ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 01.30.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our /

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Hanging man on this timeframe which can signal exhaustion of a move.

WEEKLY - Weekly - Bullish to Neutral. Green candle on this timeframe, taking back all of previous week's bearishness.

DAILY - Neutral to Bearish. Market tested 1981 support area again in the futures and bounced back into range.

Good morning traders. So far, there is nothing among our daily indicators to suggest that yesterday's rally was anything but a bounce. Chief among the indicators is our proprietary measure of broad market money flow (MF) which is pictured below.

The blue rectangle surrounds the recent surge in MF that encouraged thoughts of bullishness. Since then however, MF has faded including yesterday's diverging move lower from the higher close by the S&P 500 Index (SPY). This among other indicators suggests choppiness will prevail in the near term.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17416.85+225.48+1.31%
S&P 500 Index2021.25+19.09+0.95%
Nasdaq Composite4683.40+45.41+0.98%
Nasdaq 1004181.35+40.97+0.99%
Russell 20001190.18+15.07+1.28%
Spot Gold1258.70-25.20-1.96%
Crude Oil44.59+0.21+0.47%
NYSE Overall Volume4,088,600Kn/a+1.57%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,081,805Kn/a-0.23%
NYSE Breadth1.60 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.33 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio61.47
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio69.99
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1096
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners906
NYSE Trin1.31
Nasdaq Trin0.87
$VIX18.76-1.68
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2004.00 4145.00
Point of Control 1993.00 4121.00
Value Area Low 1983.00 4099.00
R3 2067.584299.92
R2 2043.174241.08
R1 2030.834213.42
Pivot 2006.424154.58
S1 1994.084126.92
S2 1969.674068.08
S3 1957.334040.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday. The six sectors that closed lower were XNG, OSX, XTC, $DJUSCA, $DJUSCL, and GDX. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 01/30/15

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, BEN, BERY, CNX, CVX, INGR, IR, LEA, LLY, LM, MA, MAN, MAT, MO, NWL, SPG, TSN, TYC, WY


Monday - 02/02/2015

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg. Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
Reporting earnings today: ADVS, AGNC, APC, AVY, GAS, HCA, HIG, HTLD, LII, MDU, MHFI, NVO, OHI, OI, OUT, PBI, SYY, TEN, TMK, UDR, XL, XOM, XON


Tuesday - 02/03/2015

Motor Vehicle Sales
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: ADM, AET, AFL, AGCO, AGN, AJG, AN, ARMK, ATW, AXS, BP, CBL, CHRW, CNC, DIS, EMR, EQR, ETN, EW, EXP, FISV, GCI, GILD, GLPI, IACI, LPT, LYB, MNK, MYGN, NOV, NSR, PNR, R, SPR, ST, TTWO, UNM, UPS, WDR, WRB



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CARlong 10001/2957.94 n/a n/a 63.3053.10 open 57.9(0.04)($4)$5,794
  Entered trade near prior lows
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HCAlong 7501/2067.8301/2368.676.0062.00closed n/a0.77$58$5,087
  Trailing stop triggered
DISCAlong 17501/2029.2701/2929.5435.6026.00closed n/a0.27$47$5,122
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 100 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $5,794

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/29/2015 9:47:39 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - CAR - Buy the Stock
 
January 29, 2015
 
Company: AVIS Budget, Inc. - (CAR)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 57.94
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 53.10
Target: 63.30
 
Trade Explanation: We bought CAR as the stock approaches prior lows.  We are now long 100 shares.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/29/2015 3:51:23 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - DISCA - Trailing Stop Triggered
 
January 29, 2015
 
Company: Discover Communications, Inc. - (DISCA)
Action: Trailing Stop Triggered
Entry Price: 29.27
Shares: 175
Exit Price: 29.54
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation: Our trailing stop on DISCA was triggered.  Our shares were sold for a small gain.  We are now flat the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/29/2015 10:03:31 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - DISCA - Move the Stop
 
January 29, 2015
 
Company: Discover Communications, Inc. - (DISCA)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 29.27
Shares: 175
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 29.54
Target: 35.60
 
Trade Explanation: We've moved our stop on DISCA to just under the ascending trendline from the 01/20 low on the daily chart.
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/29/2015 9:30:45 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 01.29.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our /

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Hanging man on this timeframe which can signal exhaustion of a move.

