ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - EXC Sell the Stock
 
August 21, 2014
 
Company: Exelon Corp, Inc. - (EXC)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 32.43
Shares: 500
Exit Price: 32.04
Stop: 31.50
Target: 34.70
 
Trade Explanation:  EXE has retraced more than 50% of today's breakout candle and is headed back into the consolidation range.  We have sold the stock for a small loss.
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/21/2014 10:32:53 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - EXC Buy the Stock
August 21, 2014
 
Company: Exelon Corp, Inc. - (EXC)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 32.41
Shares: 500
Price n/a
Stop: 31.50
Target: 34.70
 
Trade Explanation:  EXE has broken out of consolidation.  We have bought 500 shares and are now long the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/21/2014 9:46:08 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 08.21.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Toppy. Not all out bearish on this timeframe but higher high and close on low of July bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Follow through higher off prior week's large bottoming tail price bar.

DAILY - Bullish. Sixth consecutive close higher for SPX with yesterday's high just under prior all time high. Poor high on the yesterday's profile as value continues to advance higher.

Good morning traders. Biotechnology stocks continue to be represented in daily lists of top performing stocks. We believe Aegerion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AEGR) will have its turn in the near future. Please observe the chart below.

An above average number of shares changed hands when AEGR made a higher low (blue ovals) approximately eight trading days ago.

The bottoming tail of the price bar on that particular day along with the lack of follow through lower are clues that shares went from short traders to longs.

Since then, the stock has moved sideways to up, threatening remaining shorts with a pending breakout higher.

We've placed a long entry just over yesterday's high with a stop positioned 1.5 time the daily average true range beneath the entry which also falls below the ascending trendline.

A move back up to test the bottom of the open gap at 36.55 is a 2.36 to 1.0 reward to risk ratio. Traders might consider taking partial profits at this level and hold the remainder of the position until the second target at 40.00 which is a 4.0 to 1.0 reward to risk ratio.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16979.13+59.54+0.35%
S&P 500 Index1986.51+4.91+0.25%
Nasdaq Composite4526.48-1.03-0.02%
Nasdaq 1004040.70+0.57+0.01%
Russell 20001157.51-4.95-0.43%
Spot Gold1291.18-4.52-0.35%
Crude Oil96.07+1.13+1.19%
NYSE Overall Volume2,549,657Kn/a-3.05%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,490,701Kn/a-3.45%
NYSE Breadth2.12 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.17 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio67.92
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio54.02
NYSE Advancers/Decliners83
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-645
NYSE Trin0.50
Nasdaq Trin0.52
$VIX11.78-0.43
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1983.00 4041.25
Point of Control 1980.50 4036.00
Value Area Low 1976.50 4033.50
R3 1998.504061.83
R2 1992.254054.17
R1 1987.754046.83
Pivot 1981.504039.17
S1 1977.004031.83
S2 1970.754024.17
S3 1966.254016.83


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


For the sixth trading day out of the last seven, ShadowTrader Sector breadth was bullish yesterday. Twenty two sectors closed higher while three ended lower. The sectors that closed lower were $DJUSNS, $DJUSSW, and TOB. Eight sectors are overbought including XNG, $DJUSIT, CEX, XAL, $DJUSHC, $DJUSRR, SOX, and BTK.

The broad market is also registering overbought signals at this point.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 08/21/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash 10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: CRM, DLTR, GME, GPS, HRL, INTU, PDCO, PLCE, ROST, SHLD, WUBA


Friday - 08/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Janet Yellen Speaks
Reporting earnings today: ANN, FL


Monday - 08/25/14

10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: BIG, GES, GLNG, QIHU, WSM



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
NSR 29.96 27.44 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
WFM 39.15 37.80 Anticipating breakout from consolidation
PCLN 1252.60 1217.60 Entry at ascending trendline from 05/08 low on daily chart
COH 37.12 35.80 Looking for break into low resistance area just overhead
AEGR 31.60 29.50 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Nlong 25008/1883.47 n/a n/a 92.4581.12 open 84.040.57$143$20,868
  Closed in upper half of prior day's price bar
LULUlong 22508/2040.11 n/a n/a 46.3538.00 open 40(0.11)($25)$9,025
  Entered on move over descending trendline from
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 475 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $29,893

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/20/2014 9:59:01 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - LULU Buy the Stock
August 20, 2014
 
Company: Lululemon Athletica, Inc. - (LULU)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 40.11
Shares: 225
Price n/a
Stop: 38.00
Target: 46.35
 
Trade Explanation:  We have bought LULU with the price move over the descending trendline from the high on 04/04.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/20/2014 3:35:08 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - N Move the Stop
 
August 20, 2014
 
Company: NetSuite, Inc. - (N)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 83.36
Shares: 250
Price: n/a
Stop: 82.90
Target: 92.45
 
Trade Explanation: We have moved the stop on N up 82.90 which is just under yesterday's low.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/20/2014 11:02:06 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 08.20.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Toppy. Not all out bearish on this timeframe but higher high and close on low of July bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Follow through higher off prior week's large bottoming tail price bar.

