ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - SUNE Buy the Stock
 
December 18, 2014
 
Company: SunEdison, Inc.  - (SUNE)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 19.73
Shares: 350
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 18.34
Target: 23.20
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought SUNE off the higher low after the stock filled the prior gap on the daily chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:31:13 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - NMBL Buy the Stock
 
December 18, 2014
 
Company: Nimble Storage, Inc.  - (NMBL)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 28.68
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 26.25
Target: 31.30
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought NMBL here in anticipation  of a breakout from the month long inverse head and shoulder pattern on the daily chart and increasing OBV.  This trade was listed in the Bulls and Bears section of today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:18:46 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - DDS Buy the Stock
December 18 , 2014
 
Company: Dillards, Inc. - (DDS)
Action: Buy the Stock 
Entry Price: 117.04
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 114.80
Target: 130.00
 
 
Trade Explanation: We bought DDS per the set up illustrated in Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:16:09 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - BABA Buy the Stock (Add to Position)
December 18 , 2014
 
Company: Alibaba Group Hldg Ltd ADR - (BABA)
Action: Buy the Stock (Add to Position)
Entry Price: 110.71
Shares: 100 
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 105.35
Target: 119.00
 
 
Trade Explanation: We added 100 shares to our BABA position which brings our total position to 300 shares with an average price of 107.09.  We have aslo moved our stop up to 105.35.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:03:53 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 12.18.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Break and close above three month resistance off prior month's reversal bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Expansion of range on Friday and testing 50ma on this timeframe which usually does not hold price. Path of least resistance is to the 50% fibonacci retracement of the up move from early October at the 1950 area.

DAILY - Neutral. Value unchaged over last two days. Yesterday's rally was first not faded in last six trading days.

Good morning traders. Exterran Holdings, Inc. (EXH) has a nice technical setup to benefit from further relief in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks. Please observe the chart below.

On Tuesday, EXH found support at swing lows of December 2013. After yesterday's move back higher, Tuesday's price action also looks like a failed breakdown out of the triangle illustrated by the magenta lines. Failed breakdowns often lead to strong moves in the opposite direction which could be the case here.

Support of the prior swing low and Tuesday's low provide a solid location under which to place a protective stop. A long entry is set just over yesterday's high with three progressive price targets, for staged profit taking, noted on the chart.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17356.87+288.00+1.69%
S&P 500 Index2012.89+40.15+2.04%
Nasdaq Composite4644.31+96.47+2.12%
Nasdaq 1004165.09+75.49+1.85%
Russell 20001174.83+35.46+3.11%
Spot Gold1194.90+0.60+0.05%
Crude Oil56.75+0.88+1.58%
NYSE Overall Volume4,900,548Kn/a-0.33%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,255,962Kn/a+1.83%
NYSE Breadth20.36 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth10.56 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio95.32
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio91.35
NYSE Advancers/Decliners2434
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners1609
NYSE Trin0.38
Nasdaq Trin0.37
$VIX19.44-4.13
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1999.50 4167.00
Point of Control 1980.00 4160.50
Value Area Low 1971.50 4107.50
R3 2063.834273.25
R2 2037.424220.50
R1 2022.834190.00
Pivot 1996.424137.25
S1 1981.834106.75
S2 1955.424054.00
S3 1940.834023.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty four of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday. The only sector to close lower was $DJUSCA. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Thursday - 12/18/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: ACN, ATU, CAG, CTAS, NKE, RHT, SAFM, WGO, WOR


Friday - 12/19/14

Quadruple Witching
No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: CCL, FINL, KMX, PAYX


Monday - 12/22/2014

08:30 am EST - Chicago Fed National Activity Index
10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
DDS 116.61 112.61 Please see Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
INSY 43.23 40.23 7th attempt to break resistance sine April of 2014
SCTY 50.75 47.52 Anticipating follow through higher from bottoming tail at key support level on daily chart
CVLT 50.10 47.55 Looking for follow through higher off higher low on daily chart
CYBR 38.80 36.44 New issue, anticipating break above descending trendline on daily
EXH 32.52 30.52 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
NMBL 28.80 27.30 Month long inverted head & shoulders pattern on daily with increasing OBV

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
BABAlong 20012/15105.29 n/a n/a 119.00103.00 open 109.023.73$746$21,058
  Broke out from descending channel on daily
TRUElong 30012/1720.78 n/a n/a 25.0019.00 open 20.990.21$63$6,234
  Re-entered position following three day pullback
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
WDAYlong 25012/0983.1712/1580.7596.2580.75closed n/a(2.42)($605)$20,793
  Stopped out
ZENlong 25012/0924.3612/1522.528.3022.50closed n/a(1.86)($465)$6,090
  Stopped out
TWTRlong 30012/0937.0412/1537.3346.2534.52closed n/a0.29$87$11,112
  Trailing stop triggered
TRUElong 25011/1718.2712/1619.5123.6518.27closed n/a1.24$310$4,568
  Trailing stop triggered
BBBYlong 25012/1573.1712/1673.278.0071.11closed n/a0.03$8$18,293
  Scratched Trade
TOTALS: 500 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $27,292

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/17/2014 10:41:46 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - TRUE Buy the Stock
December 17, 2014
 
Company: TrueCar, Inc.  - (TRUE)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 20.78
Shares: 300
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 19.00
Target: 25.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We re-entered a position in TRUE following the pullback to the short term ascending trendline over the past three days.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/17/2014 2:39:45 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 12.17.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Break and close above three month resistance off prior month's reversal bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Expansion of range on Friday and testing 50ma on this timeframe which usually does not hold price. Path of least resistance is to the 50% fibonacci retracement of the up move from early October at the 1950 area.

