ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - CLF Buy the Stock
July 28, 2014
 
Company: Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF)
Action: Buy the Stock
Price: n/a
Entry price: 16.51
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 500
Stop: 15.51
Target: 21.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have bought CLF on this move over the four week trading range.  We are  now long the stock.  This trade idea was listed in the Bulls and Bears section of today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader. 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/28/2014 11:56:42 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - SINA Trailing Stop Hit
July 28, 2014
 
Company: Sina (SINA)
Action: Trailing Stop Hit
Price: n/a
Entry price: 46.57
Exit Price 48.82
Shares: 225
Stop: 48.82
Target: 57.00
 
Trade Explanation: Our trailing stop on SINA was hit and our stock was sold for a 4.83% gain.  We are now flat the stock.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/28/2014 11:20:54 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Entry Prices for July 28, 2014
 
July 28, 2014
 
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory will enter the following positions today either long or short via limit orders or buy or sell stop orders if any of the following prices are met. Upon entry, a formal advisory notice with more detail will be sent out confirming the entry.  All prices are good for today only during regular trading hours.  All orders not filled are expired and invalid after 4pm EST.
 
 
Stock     Direction    Entry    Size    OrderType       Stop       Target
 
VMW        long        99.46     100    Buy Stop         95.46      112.80
BCO         long        27.70     250    Buy Stop         26.09       35.75
SSYS       long       106.55     100    Buy Stop        101.55      128.75
STJ          long        66.02     250   Limit Order       64.02       72.00
KKD         long        16.03     500    Buy Stop         15.03       18.60
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/28/2014 9:20:36 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.28.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Monthly bar close at highs indicating more gains in June.

WEEKLY - Bullish. SPX made doji on this timeframe. Market remains in balance over a four week period.

DAILY - Neutral. Last Tuesday's gap filled on Friday. Poor highs remain overhead.

Good morning traders. Our work over the weekend produced eight new long trade ideas which are listed in today's Bulls and Bears section. Seven of these eight stocks showed relative strength to S&P 500 Index on Friday. One of these was VM Ware, Inc. (VMW). The setup for this stock is illustrated below.

VMW reported earnings last Tuesday after the bell and closed the week higher on above average volume.

The horizontal line (magenta) marks an inflection level for VMW that has come into play as both support and resistance during eight separate weeks so far this year, including last week.

The black arrows highlight the inability of shorts to push this stock to a lower-low on the weekly time frame for the last twelve months.

As a result of these clues, we are anticipating a break above horizontal resistance and have set an alert above last week's high for a long entry.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16960.57-123.23-0.72%
S&P 500 Index1978.34-9.64-0.48%
Nasdaq Composite4449.56-22.54-0.50%
Nasdaq 1003965.16-18.02-0.45%
Russell 20001144.72-11.54-1.00%
Spot Gold1306.13+13.49+1.04%
Crude Oil101.78-0.25-0.25%
NYSE Overall Volume2,621,482Kn/a-15.03%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,691,790Kn/a-10.19%
NYSE Breadth2.06 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.88 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio32.65
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio34.67
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-999
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-968
NYSE Trin1.04
Nasdaq Trin0.86
$VIX12.690.85
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1974.75 3959.50
Point of Control 1971.75 3953.50
Value Area Low 1970.25 3949.50
R3 1986.173993.25
R2 1981.833978.50
R1 1976.673967.00
Pivot 1972.333952.25
S1 1967.173940.75
S2 1962.833926.00
S3 1957.673914.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Friday. The five sectors that closed higher were $DJUSSW, CEX, XAL, $DJUSCA, and GOX. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/28/2014

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AGNC, ARLP, AWI, CGNX, CMI, COH, DOX, EMN, GGP, GOV, HLF, HLS, JEC, KN, LBTYA, LNG, MAS, MCHP, MELI, MEOH, NCLH, NNN, PCL, PCYC, PXD, QCOR, RPM, RRC, SNH, SOHU, TEN, TRLA, TSN, VMC, WRB, WYNN, XL