DAILY - Bullish. However, fifth consecutive close higher for SPX as it nears first test of all time high made on 07/24/14. Poor high on the daily profile once again.

Good morning traders. It was just four short issues ago that we laid out technical resistance levels waiting to challenge the S&P 500 Index (SPY). Fast forward to yesterday's close, and the broad market has cut through those levels like they didn't even exist. Please observe the chart below.(

The check marks highlight the levels that caused virtually no reaction by SPY.

The only resistance level left is the all-time high at 199.06. This level may actually have a chance to quell the market given that it is the first test of the prior high and the market is now flagging overbought signals.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16919.59+80.85+0.48%
S&P 500 Index1981.60+9.86+0.50%
Nasdaq Composite4527.51+19.20+0.43%
Nasdaq 1004040.12+19.63+0.49%
Russell 20001162.47+4.06+0.35%
Spot Gold1295.70-2.90-0.22%
Crude Oil94.94-1.75-1.81%
NYSE Overall Volume2,629,802Kn/a+1.59%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,543,907Kn/a-1.29%
NYSE Breadth2.26 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.20 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio69.36
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio68.75
NYSE Advancers/Decliners873
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners244
NYSE Trin0.80
Nasdaq Trin0.55
$VIX12.21-0.11
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1979.50 4034.25
Point of Control 1978.50 4027.75
Value Area Low 1974.50 4023.25
R3 1990.084059.67
R2 1984.924050.08
R1 1981.084042.17
Pivot 1975.924032.58
S1 1972.084024.67
S2 1966.924015.08
S3 1963.084007.17


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. The sectors that closed lower were XBD, XTC, $DJUSCA, and GOX. $DJUSSW remains overbought having closed higher nine consecutive days. CEX is overbought with six consecutive higher closes. Seven other sectors flagged an overbought signal yesterday, each making their fifth consecutive close higher. These are XNG, $DJUSIT, XAL, $DJUSHC, $DJUSRR, SOX, UTY, and BTK.

Not surprisingly, the broad market has also reached overbought status on two of our statistical measures

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 08/20/14

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Minutes
Reporting earnings today: EV, GLOG, HAIN, HPQ, LB, LOW, MSG, PETM, SMTC, SNPS, TGT


Thursday - 08/21/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash 10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: CRM, DLTR, GME, GPS,  HRL, INTU, PDCO, ROST,  SHLD, WUBA


Friday - 08/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Janet Yellen Speaks
Reporting earnings today: ANN, BBL, FL, RY  



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
NSR 29.96 27.44 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
WFM 39.15 37.80 Anticipating breakout from consolidation
PCLN 1251.00 1216.00 Entry at ascending trendline from 05/08 low on daily chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Nlong 25008/1883.47 n/a n/a 92.4581.12 open 84.40.93$233$20,868
  Nice follow through higher from consolidation breakout
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 250 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $20,868

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/19/2014 8:46:08 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 08.19.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Toppy. Not all out bearish on this timeframe but higher high and close on low of July bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Follow through higher off prior week's large bottoming tail price bar.

DAILY - Bullish. Traded through short term resistance. Poor high on the daily profile.

Good morning traders. Although the broad stock market may rest today after yesterday's big move higher, the picture below provides a look at why we think stocks are destined to trade higher in the near term.

The chart above illustrates the weekly S&P 500 Index (SPY), versus weekly money market fund flows.

The red rectangle surrounds the 07/28 weekly SPY price bar. This weekly decline put many on notice that a steep correction was imminent and in response, flows into money market accounts increased over the following two weeks (red circle).

Once all this money was out of stocks, safe and secure in cash, the market began the current rip higher leaving a lot of cash behind to chase price higher. This is an excellent demonstration of the stock market's true nature that plays out time after time, in both directions.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16838.74+175.83+1.06%
S&P 500 Index1971.74+16.68+0.85%
Nasdaq Composite4508.31+43.38+0.97%
Nasdaq 1004020.49+32.98+0.83%
Russell 20001158.40+16.75+1.47%
Spot Gold1298.60-6.18-0.47%
Crude Oil96.69-0.66-0.68%
NYSE Overall Volume2,588,571Kn/a-12.65%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,564,140Kn/a-12.03%
NYSE Breadth4.31 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth5.10 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio81.17
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio83.59
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1785
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners1236
NYSE Trin0.87
Nasdaq Trin0.53
$VIX12.32-0.83
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1968.25 4018.50
Point of Control 1967.25 4016.00
Value Area Low 1965.75 4012.00
R3 1978.334041.00
R2 1973.674030.25
R1 1970.584021.75
Pivot 1965.924011.00
S1 1962.834002.50
S2 1958.173991.75
S3 1955.083983.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty three of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Monday. The two that ended lower were UTY and $DJUSCL. $DJUSSW remains overbought having closed higher eight consecutive days. CEX flagged an overbought signal yesterday with its fifth consecutive higher close. Seven other sectors have closed higher four days in a row putting each one more higher close (today) away from being overbought.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 08/19/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
Reporting earnings today: CMCM, DKS, HD, MDT, TJX, YOKU


