ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - IBM Sell the Stock
September 18, 2014
 
Company: International Business Machines - (IBM)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 193.90
Shares: 175
Exit Price: 193.26
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  We sold IBM on this collapse after this morning's gap up.  We are now flat the stock and 100% cash in the 
ShadowTrader model portfolio
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/19/2014 1:18:24 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.19.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish. S&P 500 Index at new all-time highs.

Good morning traders. Price pays the bills, but it is important to note that while the S&P 500 Index (SPX) hit all-time highs yesterday, the NYSE Cumulative AD Line is not keeping pace. Please observe the chart below.

The NYSE Cumulative AD Line (red) is coming off a lower-low and has yet to overcome the most recent lower high. This clear divergence from SPX price action is not indicative of a rising market with strong support. Make note of this fact the ongoing market narrative.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17265.99+109.14+0.64%
S&P 500 Index2011.36+9.79+0.49%
Nasdaq Composite4593.42+31.23+0.68%
Nasdaq 1004103.08+29.51+0.72%
Russell 20001159.27+5.38+0.47%
Spot Gold1225.15+3.88+0.32%
Crude Oil93.07-0.39-0.42%
NYSE Overall Volume3,188,310Kn/a+1.64%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,749,783Kn/a-1.61%
NYSE Breadth1.39 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.93 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio58.22
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio65.87
NYSE Advancers/Decliners655
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners527
NYSE Trin1.11
Nasdaq Trin0.77
$VIX12.03-0.62
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2004.25 4093.75
Point of Control 2001.75 4086.25
Value Area Low 2000.75 4082.75
R3 2015.004127.33
R2 2010.004111.67
R1 2007.254104.08
Pivot 2002.254088.42
S1 1999.504080.83
S2 1994.504065.17
S3 1991.754057.58


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday. $DJSINS is the only sector signaling an extreme reading with five consecutive days higher. However close behind are DRG, CEX, and $DJUSRR. Each has four consecutive higher closes.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/19/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or more with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Monday - 09/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or more with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 09/23/14

09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
Reporting earnings today: BBBY, CCL, KMX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
IBMlong 17509/18193.95 n/a n/a 212.00191.30 open 193.75(0.2)($35)$33,941
  Entered on break of short term trendline
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.7509/1519.7524.2019.75closed n/a0$0$9,875
  Trailing stop hit on remaining shares for breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.3009/1516.6527.5016.65closed n/a(0.65)($211)$5,623
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 175 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $33,941

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/18/2014 10:49:43 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - IBM Buy the Stock
September 18, 2014
 
Company: International Business Machines - (IBM)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 193.95
Shares: 175
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 191.30
Target: 212.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought IBM on this move out of the triangle on the Daily chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/18/2014 10:55:09 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.18.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish. FOMC move to new all time highs and holding.

Good morning traders. The telecommunications sector (XTC) saw 40.0% more transactions on the uptick versus the downtick yesterday. This bullish indication prompted us to look into component and related names for bullish setups. The most interesting to us in this group is CenturyLink, Inc. (CTL). Please observe the chart below.

CTL closed higher off the higher-low and ascending trendline following Janet Yellen's press conference yesterday. We're looking for follow through today and have set an entry just over yesterday's high with a protective stop placed under the ascending trendline.

This is a "grinding" type stock, so those taking the trade should have longer patience than usual for the CTL to work higher.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17156.85+24.88+0.15%
S&P 500 Index2001.57+2.59+0.13%
Nasdaq Composite4562.18+9.43+0.21%
Nasdaq 1004073.56+6.29+0.15%
Russell 20001153.88+2.92+0.25%
Spot Gold1221.27-15.28-1.24%
Crude Oil93.46-1.42-1.50%
NYSE Overall Volume3,136,840Kn/a+0.38%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,778,344Kn/a-4.35%
NYSE Breadth1.06 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.55 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio51.39
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio60.80
NYSE Advancers/Decliners86
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners331
NYSE Trin1.00
Nasdaq Trin0.83
$VIX12.65-0.08
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1998.25 4071.00
Point of Control 1993.75 4066.00
Value Area Low 1991.25 4053.00
R3 2023.584131.17
R2 2013.424107.58
R1 2003.584086.42
Pivot 1993.424062.83
S1 1983.584041.67
S2 1973.424018.08
S3 1963.583996.92


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Wednesday. Fourteen sectors closed higher while eleven closed lower. TOB is the only sector signaling an extreme reading with five consecutive days lower. Beyond this, no other sectors, nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/18/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: CAG, ORCL, RHT, TIBX


Friday - 09/19/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or more with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Monday - 09/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: CCL



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.87 24.95 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
AMZN 316.84 306.84 Please see Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
CTL 40.66 39.50 Please see Today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.7509/1519.7524.2019.75closed n/a0$0$9,875
  Trailing stop hit on remaining shares for breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.3009/1516.6527.5016.65closed n/a(0.65)($211)$5,623
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/17/2014 10:25:26 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.17.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bullish. Large engulfing candle on the daily which broke the recent downtrend and closed near it's high.