WEEKLY - Weekly - Bullish to Neutral. Green candle on this timeframe, taking back all of previous week's bearishness.

DAILY - Bearish. Market now close to prior 1988 SPX double bottom. A retest of that area is expected and a break further to the 1970 area.

Good morning traders. In recent issues, we've made the point that the broad stock market will not maintain a meaningful rally until long term treasuries (TLT) cool. The next point where TLT might find resistance in the short term is illustrated on the chart below.

TLT has traded in an upward channel since the beginning of January. A test of the upper line of the channel could occur as early as today. A reversal by TLT off the top of the channel should serve as one indication the move lower in stocks is ending, at least for the short term.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17191.37-195.84-1.13%
S&P 500 Index2002.16-27.39-1.35%
Nasdaq Composite4637.99-43.50-0.93%
Nasdaq 1004140.37-25.12-0.60%
Russell 20001175.11-19.54-1.64%
Spot Gold1283.90-8.20-0.63%
Crude Oil44.38-1.83-3.96%
NYSE Overall Volume4,025,338Kn/a+22.20%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,086,558Kn/a+9.60%
NYSE Breadth10.12 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth3.19 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio8.99
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio23.88
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1482
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1403
NYSE Trin3.62
Nasdaq Trin1.00
$VIX20.443.22
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2035.50 4221.00
Point of Control 2023.00 4186.50
Value Area Low 2011.50 4170.00
R3 2066.254285.50
R2 2052.504257.25
R1 2022.004190.75
Pivot 2008.254162.50
S1 1977.754096.00
S2 1964.004067.75
S3 1933.504001.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


All twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Wednesday. No sectors nor the broad market are oversold or overbought at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 01/29/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ABT, ALGN, ALLY, ALV, ALXN, AMZN, APD, AVY, BABA, BAX, BC, BCR, BEAV, BMS, BRCM, BX, BXP, CAH, CAM, CB, CELG, CHKP, CL, CMS, COP, CPHD, CRR, DECK, DGX, DOW, EMC, EMN, EPD, GBCI, GOOGL, HA, HAR, HBI, HOG, HP, HSY, INFA, IVZ, KMT, LEG, LLL, MCHP, MJN, MLNX, MTH, NDAQ, NFG, NOC, OXY, PFG, PFPT, PHM, PKI, POT, PSX, RCI, RCL, RGLD, RHI, RTN, RVBD, RYL, SHW, SWI, SWK, SYNA, TKR, TMO, TMST, TWC, UIS, V, VIAB, VLO, WCC, XEL, ZMH


Friday - 01/30/15

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, BEN, BERY, CNX, CVX, IDXX, INGR, IR, LEA, LLY, LM, MA, MAN, MAT, MO, NWL, RHHBY, SPG, TSN, TYC, WY


mONday - 02/02/2015

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg. Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
Reporting earnings today: ADVS, AGNC, APC, CDW, HCA, HIG, HTLD, IMO, LII, MDU, MHFI, NVO, OHI, OI, OUT, PAYC, PBI, SYY, TEN, THOR, TMK, UDR, XL, XOM, XON



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DISCAlong 17501/2029.27 n/a n/a 35.6026.00 open 29.7750.5$88$5,122
  Little resistance up to 31.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HCAlong 7501/2067.8301/2368.676.0062.00closed n/a0.77$58$5,087
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 175 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $5,122

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/28/2015 11:07:03 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 01.28.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our /

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Hanging man on this timeframe which can signal exhaustion of a move.

WEEKLY - Weekly - Bullish to Neutral. Green candle on this timeframe, taking back all of previous week's bearishness.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Market sold off yesterday after large overnight gap. Use caution as FOMC has announcement today at 2pm.

