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ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.16.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of upside range on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish to Neutral. Market holding at recent swing highs, just underneath trendline.

Good morning traders. One of the two trade ideas listed in today's Bulls and Bears section is Omega HealthCare Investors, Inc. (OHI). Please observe the chart below.

OHI triggered oversold signals as it came into prior lows yesterday. The stock did find support with the daily price bar forming a bottoming tail. We're using yesterday's price range to build our entry and stop levels around as noted on the chart above. The first target is the descending trendline from January highs.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18105.77-6.84-0.04%
S&P 500 Index2104.99-1.64-0.08%
Nasdaq Composite5007.79-3.22-0.06%
Nasdaq 1004418.83-5.69-0.13%
Russell 20001272.890-2.45%
Spot Gold1198.20-3.10-0.26%
Crude Oil56.71+0.46+0.82%
NYSE Overall Volume3,429,450Kn/a-13.80%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,654,769Kn/a-6.85%
NYSE Breadth1.52 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.25 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio39.61
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio44.50
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-361
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-169
NYSE Trin1.20
Nasdaq Trin1.10
$VIX12.60-0.24
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2099.50 4416.00
Point of Control 2098.50 4411.50
Value Area Low 2094.00 4409.00
R3 2118.084443.42
R2 2111.424432.08
R1 2106.084423.67
Pivot 2099.424412.33
S1 2094.084403.92
S2 2087.424392.58
S3 2082.084384.17


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Thursday. Thirteen ended higher while twelve ended lower. while six ended lower. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/17/15

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CMA, GE, HON, RAI, STX, SYF


Monday - 04/20/2015

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: BRO, BXS, CHKP, CNI, FTNT, HAL, HAS, IBM, INOV, LRCX, LVS, MS, MTB, PKG, RCI, RCL, STI, STLD, ZION


Tuesday - 04/21/15

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: ACE, AMTD, ARMH, ATI, BHI, BRCM, CREE, DD, DFS, DLB, DOV, EAT, EDU, EWBC, FTI, GCI, HOG, ILMN, IM, INFN, ITW, KMB, KSU, LMT, LPT, MAN, MLNX, NAVI, NTRS, OMC, PACW, PCAR, PLD, PNR, RHI, SAP, SMCI, SYK, TRV, UA, URI, UTX, VMW, VZ, YHOO, YUM



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
NUAN 14.41 13.90 10 month cup & handle base on weekly chart
OHI 38.39 36.79 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.0204/1450.7660.0050.76closed n/a2.74$274$4,802
  Trailing stop triggered for 5.71% gain
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/16/2015 11:25:54 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.16.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of upside range on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish. Market crossing daily downtrend line but yet to close above.

Good morning traders. None of the three major U.S. Stock market indices has broken above their respective all-time high, however the NYSE Composite (pictured below) did this yesterday. This is a solid bullish indication for the market going forward.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18112.61+75.91+0.42%
S&P 500 Index2106.63+10.79+0.51%
Nasdaq Composite5011.01+33.73+0.68%
Nasdaq 1004424.52+26.88+0.61%
Russell 20001275.35+10.00+0.79%
Spot Gold1201.30+8.70+0.73%
Crude Oil56.25+2.94+5.51%
NYSE Overall Volume3,978,659Kn/a+21.83%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,776,508Kn/a+13.60%
NYSE Breadth2.22 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.53 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio68.94
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio71.66
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1050
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners845
NYSE Trin0.92
Nasdaq Trin0.76
$VIX12.84-0.83
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2101.50 4419.50
Point of Control 2099.50 4408.00
Value Area Low 2096.50 4398.00
R3 2116.674465.50
R2 2111.084447.25
R1 2105.424434.50
Pivot 2099.834416.25
S1 2094.174403.50
S2 2088.584385.25
S3 2082.924372.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday while six ended lower. The six that finished lower were $DJUSRT, $DJUSNS, $DJUSIT, $DJUSRE, XAL, and $DJUSRR. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/16/15

08:30 am - Housing Starts
08:30 am - Jobless Claims
10:00 am - Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey
Reporting earnings today: AXP, BLK, BX, C, CCK, CE, FRC, GS, GWW, MAT, NOW, PM, PPG, PVTB, SHW, SLB, TSM, UNH, WBS


Friday - 04/17/15

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CMA, GE, HON, RAI, STX


Monday - 04/20/2015

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: BXS, CHKP, CNI, FTNT, HAL, HAS, HBI, HXL, IBM, IRBT, LII, LRCX, LVS, MS, MTB, PKG, RCI, RCL, SKX, STI, STLD, ZION



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
FEYE 42.93 40.71 10 month cup & handle base on weekly chart
PE 18.23 16.85 Anticipating move up to 20.00 out of consolidation on the daily chart
NUAN 14.41 13.90 10 month cup & handle base on weekly chart
RYL 49.30 47.20 Consolidation play

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.0204/1450.7660.0050.76closed n/a2.74$274$4,802
  Trailing stop triggered for 5.71% gain
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/15/2015 10:35:07 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.15.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of upside range on this timeframe.