DAILY - Bearish. Short covering rallies now being sold. Bias is down. FOMC decision today at 2:00 pm EST.

Good morning traders. Application of the McClellan Oscillator to the NYSE for comparison to the S&P 500 Index(SPX) has a good history of flagging approaching bottom reversals. Please observe the chart below.

Three of the last four times the McClellan Oscillator touched or moved below the -200 line, a reversal in the SPX occurred within days. The successful signals this year are highlighted by green circles and the one unsuccessful signal is circled in red.

We bring this to your attention today because the McClellan Oscillator has once again dipped below the -200 line (blue circle).

It should be noted that in our experience, the McClellan Oscillator is much more useful in signaling bottoming points than topping points.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17068.87-111.97-0.65%
S&P 500 Index1972.74-16.89-0.85%
Nasdaq Composite4547.8341-57.32-1.24%
Nasdaq 1004089.60-67.81-1.63%
Russell 20001139.37-0.92-0.08%
Spot Gold1194.30-13.30-1.10%
Crude Oil55.87-0.09-0.16%
NYSE Overall Volume4,916,557Kn/a+13.86%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,215,371Kn/a+3.85%
NYSE Breadth1.30 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth2.19 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio43.48
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio31.36
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-511
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-312
NYSE Trin0.93
Nasdaq Trin1.73
$VIX23.573.15
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1992.50 4148.75
Point of Control 1983.50 4131.25
Value Area Low 1966.50 4092.75
R3 2041.084257.42
R2 2026.174223.58
R1 1995.584153.42
Pivot 1980.674119.58
S1 1950.084049.42
S2 1935.174015.58
S3 1904.583945.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Tuesday. The six sectors that closed higher were XNG, XOI, OSX, TOB, $DJUSCL, and $DJUSRR. No sectors nor the broad market are flagging an overbought or oversold signal at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 12/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: FDX, GIS, JOY, ORCL


Thursday - 12/18/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: ACN, ATU, CAG, NKE, RHT, SAFM


Friday - 12/19/14

Quadruple Witching
No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: WGO



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
DDS 117.10 112.10 Please see Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
KATE 29.86 28.16 Anticipating move higher out of short term descending channel

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
BABAlong 20012/15105.29 n/a n/a 119.00103.00 open 105.770.48$96$21,058
  Showed relative strength in late trading on Tuesday
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
WDAYlong 25012/0983.1712/1580.7596.2580.75closed n/a(2.42)($605)$20,793
  Stopped out
ZENlong 25012/0924.3612/1522.528.3022.50closed n/a(1.86)($465)$6,090
  Stopped out
TWTRlong 30012/0937.0412/1537.3346.2534.52closed n/a0.29$87$11,112
  Trailing stop triggered
TRUElong 25011/1718.2712/1619.5123.6518.27closed n/a1.24$310$4,568
  Trailing stop triggered
BBBYlong 25012/1573.1712/1673.278.0071.11closed n/a0.03$8$18,293
  Scratched Trade
TOTALS: 200 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $21,058

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/16/2014 10:41:15 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - BBBY Sell the Stock
Decmeber 16, 2014
 
Company: Bed Bath & Beyond - (BBBY)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 73.17
Shares: 250
Exit Price: 73.20
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  We scratched our trade in BBBY for breakeven.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/16/2014 11:04:30 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - TRUE Trailing stop Triggered
December 16, 2014
 
Company: True Care Inc.  - (TRUE)
Action: Tailing Stop Triggered
Entry Price: 18.27
Shares: 250
Exit Price: 19.51
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our trailing stop in TRUE was triggered and our shares were sold for a 1.24 point gain.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/16/2014 10:20:43 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - TRUE Move the Stop (15 Minute Rule)
December 16, 2014
 
Company: True Care Inc.  - (TRUE)
Action: Move the Stop (15 Minute Rule)
Entry Price: 18.27
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 19.51
Target: 23.65
 
Trade Explanation:  We moved our stop on TRUE to 19.51 which is just below today's first 15 minute bar.  This rule can be found in the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Users Guide on pages 11 and 12 under the heading "STOCKS THAT GAP UP OR DOWN THROUGH OR VERY CLOSE TO STOPS".
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/16/2014 9:43:49 AM | 0 Comments