Good morning traders. We are continuing to track the insurance sector ($DJSINS) for an upside breakout. Please observe the chart below.

We've had the Fibonacci extension on the weekly chart of $DJSINS for some time. The green ovals highlight how the 100.0% level has thwarted further upside, but also how many times the sector has attempted to move through the level. The more times price challenges the 100% level, the greater the probability a breakout will occur.

Individual component stocks and related names of this sector include PRE, ACE, RNR, TRV, CB, PRU, RGA, PL, AIZ, ALL, AFL, ENH, AIG, MET, LNC, ACGL, PFG, TMK, MMC, WRB, CINF, AXS, AHL, L, WSH, AFSI, VR, SLF, HIG, UNM, XL, BRO, FAF, EHTH, PGR, SYA, AGO, AEL, MFC, CNO, ORI, ING, GNW, MHLD, MBI, and AEG.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17131.97+100.83+0.59%
S&P 500 Index1998.98+14.85+0.75%
Nasdaq Composite4552.75+33.85+0.75%
Nasdaq 1004067.27+37.38+0.93%
Russell 20001150.97+4.45+0.39%
Spot Gold1236.55+3.42+0.28%
Crude Oil94.88+1.96+2.11%
NYSE Overall Volume3,124,890Kn/a+13.69%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,859,197Kn/a-3.31%
NYSE Breadth2.78 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.10 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio73.57
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio67.71
NYSE Advancers/Decliners861
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners208
NYSE Trin0.64
Nasdaq Trin0.56
$VIX12.73-1.39
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1994.50 4066.25
Point of Control 1991.50 4059.25
Value Area Low 1979.50 4024.75
R3 2024.174144.00
R2 2009.334105.25
R1 2000.424081.75
Pivot 1985.584043.00
S1 1976.674019.50
S2 1961.833980.75
S3 1952.923957.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. The four sectors that ended lower were XBD, TOB, $DJUSCA, and $DJUSHB. No sectors, nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: FDX, GIS, LEN, UNFI


Thursday - 09/18/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: CAG, ORCL, RHT, TIBX


Friday - 09/19/2014

No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or more with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.77 24.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
AMZN 315.50 305.50 Please see Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.7509/1519.7524.2019.75closed n/a0$0$9,875
  Trailing stop hit on remaining shares for breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.3009/1516.6527.5016.65closed n/a(0.65)($211)$5,623
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/17/2014 12:53:05 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.16.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish to neutral. Continued new lows daily but value not breaking away to downside for some time now. Although current trend is down, we feel traders may be getting themselves overly short without anything to show for it, so the possibility of a snapback rally is definitely on the table.

Good morning traders. Recent weakness in the Nasdaq has taken a lot of the stocks that Brad and Peter call "Jumbotrons" down sharply. Not the least of which is Amazon.com. Maybe people are selling it to free up some cash for the highly anticipated Alibaba (BABA) offering happening this Friday, or maybe it just needed a little corrective activity. The "why" never really matters as all the money is made in the "what". The chart below shows some trendline support coming in soon which we think is buyable for a bounce.

The lower trendline has an endpoint at approximately $315.50 give or take a few cents, which is a legitimate buy point for the shares.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17031.14+43.63+0.26%
S&P 500 Index1984.13-1.41-0.07%
Nasdaq Composite4518.90-48.69-1.07%
Nasdaq 1004029.8-39.34-0.97%
Russell 20001146.51-14.09-1.21%
Spot Gold1233.13+3.48+0.28%
Crude Oil92.92+0.65+0.70%
NYSE Overall Volume2,748,697Kn/a-13.33%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,922,915Kn/a+9.70%
NYSE Breadth1.44 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth5.46 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio40.97
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio15.49
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-994
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1435
NYSE Trin0.74
Nasdaq Trin1.65
$VIX14.120.81
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1976.00 4033.00
Point of Control 1974.50 4024.00
Value Area Low 1972.00 4018.00
R3 1989.674115.50
R2 1984.334091.50
R1 1980.174058.50
Pivot 1974.834034.50
S1 1970.674001.50
S2 1965.333977.50
S3 1961.173944.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Our statistical tracking of the ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores has triggered a short term bullish signal for the broad market as of Monday's close.

