ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.06.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Small range may indicate slowing of momentum.

DAILY - Bullish to Neutral. Market holding above ascending 20ma daily after a few days pullback. Yesterday was an inside day.

Good morning traders. In the December 29, 2014 issue of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader, we illustrated how the Dow Theory was predicting higher prices for stocks going forward. Below is an update of the Dow Theory as it stands today.

The Dow Theory is a bullish indication for stocks when the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average ( DTX) both make higher highs within a trend. The squares on the chart above highlight the last time this took place in late December 2014.

The blue circle surrounds Monday's new high for DJX, however the bullish signal from the Dow Theory is not flashing because DTX has yet to make a higher-high (red circle).

Although the Dow Theory is over 100 years old and the stock market has changed in many ways since then, the Dow Theory is still a reliable component to an overall view of the broad market's condition. Let's keep an eye on DTX to see if it breaks out of the current flagging pattern (orange lines) to follow DJX higher and confirm higher prices for the broad market's bullish trend.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18135.72+38.82+0.21%
S&P 500 Index2101.04+2.51+0.12%
Nasdaq Composite4982.80+15.66+0.32%
Nasdaq 1004452.05+6.69+0.15%
Russell 20001234.31+3.58+0.29%
Spot Gold1196.40-4.80-0.40%
Crude Oil50.77-0.73-1.42%
NYSE Overall Volume3,107,424Kn/a-9.30%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,726,158Kn/a-5.69%
NYSE Breadth1.01 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.49 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio49.79
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio59.88
NYSE Advancers/Decliners300
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners422
NYSE Trin1.23
Nasdaq Trin0.92
$VIX14.04-0.19
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2100.75 4460.25
Point of Control 2099.75 4451.75
Value Area Low 2097.25 4447.25
R3 2113.424497.25
R2 2108.084481.00
R1 2103.924465.25
Pivot 2098.584449.00
S1 2094.424433.25
S2 2089.084417.00
S3 2084.924401.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Fifteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday while ten ended lower. No sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/06/2015

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - International Trade
Reporting earnings today: BIG, CMRX, FL, TRCO


Monday - 03/09/2015

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: BITA, CTRP, DVAX, MR, QIHU, URBN


Tuesday - 03/10/15

10:00 am EST - JOLTS
Reporting earnings today: LVNTA, PAY, SINA, WSM



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
IMPV 47.64 45.20 Please see Wednesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CMSlong 30003/0334.20 n/a n/a 38.0032.70 open 34.630.43$129$10,260
  Nice reversal off Tuesday's entry level
BABAlong 10003/0484.56 n/a n/a 93.0079.00 open 86.11.54$154$8,456
  Bought 50 @ 83.27 and 50 @ 85.85
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 400 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $18,716

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/5/2015 10:03:05 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - BABA Bought the Stock
March 5, 2015
 
Company: Alibaba (BABA)
Action: Bought the Stock
Entry Price: $85.85
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 50
Stop: $79.00
Target: $93.00
 
Trade Explanation: Our buy stop order to buy 50 more BABA at 85.85 triggered and was filled.  We are now long a total of 100 shares at an average price of 84.56.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/5/2015 3:37:51 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - BABA Set Buy Stop
March 5, 2015
 
Company: Alibaba (BABA)
Action: Set Buy Stop
Price: $85.85
Entry Price: n/a
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 50
Stop: $79.00
Target: $93.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have set a buy stop order for 50 shares at 85.85.  If this order triggers, our current 50 share position will increase to 100 shares.
  
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/5/2015 2:09:49 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader - /ES Pivot Points Updated

The  /ES pivot points in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader have been corrected.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/5/2015 9:21:58 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.05.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Small range may indicate slowing of momentum.

DAILY - Neutral to Bearish. Some initiating sellers emerged taking markets below the low of the recent consolidation range however no major damage done to charts.

Good morning traders. Long term treasuries (TLT) remain a valuable reversal signal for equities. Please observe the chart below.

We've color coded rectangles at each turning point that demonstrates the inverse relationship between TLT and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) since October of last year. This relationship remains intact (blue circles) which makes the current status of TLT technicals important to equity swing traders.

We've noted on the chart that TLT is hanging onto a higher-low relative to the prior low within the blue circle. A move back higher from here and a break above the descending trendline (magenta arrow) would be a bearish signal for the broad stock market.