Good morning traders. The natural gas index (XNG) has performed well in the month of February over the past five years. Based on the daily chart pictured below, it appears the index is setting up to move higher this February as well.

XNG has paused at resistance created by the prior congestion level (magenta lines) but has not reversed from it. If the index continues to trade sideways, we'll be looking for the next move to be higher with little resistance overhead.

Three XNG component stocks mirror the index on the daily chart which makes them good long trade candidates. These stocks are APA, CHK, and DVN.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17387.21-291.49-1.65%
S&P 500 Index2029.55-27.54-1.34%
Nasdaq Composite4681.49-90.26-1.89%
Nasdaq 1004165.50-110.21-2.58%
Russell 20001194.65-6.08-0.51%
Spot Gold1292.10-0.30-0.02%
Crude Oil46.21+0.65+1.43%
NYSE Overall Volume3,293,925Kn/a-8.05%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,903,803Kn/a+15.67%
NYSE Breadth1.83 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth2.77 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio35.37
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio26.52
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-412
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-653
NYSE Trin1.40
Nasdaq Trin1.68
$VIX17.221.70
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2031.75 4193.00
Point of Control 2026.75 4190.00
Value Area Low 2021.25 4163.00
R3 2064.004265.50
R2 2050.504234.00
R1 2040.254205.75
Pivot 2026.754174.25
S1 2016.504146.00
S2 2003.004114.50
S3 1992.754086.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty two of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Monday. The three sectors that closed lower were $DJUSNS, $DJUSSW, and UTY. No sectors nor the broad market are oversold or overbought at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 01/28/2015

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ABC, ACAT, ADT, AEP, ALB, AME, AMP, ANTM, AVB, AZPN, BA, BAH, BIIB, CAVM, CFR, CLB, CRUS, CSC, CTXS, CVLT, DRE, EAT, ENR, FB, FSL, FTNT, GD, GGP, HES, HOLX, IP, JEC, KEX, KNX, LRCX, LVS, MDC, MEOH, MKC, MUR, NOW, PRXL, PTC, PX, QCOM, QGEN, QRVO, ROK, STJ, SWFT, TEL, TGI, TROW, TSCO, TUP, TXT, VAR, VRTX, WYNN


Thursday - 01/29/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ABT, ALGN, ALLY, ALV, ALXN, AMZN, APD, AVY, BABA, BAX, BC, BEAV, BMS, BRCM, BX, BXP, CAH, CAM, CB, CELG, CHKP, CL, CMS, COP, CRR, CSH, CTCT, DECK, DGX, DOW, EMC, EMN, EPD, GOOGL, HA, HAR, HBI, HOG, HP, HSY, INFA, IVZ, KMT, LEG, MCHP, MJN, MLNX, MTH, NDAQ, NOC, OXY, PFG, PHM, PKI, POT, PSX, RCL, RGLD, RHI, RTN, RVBD, RYL, SHW, SWK, SYNA, TKR, TMO, TMST, TWC, V, VIAB, VLO, VR, WCC, XEL, ZMH


Friday - 01/30/15

08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Employment Cost Index
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: ABBV, BEN, BERY, CNX, CVX, IR, LEA, LLY, MA, MAN, MAT, MO, NWL, RHHBY, SAIA, SPG, TSN, TYC, WY



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
VA 35.56 33.50 Please see Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DISCAlong 17501/2029.27 n/a n/a 35.6026.00 open 30.050.78$137$5,122
  Little resistance up to 31.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HCAlong 7501/2067.8301/2368.676.0062.00closed n/a0.77$58$5,087
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 175 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $5,122

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/27/2015 10:48:13 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 01.27.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our /

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Hanging man on this timeframe which can signal exhaustion of a move.

WEEKLY - Weekly - Bullish to Neutral. Green candle on this timeframe, taking back all of previous week's bearishness.

DAILY - Neutral. Market balancing ahead of FOMC decision on Wednesday.

