in today's ShadowTrader Trend Scores section. In addition, our proprietary measure of broad market money flow (MF) is diverging from the closing price slope of the S&P 500 Index (SPY) as it nears all-time highs. This potentially bearish condition is illustrated on the chart below.

The arrows highlight the opposing directions of MF and SPY. At the very least, traders should consider showing restraint entering new long positions in stocks if the broad market reaches new all-time highs today. This event will trigger the sort of brain chemicals in traders that cause less than thoughtful buying within overbought conditions lacking supportive underpinnings (money flow). This is almost always a bad idea.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18058.69+20.42+0.11%
S&P 500 Index2112.93+4.97+0.24%
Nasdaq Composite5056.06+20.89+0.41%
Nasdaq 1004477.06+16.25+0.36%
Russell 20001271.53+6.05+0.48%
Spot Gold1194.40+7.60+0.64%
Crude Oil57.66+1.46+2.60%
NYSE Overall Volume3,625,810Kn/a+9.1%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,837,472Kn/a+9.93%
NYSE Breadth1.73 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.52 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio63.39
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio60.27
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1070
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners553
NYSE Trin1.21
Nasdaq Trin1.00
$VIX12.48-0.23
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2114.25 4488.50
Point of Control 2107.25 4480.00
Value Area Low 2100.75 4453.50
R3 2135.834555.58
R2 2125.174522.67
R1 2116.084502.08
Pivot 2105.424469.17
S1 2096.334448.58
S2 2085.674415.67
S3 2076.584395.08


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday. Six sectors could flag overbought signals with another close higher today. Overbought being five consecutive higher closes. These are $DJUSRT, $DJUSNS, $DJUSSW, $DJUSRE, $DJUSHC, and XTC.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/24/15

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AAL, AAN, AJG, AOS, AZN, BIIB, COG, DTE, FET, FLIR, HDB, IMS, INFY, IPG, LEA, LYB, SHOO, SPG, STT, TYC, VTR


Monday - 04/27/15

10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AAPL, ADVS, AGNC, ALKS, ALSN, BPOP, BRX, CAJ, CEMP, CHRW, CHTR, DDD, FSL, GGP, HAE, HIG, LH, MGM, MLM, MYL, NCLH, OHI, OLN, PCL, RCII, RVBD, SCCO, SIMO, SOHU, SWFT, UDR, UHS


Tuesday - 04/28/2015

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Schiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AET, AFL, AGCO, AKAM, ALLY, AZPN, BMR, BMY, BP, BRFS, BXMT, CIT, CMI, CNC, CNX, COH, CRUS, EIX, EQR, ESRX, ETR, GAS, GLW, GPRE, GPRO, HSP, JEC, KRFT, LXK, MAS, MHFI, MRK, MTSI, NCR, NOV, OFC, OI, OSK, PFE, PH, RRC, SC, SIR, SKT, SLCA, ST, TOT, TPX, TWTR, TXT, UPS, UTHR, VDSI, VLO, VRSK, WDC, WHR, WSH, WWW, WYN, X, YNDX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
ALLYlong 50004/2120.55 n/a n/a 24.0019.85 open 20.39(0.16)($80)$10,275
  Six consecutive lower closes
RKTlong 10004/2160.09 n/a n/a 67.0055.20 open 60.810.72$72$6,009
  Closed within prior day's price range
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 350 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $11,159

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/23/2015 8:46:32 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.23.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Some backing off on this timeframe but continued higher lows for third week in a row

DAILY - Bullish. Market continues to advance up to downtrend from 2/25/15 all time high. Multiple tests of this area are increasing odds of a break upwards.

Good morning traders. We are anticipating higher prices in the short term for Lion Biotechnologies, Inc. (LBIO). Please observe the chart below.

There are three bullish technical aspects of the daily LBIO chart that immediately stand out.

The first is the basing pattern outlined in blue following a strong move higher during the first half of March. The second is yesterday's close just over the descending trendline from the high on 03/15/15 (magenta circle). The third is the higher low readings of the on-balance volume as LBIO pulled back from the high on 03/15/15.