Conversely, follow through lower toward the ascending trendline that originates from the lows of December 2013 should push stocks to higher prices.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18096.90-106.47-0.58%
S&P 500 Index2098.53-9.25-0.44%
Nasdaq Composite4967.14-12.75-0.26%
Nasdaq 1004445.359-13.41-0.30%
Russell 20001230.72-4.03-0.33%
Spot Gold1201.20-5.40-0.45%
Crude Oil51.50+1.90+3.83%
NYSE Overall Volume3,426,096Kn/a+1.15%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,830,314Kn/a-4.22%
NYSE Breadth2.40 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.22 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio29.39
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio45.14
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-704
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-491
NYSE Trin1.50
Nasdaq Trin0.84
$VIX14.230.37
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2098.50 4451.50
Point of Control 2096.50 4445.00
Value Area Low 2090.50 4430.50
R3 2116.924491.33
R2 2108.334471.92
R1 2102.424458.08
Pivot 2093.834438.67
S1 2087.924424.83
S2 2079.334405.42
S3 2073.424391.58


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Eighteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Wednesday while seven ended higher. No sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/05/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
08:30 am EST - Productivity and Costs
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: BRLI, CIEN, CNQ, COST, CSIQ, FNSR, JOY, KR, TFM, WX, YY


Friday - 03/06/2015

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - International Trade
Reporting earnings today: BIG, CMRX, FL


Monday - 03/09/2015

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: BITA, DVAX, QIHU, URBN, WUBA



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
IMPV 47.64 45.20 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
ALB 57.53 59.00 Please see the 03.03.15 ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CMSlong 30003/0334.20 n/a n/a 38.0032.70 open 34.290.09$27$10,260
  Held Tuesday's entry level
BABAlong 5003/0483.27 n/a n/a 93.0079.00 open 85.492.22$111$4,164
  Initiated small position after stock failed to find new sellers under all time low
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 350 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $14,424

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/4/2015 9:49:34 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - BABA buy the stock

March 4, 2015
 
Company: Alibaba (BABA)
Action: Buy the stock
Price: $83.27
Entry Price: $83.27
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 50
Stop: $79.00
Target: $93.00

Trade Explanation: We are buying into a small position in BABA as it's breaking back into range after taking out its all time low and failing to find new sellers.  We will add to this position over time if it acts correctly.  
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/4/2015 11:37:31 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.04.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Small range may indicate slowing of momentum.

DAILY - Bullish to Neutral. Small liquidation breaks taking some of the froth out of toppy market.

Good morning traders. In Monday's issue of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader, we discussed the Cyber Security ETF (HACK). One component of this ETF is Imperva, Inc. (IMPV) which looks poised for higher prices. Please observe the chart below.

The blue lines illustrate the cup & handle pattern IMPV has formed since the beginning of this year.

The blue oval highlights the solid volume that came into the stock yesterday.

We're looking for the stock to break higher out of the recent pullback, in the short term, and ultimately trade up to the prior high at 53.35.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18203.37-85.26-0.47%
S&P 500 Index2107.78-9.61-0.45%
Nasdaq Composite4979.90-28.19-0.56%
Nasdaq 1004458.77-24.27-0.54%
Russell 20001234.76-7.86-0.63%
Spot Gold1204.20-2.40-0.20%
Crude Oil50.44+0.84+1.69%
NYSE Overall Volume3,267,443Kn/a-3.53%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,023,980Kn/a+5.92%
NYSE Breadth1.54 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.93 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio39.34
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio34.16
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-562
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-764
NYSE Trin1.07
Nasdaq Trin1.07
$VIX13.860.82
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2107.00 4464.00
Point of Control 2105.50 4456.00
Value Area Low 2102.00 4447.00
R3 2127.084515.17
R2 2118.924493.83
R1 2111.834475.17
Pivot 2103.674453.83
S1 2096.584435.17
S2 2088.424413.83
S3 2081.334395.17


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Tuesday while six ended higher. No sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/04/2015

08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
10:00 am EST - ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - Beige Book
Reporting earnings today: ANF, ATHM, ERJ, HRB, HYH, INXN, PETM, PPO, VWR, W


Thursday - 03/05/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
08:30 am EST - Productivity and Costs
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: BRLI, CIEN, CNQ, COO, COST, CSIQ, FNSR, JOY, KR, TFM, YY


Friday - 03/06/2015

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - International Trade
Reporting earnings today: BIG, FL, TRCO



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
IMPV 47.64 45.20 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
ALB 57.53 59.00 Please see the 03.03.15 ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
AME 54.12 55.25 Please see the 02.27.15 ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CMSlong 30003/0334.20 n/a n/a 38.0032.70 open 34.240.04$12$10,260
  Entered near the close on Tuesday
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/3/2015 11:52:55 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - CMS - Buy the Stock
 
March 3, 2015
 
Company: CMS Energy Corp. - (CMS)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 34.20
Shares: 300
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 32.70
Target: 38.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have bought CMS on today's fifth consecutive lower close.  We are now long the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/3/2015 3:57:36 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.03.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Small range may indicate slowing of momentum.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Market continues to balance near all-time highs.

Good morning traders. As the market grinds to new all-time highs following one of the most bullish Februaries in years, we are starting to build a list of short trade candidates. One stock on that list already is Albermarle Corp. (ALB) which is pictured below.

ALB has been on a tear off the lower-lows of late January (red circle). However, the stock remains in a longer term downtrend as illustrated by the channel trendlines.