DAILY - Neutral. Market moving back and forth in relatively large range.

Good morning traders. Alibaba Group Hldg Ltd (BABA) has been a tough trade for longs since reaching 120.00 in November of 2014. However, we think recent price action is telegraphing a good long entry opportunity. Please observe the chart below.

The price action of BABA looks like a basing pattern coming off its low (blue circle) with two subsequent higher lows. Given yesterday's candlestick pattern, yesterday's low could very well be the next higher low in the series. We like an entry over yesterday's high for a rally for a move higher ahead of earnings up to the bottom of the open gap.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18036.70+59.66+0.33%
S&P 500 Index2095.84+3.41+0.16%
Nasdaq Composite4977.28-10.96-0.22%
Nasdaq 1004397.64-11.56-0.26%
Russell 20001265.350-0.02%
Spot Gold1192.60-6.70-0.56%
Crude Oil53.31+1.39+2.68%
NYSE Overall Volume3,265,669Kn/a+13.31%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,563,881Kn/a+1.89%
NYSE Breadth2.04 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.31 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio67.07
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio43.23
NYSE Advancers/Decliners784
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-222
NYSE Trin0.83
Nasdaq Trin1.11
$VIX13.67-0.27
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2091.50 4397.00
Point of Control 2089.50 4386.00
Value Area Low 2083.50 4377.00
R3 2113.004464.50
R2 2102.504438.75
R1 2096.754418.25
Pivot 2086.254392.50
S1 2080.504372.00
S2 2070.004346.25
S3 2064.254325.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed yesterday with thirteen increasing in value and twelve closing lower. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/15/2015

08:30 am - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am - Industrial Production
10:00 am - Housing Market Index
10:30 am - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm - Beige Book
04:00 pm - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ASML, DAL, KMI, NFLX, PNC, SCHW, SNDK, USB


Thursday - 04/16/15

08:30 am - Housing Starts
08:30 am - Jobless Claims
10:00 am - Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey
Reporting earnings today: AXP, BX, C, CCK, CE, GS, GWW, MAT, NOW, PM, PPG, SLB, TSM, UNH, WBS


Friday - 04/17/15

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: CMA, GE, HON, RAI, STX, SYF



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
LNN 72.75 - 72.00 69.00 Entry at bottom of two year price range
BABA 85.23 83.23 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
FCX 19.15 17.95 Moving off 3 higher low on daily chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.0204/1450.7660.0050.76closed n/a2.74$274$4,802
  Trailing stop triggered for 5.71% gain
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/14/2015 10:40:21 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - TWTR Trailing Stop Triggered
April 14, 2015
 
Company: Twitter, Inc.  - (TWTR)
 
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 48.09
Shares: 100
Exit Price: 50.76
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our trailing stop in TWTR was triggered and our shares were sold for a 2.67 point gain.  We are now flat the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/14/2015 12:33:36 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.14.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of upside range on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish to Neutral. Slight pullback at trendline resistance yesterday.

Good morning traders. We've been looking for the NASDAQ's Cumulative AD Line to improve since late 2014. Once again it is on the verge of moving up. Please observe the chart below.

The blue circles highlight the trend of higher lows of the NASDAQ Cumulative AD Line. The current reading is at recent highs and bulls are hoping the move up will continue this time. If it does, this would be one leading indicator of higher prices for NASDAQ stocks.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17977.04-80.61-0.45%
S&P 500 Index2092.43-9.63-0.46%
Nasdaq Composite4988.24-7.72-0.15%
Nasdaq 1004409.20-12.81-0.29%
Russell 20001265.58+0.81+0.06%
Spot Gold1199.30-8.80-0.73%
Crude Oil51.92+0.04+0.08%
NYSE Overall Volume2,882,062Kn/a-6.79%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,534,885Kn/a+2.51%
NYSE Breadth1.79 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.34 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio35.81
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio42.68
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-735
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-50
NYSE Trin1.10
Nasdaq Trin1.29
$VIX13.941.36
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2101.00 4441.50
Point of Control 2098.50 4435.00
Value Area Low 2090.00 4412.00
R3 2112.754472.00
R2 2107.004456.75
R1 2096.754430.00
Pivot 2091.004414.75
S1 2080.754388.00
S2 2075.004372.75
S3 2064.754346.00


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen out of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Monday. Two sectors flagged an overbought signal. These were $DJUSBK and BTK both of which closed higher for the fifth consecutive day.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/14/15