Wednesday - 08/20/14

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Minutes
Reporting earnings today: GLOG, HAIN, HPQ, IRF, LB, LOW, MSG, PETM, TGT


Thursday - 08/21/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash 10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: CRM, DLTR, GME, GPS, INTU, ROST, SHLD, WUBA



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
NSR 29.96 27.44 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
WFM 39.15 37.80 Please see today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
PCLN 1250.00 1215.00 Entry at ascending trendline from 05/08 low on daily chart
CMG 687.30 671.30 Anticipating breakout from month long consolidation
UA 70.51 67.75 Looking for breakout off higher low on daily chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Nlong 25008/1883.47 n/a n/a 92.4581.12 open 82.82(0.65)($163)$20,868
  Tight consolidation
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 250 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $20,868

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/18/2014 9:38:42 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - N Buy the Stock
August 18, 2014
 
Company: NetSuite, Inc. - (N)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 83.47
Shares: 250
Price: n/a
Stop: 81.12
Target: 92.45
 
Trade Explanation: We have bought N per the trade setup illustrated in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/18/2014 9:36:24 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 08.18.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Toppy. Not all out bearish on this timeframe but higher high and close on low of July bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Follow through higher off prior week's large bottoming tail price bar.

DAILY - Neutral. Reversed lower from short term resistance area, but then regained more than half of day's pullback to close almost flat.

Good morning traders. Netsuite, Inc. (M) is listed as a long trade idea in today's Bulls and Bears section. Please observe the chart below.

The dashed blue line traces the cup & handle pattern currently formed on the daily chart of N. With price holding support of the ascending trendline and coiling into the corner of the short term triangle, we think the stock is a good candidate for a strong move higher. If price triggers the entry at 83.12, we'll look for the stock to trade up to the 200 day moving average (blue line).

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16662.91-50.67-0.30%
S&P 500 Index1955.06-0.12-0.01%
Nasdaq Composite4464.92+11.92+0.27%
Nasdaq 1003987.51+18.39+0.46%
Russell 20001141.65-1.69-0.15%
Spot Gold1304.78-7.58-0.58%
Crude Oil97.35+1.81+1.89%
NYSE Overall Volume2,963,606Kn/a+15.34%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,777,957Kn/a+15.68%
NYSE Breadth1.32 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.15 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio43.02
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio53.45
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-69
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-379
NYSE Trin1.27
Nasdaq Trin0.65
$VIX13.150.73
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1953.00 3984.00
Point of Control 1945.50 3967.00
Value Area Low 1942.00 3958.50
R3 1987.004051.17
R2 1974.004022.83
R1 1963.254003.92
Pivot 1950.253975.58
S1 1939.503956.67
S2 1926.503928.33
S3 1915.753909.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Friday. Thirteen closed higher while twelve closed lower. $DJUSSW remains overbought having closed higher seven consecutive days. Beyond this, no other sectors are overbought or oversold at this point.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 08/18/2014

10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
Reporting earnings today: CRH, JKS, MCRS, URBN


Tuesday - 08/19/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
Reporting earnings today: CMCM, DKS, HD, MDT, TJX, YOKU


Wednesday - 08/20/14

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Minutes
Reporting earnings today: GLOG, HAIN, HPQ, LB, LOW, MSG, PETM, TGT



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
JBHT 74.15 73.50 Entry at ascending trendline from 9/20/12 low
NSR 29.96 27.44 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
N 83.12 81.12 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
MAN 72.47-71.86 69.25 Entry at prior lows

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 08/18/14 - 08/22/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 08/11/14 - 08/15/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
ADIlong 27508/0748.9008/0849.7053.0048.92closed n/a0.8$220$13,448
  Exited on lack of follow through higher
ASHlong 25008/0798.7608/13103.17110.0098.20closed n/a4.41$1103$24,690
  Sold 100 shares @ 100.81 and 150 shares @ 104.74
NMBLlong 25008/1528.0608/1527.2735.0026.06closed n/a(0.79)($198)$7,015
  Breakout failure
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/17/2014 8:00:17 PM | 2 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - NMBL Sell the Stock
August 15, 2014
 
Company: Nimble Storage, Inc. - (NMBL)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 28.06
Shares: 250
Exit Price: 27.27
Stop: 26.06
Target: 35.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have sold NMBL on the breakout failure.  We are now flat the stock.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 8/15/2014 10:43:07 AM | 0 Comments