Our short entry is positioned in anticipation of the stock's first touch of the upper channel line. Generally, the first test of a price range boundary has a higher probability of reversal, and with such a breathless run off January lows, ALB should be ripe for a directional change.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18288.63+155.93+0.86%
S&P 500 Index2117.39+12.89+0.61%
Nasdaq Composite5008.09+44.56+0.90%
Nasdaq 1004483.04+42.37+0.95%
Russell 20001242.61+9.250.75%
Spot Gold1206.60-6.50-0.54%
Crude Oil49.600.000.00%
NYSE Overall Volume3,387,021Kn/a-2.03%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,910,905Kn/a0.00%
NYSE Breadth1.20 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.82 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio54.51
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio73.85
NYSE Advancers/Decliners648
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners880
NYSE Trin1.28
Nasdaq Trin0.70
$VIX13.04-0.30
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2113.25 4477.50
Point of Control 2110.75 4470.00
Value Area Low 2106.75 4462.50
R3 2132.174523.75
R2 2123.834503.50
R1 2118.924490.25
Pivot 2110.584470.00
S1 2105.674456.75
S2 2097.334436.50
S3 2092.424423.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Monday while eight ended lower. No sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time, however UTY will trigger an oversold reading with a lower close today.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/03/2015

Motor Vehicle Sales
Reporting earnings today: AMBA, BBY, BNS, CTRP, DKS, INSY, JD, KATE, NAV, SSI, TNET, VEEV, ZLTQ


Wednesday - 03/04/2015

08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
10:00 am EST - ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - Beige Book
Reporting earnings today: ANF, BITA, ERJ, HRB, HYH, INXN, PETM, PPO, SMTC, VWR, W


Thursday - 03/05/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
08:30 am EST - Productivity and Costs
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: CIEN, CNQ, COST, CSIQ, FNSR, JOY, KR, WX, YY



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
BABA 83.00-82.80 77.80 Please see Wednesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
DOV 74.81 72.41 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
SWFT 28.74-29.00 30.50 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ALB 57.53 59.00 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
AME 54.12 55.25 Please see the 02.27.15 ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/3/2015 9:13:59 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 03.02.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle on this timeframe with new all time high.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Small range may indicate slowing of momentum.

DAILY - Neutral to Bullish. Some small liquidation away from highs occurring but no stronger sellers have emerged as of yet.

Good morning traders. Cyber security stocks saw a nice move higher in February and have the potential to follow through higher in coming weeks.

For those uncertain about which cyber security stock(s) to play, a new ETF named Pure Cyber Security (HACK) has come to market that holds only stocks serving this industry. Please observe the chart below.

The bullish continuation pattern on the daily chart of HACK is consistent with several of the ETF's component stocks which include AVG, BLOX, CHKP, CSCO, CUDA, CYBR, FEYE, FTNT, IL, IMPV, JNPR, KEYW, PANW, PFPT, QLYS, RDWR, SAIC, SPLK, SYMC, and VDSI.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18132.70-81.72-0.45%
S&P 500 Index2104.50-6.24-0.30%
Nasdaq Composite4963.52-24.36-0.49%
Nasdaq 1004440.67-21.59-0.48%
Russell 20001233.36-5.74-0.46%
Spot Gold1213.10+3.00+0.25%
Crude Oil49.60+1.31+2.71%
NYSE Overall Volume3,457,124Kn/a+3.37%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,910,965Kn/a+1.37%
NYSE Breadth1.16 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.64 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio46.29
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio37.88
NYSE Advancers/Decliners77
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-604
NYSE Trin1.22
Nasdaq Trin1.04
$VIX13.34-0.57
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2108.00 4462.00
Point of Control 2103.00 4457.50
Value Area Low 2101.50 4443.00
R3 2118.174486.25
R2 2114.584474.50
R1 2108.674458.50
Pivot 2105.084446.75
S1 2099.174430.75
S2 2095.584419.00
S3 2089.674403.00


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Friday while eight ended higher. No sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time, however $DJUSIT and $DJUSRR will trigger an oversold reading with a lower close today.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 03/02/15

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
Reporting earnings today: BID, ENDP, GWRE, JKS, MTDR, MYL, PANW, PEGI, PMC, PRAA, SLXP, SSYS, VGR, XON


Tuesday - 03/03/2015

Motor Vehicle Sales
Reporting earnings today: AMBA, BBY, BNS, CTRP, DKS, INSY, JD, KATE, RCPT, ZLTQ


Wednesday - 03/04/2015

08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
10:00 am EST - ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - Beige Book
Reporting earnings today: ANF, BITA, ERJ, HRB, HYH, PETM, PPO



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
BABA 83.00-82.80 77.80 Please see Wednesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
DOV 74.81 72.41 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
SWFT 28.74-29.00 30.50 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ALB 57.53 59.00 Entry at descending trendline from 07/15/14 high on daily chart

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 03/02/15-03/06/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 02/23/15-02/27/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
AAPLlong 25002/04119.8202/25129135.00115.00closed n/a9.18$2295$29,955
  Took profits on break below
HCPlong 12502/1041.9602/2641.8548.0041.85closed n/a(0.11)($14)$5,245
  Trailing stop triggered
CONNlong 20002/1925.7502/2625.0632.3025.06closed n/a(0.69)($138)$5,150
  Trailing stop hit on Friday
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 3/1/2015 9:58:13 PM | 0 Comments