ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.16.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish to neutral. Continued new lows daily but value not breaking away to downside for some time now. Although current trend is down, we feel traders may be getting themselves overly short without anything to show for it, so the possibility of a snapback rally is definitely on the table.

Good morning traders. Recent weakness in the Nasdaq has taken a lot of the stocks that Brad and Peter call "Jumbotrons" down sharply. Not the least of which is Amazon.com. Maybe people are selling it to free up some cash for the highly anticipated Alibaba (BABA) offering happening this Friday, or maybe it just needed a little corrective activity. The "why" never really matters as all the money is made in the "what". The chart below shows some trendline support coming in soon which we think is buyable for a bounce.

The lower trendline has an endpoint at approximately $315.50 give or take a few cents, which is a legitimate buy point for the shares.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17031.14+43.63+0.26%
S&P 500 Index1984.13-1.41-0.07%
Nasdaq Composite4518.90-48.69-1.07%
Nasdaq 1004029.8-39.34-0.97%
Russell 20001146.51-14.09-1.21%
Spot Gold1233.13+3.48+0.28%
Crude Oil92.92+0.65+0.70%
NYSE Overall Volume2,748,697Kn/a-13.33%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,922,915Kn/a+9.70%
NYSE Breadth1.44 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth5.46 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio40.97
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio15.49
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-994
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1435
NYSE Trin0.74
Nasdaq Trin1.65
$VIX14.120.81
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1976.00 4033.00
Point of Control 1974.50 4024.00
Value Area Low 1972.00 4018.00
R3 1989.674115.50
R2 1984.334091.50
R1 1980.174058.5
Pivot 1974.834034.50
S1 1970.674001.50
S2 1965.333977.50
S3 1961.173944.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Our statistical tracking of the ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores has triggered a short term bullish signal for the broad market as of Monday's close.

This indicator has been correct 81 of the last 111 signals as a predictor of a forthcoming short term move by the broad market. An indication is credited as being successful if within three trading days of the alert, SPY closes above its closing price on the day the alert was triggered.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/16/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - PPI_FD
09:00 am EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADBE


Wednesday - 09/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: CTAS, FDX, GIS, LEN, UNFI


Thursday - 09/18/14

08:30 am EST - Housing Starts
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Philadelphia Fed Survey
Reporting earnings today: CAG, ORCL, RHT, TIBX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.77 24.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
AMZN 315.50 305.50 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.7509/1519.7524.2019.75closed n/a(0)($0)$9,875
  Trailing stop hit on remaining shares for breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.3009/1516.6527.5016.65closed n/a(0.65)($211)$5,623
  Trailing stop hit
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 9:07:08 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTrader Pro Swing Trader Advisory - CAMP traling stop hit

September 15, 2014
 
Company: Calamp Corp. (CAMP)
Action: Trailing stop hit
Entry Price: 19.75
Shares: Remaining 250
Exit Price: 19.75
Stop: 19.75
Target: 24.20
 

Trade Explanation: CAMP hit our trailing stop on the remaining position and we are now flat the stock.

 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 10:50:18 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTrader Pro Swing Advisory - VJET sell the stock

September 15, 2014
 
Company: Voxeljet, Inc. - (VJET)
Action: Sell the stock
Entry Price: 17.30
Shares: 325
Exit Price: 16.65
Stop: 16.65
Target: 27.50
 
Trade Explanation:  VJET hit our stop this morning and we are now flat the stock.

ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******

 

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/15/2014 10:48:48 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.15.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Large engulfing candle to downside on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish to neutral. Market has come off some from highs but on overlapping value and sellers getting little traction over time.

Good morning traders. Below is an update of our proprietary measure of broad market money flow (MF) versus the S&P 500 Index (SPY).