08:30 am EST - PPI-FD
08:30 am EST - Retail Sales
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
Reporting earnings today: ALSN, CSX, FAST, INTC, JBHT, JNJ, JPM, LLTC, NSR, SJR, WFC


Wednesday - 04/15/2015

08:30 am - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am - Industrial Production
10:00 am - Housing Market Index
10:30 am - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm - Beige Book
04:00 pm - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ASML, ATHN, DAL, NFLX, PNC, SCHW, SNDK, USB


Thursday - 04/16/15

08:30 am - Housing Starts
08:30 am - Jobless Claims
10:00 am - Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey
Reporting earnings today: AXP, BX, C, CCK, CE, GS, MAT, NOW, PM, PPG, SHW, SLB, TSM, UNH, WBS



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
LNN 72.75 - 72.00 69.00 Entry at bottom of two year price range

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0050.76 open 51.623.6$360$4,802
  Flagging on daily chart
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $4,802

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/13/2015 10:13:51 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.13.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Large expansion of upside range on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish, but overbought on this timeframe with lack of excess on recent highs and poor market structure underpinning the rally.

Good morning traders. Golar LNG Ltd. (GLNG) has formed a beautiful basing pattern on the daily chart pictured below.

GLNG has traded down from its all-time high of 74.44 posted on 9/1/14 and has spent all of this year putting in the basing pattern outlined in blue. It is a classic case of bears being unable to push the stock any lower as evidenced by the plotting of higher lows.

We anticipate the stock is headed up to the first target of 37.50. If this occurs, traders will have the opportunity to reduce risk by taking partial profits while leaving a remainder of the position in place for a move to the 2nd target at 42.50.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average18057.65+98.92+0.55%
S&P 500 Index2102.06+10.88+0.52%
Nasdaq Composite4995.97+21.41+0.43%
Nasdaq 1004422.02+18.06+0.41%
Russell 20001264.77+5.67+0.45%
Spot Gold1208.10+14.30+1.20%
Crude Oil51.88+1.07+2.11%
NYSE Overall Volume3,092,016Kn/a-1.87%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,497,239Kn/a-12.84%
NYSE Breadth1.82 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.03 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio64.48
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio66.95
NYSE Advancers/Decliners569
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners622
NYSE Trin0.80
Nasdaq Trin0.79
$VIX12.58-0.51
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2095.75 4415.00
Point of Control 2095.25 4414.00
Value Area Low 2089.25 4398.50
R3 2111.004455.50
R2 2103.504435.75
R1 2099.504425.25
Pivot 2092.004405.50
S1 2088.004395.00
S2 2080.504375.25
S3 2076.504364.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen out of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Friday. Four sectors are currently overbought. CEX which has closed higher seven consecutive days, $DJUSHC and DRG which have both closed higher six consecutive days, and SOX which has closed higher five consecutive days.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/13/15

02:00 pm EST - Treasury Budget
Reporting earnings today: CBSH, KMI


Tuesday - 04/14/15

08:30 am EST - PPI-FD
08:30 am EST - Retail Sales
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
Reporting earnings today: ALSN, CSX, FAST, INTC, JBHT, JNJ, JPM, LLTC, NSR, WFC


Wednesday - 04/15/2015

08:30 am - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am - Industrial Production
10:00 am - Housing Market Index
10:30 am - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm - Beige Book
04:00 pm - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ASML, DAL, NFLX, PNC, SCHW, SNDK, USB



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
CYBX 66.12 63.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
LNN 72.75 - 72.00 69.00 Entry at bottom of two year price range
GLNG 35.21 33.21 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/13/15-04/17/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0050.76 open 51.943.92$392$4,802
  Flagging on the daily chart
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/06/15-04/10/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
AAPLlong 12504/06127.0204/09124.95145.00124.95closed n/a(2.07)($259)$15,878
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $4,802

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/12/2015 11:10:32 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.10.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Neutral. Inside candle on this timeframe.

DAILY - Neutral to Bullish. Market continues to firm at higher end of range.

Good morning traders. Today we have listed two medical related names in the Bulls and Bears section we believe are headed for higher prices. One of these is Cyberonics, Inc. (CYBX) which is pictured below.

The "handle" portion of the cup & handle pattern outlined on the chart above has been a gradual, orderly pullback which is what we like to see after a strong move higher (orange oval). This, opposed to sharp selling with little overlap in daily price bars, signals acceptance and digestion of the higher prices before the next leg up. In general, it is more difficult for stocks to recover from strong selloffs which is not the case here. We think the stock will return to test prior highs in coming weeks.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17958.73+56.22+0.31%
S&P 500 Index2091.18+9.28+0.45%
Nasdaq Composite4974.56+23.74+0.48%
Nasdaq 1004403.95+27.99+0.64%
Russell 20001259.10-3.60-0.29%
Spot Gold1193.80-9.50-0.79%
Crude Oil50.81+0.37+0.73%
NYSE Overall Volume3,150,915Kn/a-2.65%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,717,783Kn/a+2.62%
NYSE Breadth1.33 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.64 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio57.00
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio62.08
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-9
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-142
NYSE Trin0.75
Nasdaq Trin0.55
$VIX13.09-0.89
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2086.75 4386.50
Point of Control 2084.25 4377.00
Value Area Low 2074.25 4362.00
R3 2113.174462.50
R2 2100.084431.25
R1 2092.924415.25
Pivot 2079.834384.00
S1 2072.674368.00
S2 2059.584336.75
S3 2052.424320.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