Good morning traders. If oil makes another leg lower, airline stocks are sure to benefit. Virgin Airlines, Inc. (VA) is a new issue within the airline sector that is coming into a technical buy point which is illustrated on the chart below.

A touch of the ascending trendline from the low on the first day of trade for VA marks the entry for a move back to the upside.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17678.70+6.10+0.03%
S&P 500 Index2057.09+5.27+0.26%
Nasdaq Composite4771.76+13.88+0.29%
Nasdaq 1004275.71-2.42-0.06%
Russell 20001200.73+11.81+0.99%
Spot Gold1279.40-13.00-1.01%
Crude Oil45.17-0.39-0.86%
NYSE Overall Volume3,394,797Kn/a-5.23%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,701,363Kn/a+3.37%
NYSE Breadth2.46 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.98 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio71.07
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio66.48
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1179
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners752
NYSE Trin0.91
Nasdaq Trin0.89
$VIX15.52-1.14
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2051.50 4269.50
Point of Control 2045.00 4264.00
Value Area Low 2041.50 4255.00
R3 2075.924311.50
R2 2063.834293.75
R1 2058.674281.50
Pivot 2046.584263.75
S1 2041.424251.50
S2 2029.334233.75
S3 2024.174221.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty two of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Monday. The three sectors that closed lower were $DJUSNS, $DJUSSW, and UTY. No sectors nor the broad market are oversold or overbought at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 01/27/15

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AAL, AAPL, ACE, AMGN, AOS, BMY, CAT, CIT, CNI, COH, CYT, DD, DHR, DOV, EA, GLW, ILMN, ITW, JNPR, LMT, LXK, MMM, MNRO, NEE, NUE, NVS, OSK, PFE, PG, PH, PII, PLD, POL, SNV, SYK, T, TDG, TSS, UTX, VMW, WAT, WDC, X, YHOO


Wednesday - 01/28/2015

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ABC, ADT, AEP, ALB, AME, AMP, ANTM, ATK, AVB, AZPN, BA, BAH, BIIB, CAVM, CFR, CRUS, CSC, CTXS, CVLT, DRE, EAT, EMC, ENR, FB, FSL, FTNT, GD, GGP, HES, HOLX, IP, JEC, KEX, KNX, LRCX, LVS, MDC, MEOH, MKC, MUR, MWV, NOW, PTC, PX, QCOM, QGEN, QRVO, RKT, ROK, STJ, SWFT, TEL, TGI, TROW, TSCO, TTEK, TUP, TXT, VAR, VRTX, WYNN


Thursday - 01/29/2015

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: ABT, ALGN, ALLY, ALV, ALXN, AMZN, APD, AVY, BABA, BAX, BC, BEAV, BMS, BRCM, BX, CAH, CAM, CB, CELG, CHKP, CL, CMS, COP, CPHD, CRR, DECK, DGX, DOW, EMN, EPD, GOOGL, HA, HAR, HBI, HOG, HP, HSY, INFA, IVZ, KMT, LEG, LLL, MCHP, MD, MJN, MTH, MTW, NDAQ, NOC, OXY, PFG, PFPT, PHG, PHM, PKI, POT, PSX, RCI, RCL, RGLD, RTN, RVBD, RYL, SWI, SWK, SYNA, TKR, TMO, TWC, V, VIAB, VLO, WCC, XEL, ZMH



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
VA 35.36 33.50 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DISCAlong 17501/2029.27 n/a n/a 35.6026.00 open 30.060.79$138$5,122
  Little resistance up to 31.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HCAlong 7501/2067.8301/2368.676.0062.00closed n/a0.77$58$5,087
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 175 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $5,122

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/26/2015 10:47:20 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 01.26.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our /

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Neutral. Hanging man on this timeframe which can signal exhaustion of a move.

WEEKLY - Weekly - Bullish to Neutral. Green candle on this timeframe, taking back all of previous week's bearishness.