Combined, these three indications are telling us that in spite of a move that nearly doubled price off February lows (blue circle), a good portion of those that own the stock think it will continue to move up because they haven't sold their shares. These are not the weak hands so often seen after such a run up in price.

As of the last two weeks, the stock has digested the higher price levels and is now poised to move higher off Monday's price bar which was a third higher low in the past six weeks(orange circles). We like higher lows because they are a clear signal that a stock has support and is done going lower which in itself reduces a portion of the normal risk involved with a long trade.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18038.27+88.68+0.49%
S&P 500 Index2107.96+10.67+0.51%
Nasdaq Composite5035.17+21.06+0.42%
Nasdaq 1004460.81+24.83+0.56%
Russell 20001265.48+1.33+0.11%
Spot Gold1186.80-16.20-1.35%
Crude Oil56.20-0.42-0.74%
NYSE Overall Volume3,323,386Kn/a+3.45%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,671,543Kn/a-1.49%
NYSE Breadth2.47 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.66 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio71.20
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio62.41
NYSE Advancers/Decliners510
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners145
NYSE Trin0.57
Nasdaq Trin0.67
$VIX12.71-0.54
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2103.25 4459.00
Point of Control 2101.25 4452.00
Value Area Low 2093.75 4432.00
R3 2128.084515.00
R2 2115.924487.25
R1 2108.084466.25
Pivot 2095.924438.50
S1 2088.084417.50
S2 2075.924389.75
S3 2068.084368.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday. The five sectors that closed lower were XAL, $DJUSHB, BTK, DRG, and GDX. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/23/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, AEP, ALGN, ALK, ALTR, ALXN, AMX, AMZN, AVT, AWAY, BAX, BBT, BCC, BEAV, BKU, BMS, CAB, CAM, CAT, CB, CBI, CFX, CMS, COF, COL, CPHD, CSL, DAN, DGX, DHR, DNKN, DOW, DPS, DPZ, EQT, ETFC, EW, FAF, FCX, FR, GM, GOOGL, GRA, HA, HBI, HP, HSY, IR, JAH, JCI, JNPR, KKR, KLAC, LAZ, LLY, LUV, MJN, MMM, MO, MSFT, MXIM, NDAQ, NEM, NUE, NVS, PEP, PFG, PG, PHM, PII, PNK, PTEN, QLIK, RHI, RMD, RS, RSG, RTN, SBAC, SBUX, SWK, SWN, SYNA, TRN, TV, UAL, UNP, USG, WBC


Friday - 04/24/15

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AAL, AOS, AZN, BIIB, COG, DTE, FET, HDB, IMS, INFY, IPG, KN, LEA, LYB, PB, SPG, STT, TYC, VTR


Monday - 04/27/15

10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AAPL, ACC, ADVS, AEC, AGNC, ALKS, ALSN, BRX, BXP, CEMP, CHRW, DDD, FSL, GGP, HIG, LH, MGM, MLM, MYL, NCLH, OHI, OMI, PCL, QRVO, RCII, ROP, RVBD, SCCO, SIMO, SWFT, UDR, WCN, WRB



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
LBIO 12.60 11.20 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
ALLYlong 50004/2120.55 n/a n/a 24.0019.85 open 20.49(0.06)($30)$10,275
  Added 250 more shares at 20.49
RKTlong 10004/2160.09 n/a n/a 67.0055.20 open 60.980.89$89$6,009
  Follow through higher from 04/21 reversal
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 350 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $11,159

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/22/2015 10:21:05 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - ALLY Buy the Stock Adding to Position
 
March 22, 2015
 
Company: ALLY Fin, Inc. - (ALLY)
Action: Buy the Stock Adding to Position
Entry Price: 20.49
Shares: 250
Total Shares Owned: 500
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 19.85
Target: 24.00
 
Trade Explanation: We bought 250 more shares of ALLY at 20.49 which brings our total number of shares to 500 shares at an average price of 20.55
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/22/2015 3:33:36 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.22.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Some backing off on this timeframe but continued higher lows for third week in a row

DAILY - Neutral. Market continues to go back and forth within range. SPX cash will have a bullish breakout if 2112 can be breached.

Good morning traders. Alon USA Energy, Inc. (ALJ) has formed a cup & handle pattern which is illustrated on the chart below.