There was no change in MF toward the end of last week. A pullback will be short lived unless this indicator moves lower with some meaning.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16987.51-61.49-0.36%
S&P 500 Index1985.54-11.91-0.60%
Nasdaq Composite4567.59-24.20-0.53%
Nasdaq 1004069.23-23.41-0.57%
Russell 20001160.60-11.73-1.00%
Spot Gold1229.65-11.27-0.91%
Crude Oil92.27-0.56-0.6%
NYSE Overall Volume3,171,304Kn/a+8.60%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,752,807Kn/a+3.89%
NYSE Breadth2.97 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.73 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio25.17
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio36.58
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1829
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-880
NYSE Trin0.77
Nasdaq Trin0.87
$VIX13.310.51
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1981.75 4071.00
Point of Control 1977.25 4068.50
Value Area Low 1972.75 4058.00
R3 2002.004111.42
R2 1994.754096.33
R1 1985.754079.17
Pivot 1978.504064.08
S1 1969.504046.92
S2 1962.254031.83
S3 1953.254014.67


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Friday. The four sectors that closed higher were XBD, $DJUSBK, $DJSINS, $DJUSCL. XBD is flaggin an overbought signal with six consecutive higher closes. XNG and XOI have hit oversold as both have closed lower five consecutive days.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/15/14

08:30 am EST - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k shares or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 09/16/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - PPI_FD
09:00 am EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADBE


Wednesday - 09/17/2014

08:30 am EST - Consumer Price Index
10:00 am EST - Housing Market Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Forecasts
02:30 pm EST - FOMC Chair Press Conference
Reporting earnings today: FDX, GIS, LEN



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AAN 25.77 24.90 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ARWR 17.65 16.28 Looking for breakout from ascending triangle

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/15/14 - 09/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMPlong 50009/0819.75 n/a n/a 24.2019.75 open 20.180.43$215$9,875
  Sold half, raised stop to breakeven
VJETlong 32509/0917.30 n/a n/a 27.5016.65 open 16.98(0.32)($104)$5,623
  Pullback on light volume, moved stop higher
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/08/14 - 09/12/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
VRAlong 50009/0521.1809/082323.9020.13closed n/a1.82$910$10,590
  Exited for 8.0% gain day before earnings release
FOSLlong 12509/08104.3909/09103.35111.40103.35closed n/a(1.04)($130)$13,049
  Trailing stop triggered
INCYlong 25009/0852.4709/0951.8357.3050.40closed n/a(0.64)($160)$13,118
  Cut trade on lack of follow through of prior day's reversal
FEYElong 27509/0832.6609/0933.2737.4030.88closed n/a0.61$168$8,982
  Sold stock on broad market weakness for small gain
CAMPlong 25009/0819.7509/1220.3824.2019.75closed n/a0.63$158$4,938
  Sold half of position for 3.0%+ gain
GOOGLlong 7509/11589.7709/12585.25630.00585.25closed n/a(4.52)($339)$44,233
  Failure to reverse at ascending trendline
TOTALS: 825 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $15,498

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/14/2014 10:59:09 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GOOGL Trailing Stop Hit
September 12, 2014
 
Company: Google, Inc. - (GOOGL)
Action: Trailing Stop Hit
Entry Price: 589.77
Shares: 75
Exit Price: 585.25
Stop: 585.25
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  Our trailing stop on GOOGL was triggered and our shares were sold for a 0.76% loss.  We are now flat the stock.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 12:41:30 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GOOGL Add to Position
September 12, 2014
 
Company: Google, Inc. - (GOOGL)
Action: Add to Position
Entry Price: 587.83
Shares: 25
Exit Price:n/a
Stop: 580.00
Target: 630.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought 25 more shares of GOOGL and raised our stop to 585.25 which is just under today's low and the ascending trendline 
from the 05/07 low.  The average entry price for our 75 shares is 589.77
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 11:10:41 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - CAMP Sell Partial
September 12, 2014
 
Company: Calamp Corp.  - (CAMP)
Action: Sell Partial
Entry Price: 19.75
Shares: 250 of 500
Exit Price: 20.38
Stop: 19.75
Target:  24.20
 
 
Trade Explanation:  We have sold half of our position in CAMP for a 3.00%+ gain and have raised the stop to breakeven on the remaining half.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 10:41:58 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader - /ES and /NQ Value Area and Pivots Updated

The value area and pivot numbers for /ES and /NQ have been updated to reflect the December EMini Futures contracts.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 9:53:57 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - VJET Move the Stop
September 12, 2014
 
Company: Voxeljet, Inc. - (VJET)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 17.30
Shares: 325
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 16.65
Target: 27.50
 
Trade Explanation: We moved our stop up to 16.65 on VJET to reduce risk.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/12/2014 9:39:04 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.12.14

 

 

 



You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

 

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

 

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

 

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Neutral to Bullish. Hammer on this timeframe after four weeks higher.