DAILY - Bullish. Market retracing all of last down move and holding at highs with small range on Friday.

Good morning traders. We spent our weekend reviewing each of the Fidelity Select Funds to ferret out stocks that were added as brand new positions by the close of last quarter (12.31.14). These stocks make up the table below.

This is not any type of recommendation to run out and get long these symbols. Rather, it is a watch list to monitor over the next few quarters to look for buying opportunities created by strong technical setups.

These stocks might be more appealing with the knowledge that one of the largest market players is supporting the name and may cause further upside by adding to the position in quarters to come.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17672.60-141.38-0.79%
S&P 500 Index2051.82-11.33-0.55%
Nasdaq Composite4757.87+7.48+0.16%
Nasdaq 1004278.14+7.77+0.18%
Russell 20001188.92-1.44-0.12%
Spot Gold1292.40-9.10-0.70%
Crude Oil45.56-0.82-1.77%
NYSE Overall Volume3,582,233Kn/a-12.68%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,645,891Kn/a-16.71%
NYSE Breadth2.14 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.26 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio31.89
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio55.80
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-324
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-268
NYSE Trin1.73
Nasdaq Trin0.65
$VIX16.660.26
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2055.50 4274.50
Point of Control 2054.00 4272.00
Value Area Low 2049.50 4258.00
R3 2066.084321.42
R2 2061.674303.83
R1 2052.834285.42
Pivot 2048.424267.83
S1 2039.584249.42
S2 2035.174231.83
S3 2026.334213.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Friday. $DJUSNS is now registering an overbought signal after closing higher for the fifth consecutive day. No other sectors, nor the broad market are flagging an overbought or oversold signal.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 01/26/2015

08:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: ASH, BRO, CBSH, CFG, DHI, GWW, MSFT, NSC, PCL, PKG, ROP, SIMO, STX, TXN, ZION


Tuesday - 01/27/15

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: AAL, AAPL, ACE, AMGN, BMY, CAT, CIT, CNI, COH, DD, DHR, DOV, EA, GLW, ILMN, ITW, JNPR, LMT, LXK, MMM, NEE, NUE, NVS, OSK, PFE, PG, PH, PII, PLD, POL, SNV, SYK, T, TDG, UTX, VMW, WAT, WDC, X, YHOO


Wednesday - 01/28/2015

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ABC, ACAT, ADT, AEP, ALB, AME, AMP, ANTM, ATK, AZPN, BA, BIIB, CLB, CPT, CRUS, CSC, CTXS, CVLT, DRE, EAT, EMC, FB, FSL, FTNT, GD, GGP, HES, HOLX, IP, JEC, KEX, LRCX, LVS, MDC, MEOH, MKC, MUR, NOW, PTC, PX, QCOM, QGEN, QRVO, RKT, ROK, SLG, STJ, SWFT, TEL, TROW, TSCO, TTEK, TXT, VAR, VRTX, WYNN



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DISCAlong 17501/2029.27 n/a n/a 35.6026.00 open 29.840.57$100$5,122
  Little resistance up to 31.00
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 01/26/15-01/30/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
HCAlong 7501/2067.8301/2368.676.0062.00closed n/a0.77$58$5,087
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 175 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $5,122

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/25/2015 9:20:48 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - HCA - Move the Stop
January 23, 2015
 
Company: HCA Holdings, Inc. - (HCA)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 67.83
Shares: 35 of 75
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 68.60
Target: 76.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have moved our stop up to just under yesterday's low which also locks in some gains.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/23/2015 1:52:52 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - HCA - Set Limit Order to Sell Partial
January 23, 2015
 
Company: HCA Holdings, Inc. - (HCA)
Action: Set Limit Order to Sell Partial
Entry Price: 67.83
Shares: 35 of 75
Limit Order to Sell Price: 70.85
Stop: 62.00
Target: 76.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have set a limit order to sell 35 of our 75 share position if price reaches 70.85 during regular trading hours today.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 1/23/2015 8:33:46 AM | 0 Comments