There isn't anything fancy or complicated about this bullish set up. Price has returned to and tested prior highs. It is now pulling back in an orderly fashion for the next attempt at a leg higher. Traditionally, the price target for a cup & handle pattern is derived by adding the length from the rim of the cup to the bottom of the cup (7.00 points) to the entry (or top right rim). By adding 7.00 to our entry price of 16.23, the resulting target price is 23.23.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17949.59-85.34-0.47%
S&P 500 Index2097.29-3.11-0.15%
Nasdaq Composite5014.10+19.49+0.39%
Nasdaq 1004435.97+18.57+0.42%
Russell 20001264.15-0.77-0.06%
Spot Gold1203.00+9.50+0.80%
Crude Oil56.62-1.23-2.13%
NYSE Overall Volume3,212,452Kn/a+8.79%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,696,909Kn/a+4.15%
NYSE Breadth1.63 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.57 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio38.09
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio61.13
NYSE Advancers/Decliners8
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners19
NYSE Trin1.63
Nasdaq Trin0.64
$VIX13.25-0.05
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2096.25 4434.50
Point of Control 2090.75 4430.00
Value Area Low 2090.25 4427.00
R3 2116.834459.92
R2 2110.174451.33
R1 2100.584439.92
Pivot 2093.924431.33
S1 2084.334419.92
S2 2077.674411.33
S3 2068.084399.92


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Tuesday. Twelve closed higher while thirteen ended lower. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/22/15

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: ABT, ALV, AMP, AN, APH, AWH, BA, BK, CAKE, CCI, CFG, CLB, CTXS, DHI, EBAY, ECHO, EMC, FB, FFIV, INFA, KNX, KO, LHO, LVS, MCD, NLSN, OC, OII, QCOM, R, RJF, SCSS, SEIC, SIAL, SIX, SKX, SLG, STJ, T, TEL, TMK, TMO, TROW, TSCO, TUP, TXN, WERN, XLNX


Thursday - 04/23/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, AEP, ALGN, ALK, ALTR, ALXN, AMX, AMZN, AVT, AWAY, BAX, BBT, BCC, BCR, BEAV, BGG, BMS, CAB, CAM, CAT, CB, CBI, CFX, CMS, COF, CPHD, DAN, DGX, DHR, DNKN, DOW, DPS, DV, EQT, ETFC, EW, FAF, FCX, FII, FR, GM, GOOGL, GRA, HA, HBHC, HBI, HP, HSY, IR, JAH, JCI, JNPR, KKR, KLAC, KN, LAZ, LLY, LUV, MJN, MMM, MO, MSFT, MXIM, N, NDAQ, NEM, NUE, NVS, PEB, PEP, PFG, PG, PHM, PII, PNK, PTEN, QLIK, RHI, RMD, RS, RSG, RTN, SBAC, SBUX, SWK, SWN, SYNA, TRN, TV, UAL, UNP, USG, VRSN, WBC, WCC


Friday - 04/24/15

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AAL, AJG, AZN, BIIB, COG, DTE, FET, HDB, INFY, IPG, LEA, LYB, OLN, SPG, STT, TYC, VTR



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
ALJ 16.23 15.23 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
GLD 115.89 114.20 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
ALLYlong 25004/2120.60 n/a n/a 24.0019.85 open 20.55(0.05)($13)$5,150
  Anticipating breakout from consolidation within triangle on daily
RKTlong 10004/2160.09 n/a n/a 67.0055.20 open 60.210.12$12$6,009
  Entered on sixth consecutive day lower
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 350 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $11,159

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/21/2015 10:46:09 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - ALLY Buy the Stock
 
March 21, 2015
 
Company: ALLY Fin, Inc. - (ALLY)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 20.60
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 19.85
Target: 24.00
 
Trade Explanation: We bought 250 shares of ALLY with the stock holding the lows of the consolidating triangle pattern on the daily hcart.   
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/21/2015 3:37:21 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - RKT Buy the Stock
March 21, 2015
 
Company: Rock Ten Co. - (RKT)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 60.09
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 55.20
Target: 67.00
 
Trade Explanation: We bought 100 shares of RKT as the stock will make its sixth consecutive lower close today.  We are ready to buy more on further weakness.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/21/2015 3:32:59 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.21.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Some backing off on this timeframe but continued higher lows for third week in a row

DAILY - Neutral. Market continues to go back and forth within range. SPX cash will have a bullish breakout if 2112 can be breached.