DAILY - Neutral. SPX failed to move out of balance at the open, reversed and closed near day's high.

Good morning traders. One of three long trade ideas listed in today's Bulls and Bears section is Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY). Please observe the chart below.

The weekly chart of ALNY plots a cup & handle pattern that is poised to breakout to the upside. If ALNY holds Thursday's highs (or higher) today, this week's price bar will close as a "shut off" to last week's bearish price action.

We have an entry alert set at 70.78 with a stop placed just under the ascending trendline (red) at 66.78. Using the first target at 92.45, this trade has a reward to risk ratio of over 5.0 to 1.0

 

Under The Hood

 

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average 17049.00 -19.71 -0.12%
S&P 500 Index 1997.45 +1.76 +0.09%
Nasdaq Composite 4591.80 +5.28 +0.12%
Nasdaq 100 4092.64 -2.32 -0.06%
Russell 2000 1172.34 +7.36 +0.63%
Spot Gold 1240.92 -8.62 -0.69%
Crude Oil 92.83 +1.16 +1.27%
NYSE Overall Volume 2,920,187K n/a +2.10%
Nasdaq Overall Volume 1,687,119K n/a -5.34%
NYSE Breadth 1.92 : 1 positive  
Nasdaq Breadth 1.67 : 1 positive  
NYSE Breadth Ratio 65.72    
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio 62.57    
NYSE Advancers/Decliners 401    
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners 388    
NYSE Trin 0.68    
Nasdaq Trin 0.80    
$VIX 12.80 -0.08  
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday    
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1987.75 4081.25
Point of Control 1984.50 4079.75
Value Area Low 1981.25 4062.75
R3 2008.174131.08
R2 2002.834112.17
R1 1995.924097.83
Pivot 1990.584078.92
S1 1983.674064.58
S2 1978.334045.67
S3 1971.424031.33


 

 

ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

 

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Sixteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday while nine ended lower. Two sectors have flagged overbought signals. These are $DJUSHB which has closed higher six consecutive days and XBD which has closed higher five consecutive days. No other sectors are overbought or oversold at this time.

 

Heads Up

 

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/12/2014

08:30 am EST - Retail Sales
08:30 am EST - Import and Export Prices
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
10:00 am EST - Business Inventories
Reporting earnings today: DRI


Monday - 09/15/14

08:30 am EST - Empire State Mfg Survey
09:15 am EST - Industrial Production
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k shares or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 09/16/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
08:30 am EST - PPI_FD
09:00 am EST - Treasury International Capital
Reporting earnings today: ADBE


 

 

Bulls and Bears

 

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
WCG 67.30 65.35 Gap fill play
ALNY 70.78 66.78 Please see today's Lookimg Ahead section
ARWR 17.65 16.28 Looking for breakout from ascending triangle

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None      
 

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

 

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/08/14 - 09/12/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
CAMP long 500 09/08 19.75 n/a n/a 24.20 19.31 open 20.61 0.86 $430 $9,875
  Breakout and close inside gap
VJET long 325 09/09 17.30 n/a n/a 27.50 15.75 open 17.16 (0.14) ($46) $5,623
  Poised for follow through higher
GOOGL long 50 09/11 590.74 n/a n/a 630.00 580.00 open 591.11 0.37 $19 $29,537
  Entered position at ascending trendline from 05/07 low
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/08/14 - 09/12/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
VRA long 500 09/05 21.18 09/08 23 23.90 20.13 closed n/a 1.82 $910 $10,590
  Exited for 8.0% gain day before earnings release
FOSL long 125 09/08 104.39 09/09 103.35 111.40 103.35 closed n/a (1.04) ($130) $13,049
  Trailing stop triggered
INCY long 250 09/08 52.47 09/09 51.83 57.30 50.40 closed n/a (0.64) ($160) $13,118
  Cut trade on lack of follow through of prior day's reversal
FEYE long 275 09/08 32.66 09/09 33.27 37.40 30.88 closed n/a 0.61 $168 $8,982
  Sold stock on broad market weakness for small gain
TOTALS: 825 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $15,498

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008
 

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

 

 

 

 

 

 

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/11/2014 10:15:21 PM | 0 Comments