This indicator has been correct 81 of the last 111 signals as a predictor of a forthcoming short term move by the broad market. An indication is credited as being successful if within three trading days of the alert, SPY closes above its closing price on the day the alert was triggered.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/16/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - PPI_FD
09:00 am EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADBE


Wednesday - 09/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: CTAS, FDX, GIS, LEN, UNFI


Thursday - 09/18/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: CAG, ORCL, RHT, TIBX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.77 24.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
AMZN 315.50 305.50 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.7509/1519.7524.2019.75closed n/a(0)($0)$9,875
  Trailing stop hit on remaining shares for breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.3009/1516.6527.5016.65closed n/a(0.65)($211)$5,623
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 9:07:08 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTrader Pro Swing Trader Advisory - CAMP traling stop hit

September 15, 2014
 
Company: Calamp Corp. (CAMP)
Action: Trailing stop hit
Entry Price: 19.75
Shares: Remaining 250
Exit Price: 19.75
Stop: 19.75
Target: 24.20
 

Trade Explanation: CAMP hit our trailing stop on the remaining position and we are now flat the stock.

 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 10:50:18 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTrader Pro Swing Advisory - VJET sell the stock

September 15, 2014
 
Company: Voxeljet, Inc. - (VJET)
Action: Sell the stock
Entry Price: 17.30
Shares: 325
Exit Price: 16.65
Stop: 16.65
Target: 27.50
 
Trade Explanation:  VJET hit our stop this morning and we are now flat the stock.

ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******

 

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 10:48:48 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.15.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish to neutral. Market has come off some from highs but on overlapping value and sellers getting little traction over time.

Good morning traders. Below is an update of our proprietary measure of broad market money flow (MF) versus the S&P 500 Index (SPY).

There was no change in MF toward the end of last week. A pullback will be short lived unless this indicator moves lower with some meaning.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16987.51-61.49-0.36%
S&P 500 Index1985.54-11.91-0.60%
Nasdaq Composite4567.59-24.20-0.53%
Nasdaq 1004069.23-23.41-0.57%
Russell 20001160.60-11.73-1.00%
Spot Gold1229.65-11.27-0.91%
Crude Oil92.27-0.56-0.6%
NYSE Overall Volume3,171,304Kn/a+8.60%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,752,807Kn/a+3.89%
NYSE Breadth2.97 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.73 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio25.17
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio36.58
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1829
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-880
NYSE Trin0.77
Nasdaq Trin0.87
$VIX13.310.51
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1981.75 4071.00
Point of Control 1977.25 4068.50
Value Area Low 1972.75 4058.00
R3 2002.004111.42
R2 1994.754096.33
R1 1985.754079.17
Pivot 1978.504064.08
S1 1969.504046.92
S2 1962.254031.83
S3 1953.254014.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Friday. The four sectors that closed higher were XBD, $DJUSBK, $DJSINS, $DJUSCL. XBD is flaggin an overbought signal with six consecutive higher closes. XNG and XOI have hit oversold as both have closed lower five consecutive days.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/15/14

08:30 am EST - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k shares or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 09/16/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - PPI_FD
09:00 am EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADBE


Wednesday - 09/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: FDX, GIS, LEN



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.77 24.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ARWR 17.65 16.28 Looking for breakout from ascending triangle

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.75 n/a n/a 24.2019.75 open 20.180.43$215$9,875
  Sold half, raised stop to breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.30 n/a n/a 27.5016.65 open 16.98(0.32)($104)$5,623
  Pullback on light volume, moved stop higher
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/08/14 - 09/12/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
VRAlong 50009/0521.1809/082323.9020.13closed n/a1.82$910$10,590
  Exited for 8.0% gain day before earnings release
FOSLlong 12509/08104.3909/09103.35111.40103.35closed n/a(1.04)($130)$13,049
  Trailing stop triggered
INCYlong 25009/0852.4709/0951.8357.3050.40closed n/a(0.64)($160)$13,118
  Cut trade on lack of follow through of prior day's reversal
FEYElong 27509/0832.6609/0933.2737.4030.88closed n/a0.61$168$8,982
  Sold stock on broad market weakness for small gain
CAMPlong 25009/0819.7509/1220.3824.2019.75closed n/a0.63$158$4,938
  Sold half of position for 3.0%+ gain
GOOGLlong 7509/11589.7709/12585.25630.00585.25closed n/a(4.52)($339)$44,233
  Failure to reverse at ascending trendline
TOTALS: 825 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $15,498

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/14/2014 10:59:09 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GOOGL Trailing Stop Hit
September 12, 2014
 
Company: Google, Inc. - (GOOGL)
Action: Trailing Stop Hit
Entry Price: 589.77
Shares: 75
Exit Price: 585.25
Stop: 585.25
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our trailing stop on GOOGL was triggered and our shares were sold for a 0.76% loss.  We are now flat the stock.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 12:41:30 PM | 0 Comments