Tuesday - 07/29/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: ACAD, ACHC, ACMP, AEGR, AET, AFL, AGCO, AJG, ALLY, AMGN, APC, AXP, BP, BXP, CBG, CHRW, CNX, CVLT, DB, DLR, DWA, ECL, EQR, ESRX, ETN, ETR, EW, FIS, FISV, GLPI, GLW, GNC, GPN, GPRE, HCA, HIW, ICON, INVN, IP, ITW, KIM, KRC, LVLT, MAR, MDC, MHFI, MLM, MMC, MRK, NCR, NEE, NEM, NFX, NLSN, NOV, OSK, PCAR, PFE, PNRA, QGEN, RAI, RKT, RYN, SAVE, SLCA, ST, TMH, TRN, TRW, TWTR, UDR, UPS, VRSK, VRTX, WM, WSH, X, XPO, XYL, YNDX


Wednesday - 07/30/14

08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
08:30 am EST - GDP
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 pm EST - FOMC Meeting Announcement
Reporting earnings today: ADT, AEM, AKAM, ALB, ALL, AMT, BEN, BMRN, CATM, CAVM, CJES, CNW, CODE, CTRP, CVE, D, DISCA, EQIX, EXR, FBHS, FMC, FNF, GRMN, GT, HES, HIG, HOLX, HOS, HR, HSP, HUM, HUN, HYGS, IACI, KRFT, KS, LNC, LO, LRCX, MET, MOH, MTW, MUR, MWV, NE, NOW, PAG, PBI, PEG, PPC, PSX, RIO, SCI, SEE, SHPG, SO, SODA, SPN, STR, SU, TOT, TS, TSO, TWTC, UNM, VIV, VLO, WDC, WEC, WFM, WLL, WLP, WMB, WPZ, YELP



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
APOL 29.33 28.36 Looking for break over short term descending trendline
BAC 15.85 15.20 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
BCO 27.70 26.09 Looking for break over descending trendline from 01/22 high on daily
CLF 16.55 14.72 Entry on move over July's trading range off higher low
KKD 16.03 15.03 Entry just above descending trendline from bottom of prior open gap
SSYS 106.55 101.55 Consolidation play
STJ 66.02 64.02 Entry at ascending trendline from 11/19/12 low on weekly
VMW 99.46 95.46 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 07/28/14 - 08/01/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 22507/0946.57 n/a n/a 57.0048.82 open 49.63.03$682$10,478
  Consolidating
FSLRlong 22507/2563.90 n/a n/a 72.5061.85 open 64.050.15$34$14,378
  Entered on move over short term trendline above 61.8 Fib Extension level
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 07/28/14 - 08/01/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 450 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $24,856

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/27/2014 10:12:53 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - FSLR Bought the Stock
July 25, 2014
 
Company: First Solar, Inc. - (FSLR)
Action: Bought the Stock
Entry Price: 63.90
Shares: 225
Price n/a
Stop: 61.85
Target: 72.50
 
Trade Explanation: Our buy stop order to purchase 225 shares of FSLR when the stock traded at 63.90 was triggered.  We are now long the stock.  This trade was
illustrated in today's ShadowTradderPro Swing Trader.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/25/2014 10:25:08 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Entry Prices for July 25, 2014
July 25, 2014
 
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory will enter the following positions today either long or short via limit orders or buy or sell stop orders if any of the following prices are met. Upon entry, a formal advisory notice with more detail will be sent out confirming the entry.  All prices are good for today only during regular trading hours.  All orders not filled are expired and invalid after 4pm EST.
 
 
Stock     Direction    Entry    Size    OrderType       Stop       Target
 
FSLR       long        63.90     225    Buy Stop         61.85       72.50
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/25/2014 8:56:55 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.25.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Monthly bar close at highs indicating more gains in June.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Hammer on this timeframe, could possibly be construed as hanging man due to not being at low end of range however with market balancing a lot and digesting liquidation breaks continually it is not at elevated levels either.

DAILY - Bullish. S&P 500 Index continued to new all time highs, however momentum slowed considerably yesterday with value overlapping.