Good morning traders. Kythera Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (KYTH) has been added to the list of long trade ideas in the Bulls and Bears section. Please observe the picture of the setup below.

In early March of this year, KYTH gapped up on big volume. Since then the stock has not given up much of its gains by trading sideways without threatening the top of the open gap (blue circle). This price action is signaling strength. If the stock is refusing to go lower, then the next move should be another leg higher.

Yesterday price moved right into the trendline pocket which should act as strong support going forward. As noted on the chart, we are using yesterday's price bar as a reference to locate both the entry and stop levels.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18034.93+208.63+1.17%
S&P 500 Index2100.40+19.22+0.92%
Nasdaq Composite4994.60+62.78+1.27%
Nasdaq 1004417.39+65.59+1.51%
Russell 20001264.91+13.06+1.04%
Spot Gold1193.50-9.80-0.81%
Crude Oil57.85+0.12+0.21%
NYSE Overall Volume2,952,915Kn/a-17.81%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,629,337Kn/a-16.90%
NYSE Breadth2.02 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.92 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio66.92
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio74.46
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1256
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners967
NYSE Trin1.19
Nasdaq Trin0.72
$VIX13.30-0.59
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2096.50 4416.75
Point of Control 2093.50 4404.75
Value Area Low 2092.50 4388.25
R3 2110.834482.67
R2 2104.174449.83
R1 2097.584428.67
Pivot 2090.924395.83
S1 2084.334374.67
S2 2077.674341.83
S3 2071.084320.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty three of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Monday. The two sectors that closed lower were $DJUSHB and $DJUSCL.No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/21/15

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: ACE, AMTD, ARMH, ATI, BHI, BRCM, CP, CREE, DD, DFS, DLB, DOV, EAT, EDU, EWBC, FTI, GCI, GPC, HOG, ILMN, IRBT, ITW, KMB, KSU, LMT, LPT, MAN, MANH, MLNX, NAVI, NTRS, OMC, PCAR, PFPT, PLD, PNR, SAP, SNV, SYK, TRV, UA, URI, UTX, VMW, VZ, YHOO, YUM


Wednesday - 04/22/15

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: ABT, AMP, AN, APH, AWH, BA, BK, CAKE, CCI, CFG, CTXS, DHI, EBAY, EMC, FB, FFIV, INFA, KNX, KO, LHO, LVS, MCD, NLSN, OC, OII, QCOM, SEIC, SIX, SKX, SPWR, STJ, T, TEL, TMO, TROW, TSCO, TXN, WAB, WERN, XLNX


Thursday - 04/23/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, AEP, ALGN, ALK, ALTR, ALXN, AMX, AMZN, AVT, AWAY, BAX, BBT, BCR, BEAV, BMS, CAB, CAM, CAT, CB, CBI, CFX, CMS, COF, COL, CPHD, DAN, DGX, DHR, DNKN, DOW, DPS, DV, EQT, ETFC, EW, FCX, FR, GIMO, GM, GOOGL, GRA, HA, HBI, HP, HSY, IR, JAH, JCI, JNPR, KKR, KLAC, KN, LAZ, LLY, LUV, MJN, MMM, MO, MSFT, MTH, MXIM, N, NDAQ, NEM, NUE, NVS, PEP, PFG, PG, PHM, PII, PNK, PTEN, QLIK, RHI, RMD, RS, RSG, RTN, SBAC, SBUX, SWK, SWN, SYNA, TRN, TV, UAL, UNP, USG, VRSN, WBC, WCC, WHR



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
KYTH 50.30 47.95 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
GLD 115.89 114.20 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
OHI 38.10 36.79 Please see Friday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/20/15-04/24/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/20/2015 11:13:03 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTrader /ES and /NQ Pivots Updated for 04.20.15

The /ES and /NQ pivot points have been upsdated in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/20/2015 8:28:50 AM | 0 Comments