For the third day in a row, ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed yesterday. This time, fifteen sectors closed higher while ten ended lower. CEX remained overbought with its sixth consecutive higher close while DRG flagged an overbought signal with its fifth consecutive higher close. Beyond this, no sectors, nor the broad marekt, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/10/2015

08:30 am - Import Export Prices
02:00 pm - Treasury Budget
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Monday - 04/13/15

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: CBSH, KMI


Tuesday - 04/14/15

08:30 am EST - PPI-FD
08:30 am EST - Retail Sales
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
Reporting earnings today: ALSN, CSX, FAST, INTC, JBHT, JNJ, JPM, LLTC, NSR, WFC



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
CYBX 66.12 63.90 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
XRAY 51.48 50.35 Double bottom on daily chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/06/15-04/10/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0050.76 open 52.174.15$415$4,802
  Doji on Thursday's price bar
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/06/15-04/10/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
AAPLlong 12504/06127.0204/09124.95145.00124.95closed n/a(2.07)($259)$15,878
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $4,802

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/9/2015 10:42:24 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AAPL Trailing Stop Triggered
April 9, 2015
 
Company: Apple Computer - (AAPL)
Action: Trailing Stop Triggered
Entry Price: 127.02
Shares: 125
Exit Price: 124.95
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation: Our trailing stop for AAPL was triggered and our shares were sold.  We are now flat the stock.
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/9/2015 11:50:38 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 04.09.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Closed near the middle of prior month's price range.

WEEKLY - Neutral. Inside candle on this timeframe.

DAILY - Neutral. Market balancing in range.

Good morning traders. Today we have listed CME Group, Inc. (CME) as a long trade idea in the Bulls and Bears section. The setup is illustrated on the chart below.

CME sold off over the last four days for its second leg lower from the higher-high made on 03/20.

Just under yesterday's low is the ascending trendline from the low on 10/15/14 and the prior inflection level around 90.00. The stock is oversold, and we're looking for a reversal off this area of technical support.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17902.51+27.09+0.15%
S&P 500 Index2081.90+5.57+0.27%
Nasdaq Composite4950.82+40.58+0.83%
Nasdaq 1004375.96+31.88+0.73%
Russell 20001262.70+9.35+0.75%
Spot Gold1203.30-7.30-0.60%
Crude Oil50.44-3.52-6.52%
NYSE Overall Volume3,236,775Kn/a+7.00%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,673,971Kn/a+6.94%
NYSE Breadth1.32 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.27 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio56.85
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio69.46
NYSE Advancers/Decliners690
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners751
NYSE Trin1.21
Nasdaq Trin0.79
$VIX13.98-0.80
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2077.25 4370.50
Point of Control 2074.75 4365.00
Value Area Low 2072.25 4356.00
R3 2096.754429.00
R2 2088.504402.75
R1 2082.254388.75
Pivot 2074.004362.50
S1 2067.754348.50
S2 2059.504322.25
S3 2053.254308.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Wednesday. Sixteen closed higher while nine ended lower. CEX flagged an overbought signal with its fifth consecutive higher close. Beyond this, no sectors, nor the broad marekt, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 04/09/15

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: STZ, WBA, ZEP


Friday - 04/10/2015

08:30 am - Import Export Prices
02:00 pm - Treasury Budget
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Monday - 04/13/15

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: CBSH, KMI



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
CME 90.06 81.80 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 04/06/15-04/10/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
TWTRlong 10003/1948.02 n/a n/a 60.0050.76 open 52.304.28$428$4,802
  Raised stop to 50.76
AAPLlong 12504/06127.02 n/a n/a 145.00124.95 open 125.60(1.42)($178)$15,878
  Moved stop up to 124.95
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 04/06/15-04/10/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 225 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $20,680

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

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ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/8/2015 10:29:49 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AAPL Move the Stop
 
April 8, 2015
 
Company: Apple Computer - (AAPL)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 127.02
Shares: 125
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 124.95
Target: 145.00
 
Trade Explanation: We adjusted our stop on AAPL higher this morning to just under today's first 15 minute low in order to reduce some exposure ahead of today's Fed minutes.
 
ShadowTrader
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 4/8/2015 9:46:07 AM | 0 Comments