Good morning traders. We are continuing to monitor First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) for a breakout to the upside. Please observe the chart below.

The Fibonacci extension applied to the dates noted on the chart above produces a 61.8% level where bears have struggled to move the stock lower. In fact, the only time price has closed below the 61.8% level, six trading days ago, was quickly reversed with a move higher over the following three days (yellow shade).

Yesterday, FSLR was once again unable to move past the 61.8% level and price closed near the highs of the day.

Shorts had a great run in the stock from the highs on 06/30, but with support of the 61.8% area holding, we think the stock is poised to move back higher with a breakout from the short term triangle formed over the last ten trading days.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17083.80-2.83-0.02%
S&P 500 Index1987.98+0.97+0.05%
Nasdaq Composite4472.10-1.58-0.04%
Nasdaq 1003983.18-3.00-0.08%
Russell 20001156.26-1.85-0.16%
Spot Gold1292.64-12.08-0.93%
Crude Oil102.03-1.18-1.14%
NYSE Overall Volume3,085,140Kn/a+8.73%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,883,700Kn/a+0.92%
NYSE Breadth1.23 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.22 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio55.09
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio54.94
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-184
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-253
NYSE Trin0.72
Nasdaq Trin0.67
$VIX11.840.32
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1983.75 3981.50
Point of Control 1982.25 3974.00
Value Area Low 1981.75 3971.50
R3 1990.754006.83
R2 1988.253998.42
R1 1984.503985.08
Pivot 1982.003976.67
S1 1978.253963.33
S2 1975.753954.92
S3 1972.003941.58


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Thursday. This time ten sectors ended higher while fifteen closed lower. GOX has traded lower five consecutive days which flags an oversold signal, but no other individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/25/14

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AAN, ABBV, AEP, AON, AVY, COV, DTE, IDXX, LEA, LPNT, LYB,   MCO, NS, OFC, SLAB,   STO, SWK, TYC,   WBC


Monday - 07/28/2014

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AGNC, AWI, CGNX, CMI, COH, DOX, EMN,  GGP, GHL, GOV, HLF,  JEC,  KN, LBTYA, LNG, MAS,  MCHP, MELI, MEOH, NCLH, NNN, PCL, PCYC, PXD, QCOR, RRC, SIR, SNH, SOHU, TEN, THRM,   TRLA, TSN, VMC, WRB, WYNN, XL


Tuesday - 07/29/2014

FOMC Meeting Begins
09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: ACAD, AEGR, AET, AFL, AGCO, AJG, ALLY, AMGN, APC, AXP, BP, BXP, CBG, CHMT, CHRW,  CNX, CRS, CVLT, DB, DLR, DWA, ECL,  EQR, ESRX, ETN, ETR, EW, FIS, FISV, GLPI, GLW, GNC, GPN, GPRE, HCA, HIW, INVN, IP, IPGP, ITW, KIM, LVLT, MAR, MDC, MDSO, MHFI, MLM, MMC, MRK, NCR, NEE, NEM,  NFX,  NLSN,   NOV, OI, OSK,   PCAR,   PFE, QGEN, RAI, RKT, RYN, SAVE, SLCA, SM, ST, TRN,   TRW,  TWTR, UDR, UPS,  VRTX, WDR, WM, X, XPO, XYL, YNDX



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
FSLR 63.90 61.85 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 22507/0946.57 n/a n/a 57.0048.82 open 49.452.88$648$10,478
  Moved stop up underWednesday's low
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 225 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $10,478

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/24/2014 9:26:55 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - SINA Move stop
July 24, 2014
 
Company: Sina (SINA)
Action: Move stop
Price: n/a
Entry price: 46.57
Exit Price n/a
Shares: 225
Stop: 48.82
Target: 57.00
 
Trade Explanation: We have moved our stop on SINA up to just under lows of the last two days of consolidation on the hourly chart.  This locks in 2.25 points in gains.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/24/2014 10:59:04 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.24.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Monthly bar close at highs indicating more gains in June.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Hammer on this timeframe, could possibly be construed as hanging man due to not being at low end of range however with market balancing a lot and digesting liquidation breaks continually it is not at elevated levels either.

DAILY - Bullish. New all time highs again on S&P 500 daily. Market has clearance to about 2005 area which is upper trend channel.

Good morning traders. Home builders have begun to move up ahead of forthcoming earnings announcements. Pulte Group, Inc. (PHM) reports earnings this morning before the bell and is in a technical pattern from which a long trade could be initiated. A trade setup for more experienced traders is discussed below.

PHM made a higher low on Monday and has since bounced up to the short term descending trendline.

A positive earnings release this morning will likely push the stock higher which will trigger an entry at 20.01.

If PHM gaps up at the open, initiate a long position on a move over the day's first fifteen minute bar which is a method Brad Augunas has explained on the ShadowTrader Squawk Box.

If the stock gaps up, but fails to move above the first fifteen minute high, let price come in for a possible entry after the opening gap is filled.

In all cases, a protective stop should be placed under the prior lows (19.10) which is the lowest possible level a long should be held if the stock weakens after a trade is initiated.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17086.63-26.91-0.16%
S&P 500 Index1987.01+3.48+0.18%
Nasdaq Composite4473.69+17.68+0.40%
Nasdaq 1003986.19+24.56+0.62%
Russell 20001158.10+1.95+0.17%
Spot Gold1304.72-2.21-0.17%
Crude Oil103.21+1.12+1.10%
NYSE Overall Volume2,837,341Kn/a-0.91%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,866,509Kn/a+10.56%
NYSE Breadth1.05 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.16 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio51.22
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio53.62
NYSE Advancers/Decliners479
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-13
NYSE Trin1.31
Nasdaq Trin0.86
$VIX11.52-0.72
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1982.50 3982.50
Point of Control 1982.00 3979.50
Value Area Low 1979.00 3970.50
R3 1992.004009.08
R2 1987.753996.17
R1 1984.253985.83
Pivot 1980.003972.92
S1 1976.503962.58
S2 1972.253949.67
S3 1968.753939.33


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


ShadowTrader Sectors were somewhat mixed on Wednesday. Fifteen sectors ended higher while ten closed lower. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/24/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: AAL, ALGN, ALK, ALSN, ALTR, ALXN, AMZN, ARG, AWAY, BAS, BC, BIDU, BMS, BMY, BPOP, CAB, CAM, CAT, CB, CBI, CCE, CELG, CERN, CMS, COG, CRI, DAN, DGX, DHI, DNKN, DO, DPS, EQT, FAF, FLIR, GM, GNTX, HOT, HSY, IM, IMAX, IMS, INFA, JAH, KKR, KLAC, LAZ, LEG, LLY, LUV, MLNX, MMM, MTH, MXIM, NBL, NDAQ, NUE, O, P, PCP, PFG, PNK, POT, PTEN, QLIK, RGC, RSG, RTN, SBAC, SBUX, SIAL, SWFT, SWI, TCK, TPX, TROW, UA, UFS, UHS, UNP, USG, V, VR, VRSN, WAB, WCC, WOOF, WYN, ZMH


Friday - 07/25/14

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AEP, AON, AVY, COV, DTE, LEA, LYB, MCO, STO, SWK, TYC, WBC, XRS


Monday - 07/28/2014

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: AEE, AEGR, AGN, AGNC, AWI, CJES, CMI, COH, CTRP, CTRX, CVI, CVRR, DOX, DYN, EGN, EMN, EXC, FNGN, GGP, GHL, GOV, GPRE, HLF, JEC, KN, LBTYA, LGND, LNG, MAS, MCHP, MEOH, MLM, NCLH, NI, NNN, OCN, OPEN, PCYC, PPL, PWR, PXD, QCOR, RPM, RRC, SBH, SNH, SODA, SWN, THRM, TRLA, TRMB, TSN, VMC, WYNN, XL, YY



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
FSLR 64.05 62.25 Anticipating breakout from consolidation
PHM 20.01 19.10 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 22507/0946.57 n/a n/a 57.0044.40 open 49.643.07$691$10,478
  Higher close, but inside previous day's range
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 225 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $10,478

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/23/2014 9:39:44 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.23.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Monthly bar close at highs indicating more gains in June.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Hammer on this timeframe, could possibly be construed as hanging man due to not being at low end of range however with market balancing a lot and digesting liquidation breaks continually it is not at elevated levels either.

DAILY - Bullish. Market closing right at all time highs on decent expansion of range.

Good morning traders. Below is a follow up to the NYSE New Highs - New Lows (NH-NL) chart published in the July 14th issue of the ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.

We noted our observation from the July 14th issue where NH-NL had made a higher-low over a 2-3 day period and how this has been a reliable bottoming signal in the past.

Fast forward to the news driven market drop on 07/17 and we see NH-NL did not drop below the previously noted higher lows (magenta arrow, HL) and has shot straight up since. This is a sign of higher stock prices to come and should be added to market narratives going forward.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17113.54+61.81+0.36%
S&P 500 Index1983.53+9.90+0.50%
Nasdaq Composite4456.01+31.31+0.71%
Nasdaq 1003961.62+27.48+0.70%
Russell 20001156.15+9.49+0.83%
Spot Gold1306.93-5.30-0.40%
Crude Oil102.09-2.57-2.46%
NYSE Overall Volume2,863,404Kn/a+10.20%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,688,297Kn/a+8.86%
NYSE Breadth2.33 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.82 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio69.99
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio64.54
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1140
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners928
NYSE Trin0.94
Nasdaq Trin1.15
$VIX12.24-0.57
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1979.00 3957.50
Point of Control 1978.50 3955.00
Value Area Low 1975.50 3949.50
R3 1985.833976.50
R2 1983.173968.00
R1 1979.083959.25
Pivot 1976.423950.75
S1 1972.333942.00
S2 1969.673933.50
S3 1965.583924.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. The four sectors that closed lower were UTY, $DJSINS, $DJUSCL, and GOX. No individual sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/23/2014

10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: ABB, APD, AVB, BA, BEAV, BIIB, CA, CAKE, CCI, CHKP, CLGX, CRUS, CTXS, DAL, DOW, EMC, ETFC, FB, FCX, FFIV, FLS, FSL, FTNT, GD, GILD, GRA, HBI, ILMN, KNX, LAD, LHO, MAC, MDCO, NOC, NSC, NXPI, OC, OCR, OHI, OII, ORLY, PEP, PTC, PX, QCOM, R, RE, RES, SEIC, SLG, SPG, T, TEL, TEX, TMK, TMO, TRIP, TSCO, VAR, WFT, WHR


Thursday - 07/24/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: AAL, ABC, ALGN, ALK, ALSN, ALTR, ALXN, AMZN, AWAY, BAS, BC, BIDU, BMS, BMY, BPOP, CAB, CAM, CAT, CB, CBI, CCE, CELG, CERN, CLI, CMS, COG, CRI, DAN, DECK, DGX, DHI, DNKN, DO, DPS, EQT, FAF, FET, FLIR, GM, GNTX, HOT, HSY, IMAX, INFA, JAH, KKR, KLAC, LAZ, LEG, LLY, LUV, MKTO, MLNX, MMM, MSCC, MTH, MXIM, NBL, NDAQ, NUE, O, OLN, P, PCP, PEB, PFG, PNK, POT, PTEN, QLIK, RGA, RGC, RS, RSG, RTN, SBAC, SBUX, SWFT, TCK, TPX, TROW, UA, UFS, UHS, UNP, USG, V, VR, VRSN, WOOF, WRI, WYN, ZMH


Friday - 07/25/14

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
Reporting earnings today: AAN, AEP, AON, AVY, COV, DTE, LPNT, LYB, MCO, NS, OFC, STO, SWK, TYC, XRS



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
SINAlong 22507/0946.57 n/a n/a 57.0044.40 open 49.072.5$563$10,478
  Nice follow through higher on solid volume
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 07/21/14 - 07/25/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 225 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $10,478

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2013 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/22/2014 10:56:34 PM | 0 Comments