ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GTU Sell the Stock Short
December 22, 2014
 
Company: Central Gold Trust - (GTU)
Action: Sell the Stock Short
Entry Price: 39.89
Shares: 500
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 40.85
Target: 37.15
 
 
Trade Explanation: We have sold GTU short on the move below the ascending trendline on the daily chart.
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/22/2014 1:49:55 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GTLS Sell the Stock
December 22, 2014
 
Company: Chart Industries, Inc.  - (GTLS)
Action: Sell the Stock
Entry Price: 35.23
Shares: 250
Exit Price: 33.10
Stop: n/a
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation:  We have sold GTLS and are now flat the stock.
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/22/2014 12:25:18 PM | 1 Comment
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - Stopped Out
December 22, 2014
 
Company: Dillards, Inc. - (DDS)
Action: Stopped Out
Entry Price: 117.04
Shares: 250
Exit Price: 114.80
Stop: 114.80
Target:  n/a
 
 
Trade Explanation: We were stopped out of DDS on the return of price to the prior consolidation range.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/22/2014 9:42:35 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GTLS Buy the Stock
December 22, 2014
 
Company: Chart Industries, Inc.  - (GTLS)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 35.23
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 32.25
Target: 41.60
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought GTLS based on the setup illustrated in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/22/2014 9:32:16 AM | 1 Comment
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 12.22.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Break and close above three month resistance off prior month's reversal bar.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Same size candles lining up on SPX, bias goes to most recent candle's direction.

DAILY - Bullish. Price gained acceptand within and above Thursday's spike higher. Poor highs from November still vulnerable to being repaired.

Good morning traders. We've focused today's long trade ideas on small cap industrials which could benefit from the strength small cap indices and the relative strength of the industrial sector (XLI). One of these is Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS. Please observe the chart below.

GTLS just popped out of the descending wedge outlined on the daily chart (magenta lines) with solid volume (blue circle). The daily price bars of the last two days favor further upside with same size bodies lining up. These factors, along with the pull of small cap and industrial stocks indices tilt the probabilities of higher prices for GTLS in the near term.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17804.80+26.65+0.15%
S&P 500 Index2070.65+9.42+0.46%
Nasdaq Composite4765.38+16.98+0.36%
Nasdaq 1004281.78+14.00+0.33%
Russell 20001195.94+3.78+0.32%
Spot Gold1196.00+1.10+0.09%
Crude Oil57.10+2.66+4.89%
NYSE Overall Volume5,772,588Kn/a+23.78%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,854,674Kn/a+32.81%
NYSE Breadth1.94 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.43 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio65.96
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio58.88
NYSE Advancers/Decliners894
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners70
NYSE Trin0.93
Nasdaq Trin0.73
$VIX16.49-0.32
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2068.25 4299.50
Point of Control 2062.75 4282.50
Value Area Low 2058.75 4273.00
R3 2096.424355.33
R2 2086.334329.92
R1 2076.674306.33
Pivot 2066.584280.92
S1 2056.924257.33
S2 2046.834231.92
S3 2037.174208.33


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Friday. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 12/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: PNY


Tuesday - 12/23/2014

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: WAG


Wednesday - 12/24/14

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
1:00 pm EST - U.S. Stock Market Early Close
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AGCO 45.62 44.12 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
EXH 32.68 31.30 Relisted, bottoming tail hammer following move out of descending wedge on daily chart
GTLS 35.23 32.25 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 12/22/14 - 12/27/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
BABAlong 30012/15107.09 n/a n/a 119.00103.00 open 110.653.56$1,068$32,127
  Late day surge for positive close on Friday
TRUElong 30012/1720.78 n/a n/a 25.0019.00 open 21.290.51$153$6,234
  Held reversal follow through
DDSlong 25012/18117.04 n/a n/a 130.00114.80 open 115.66(1.38)($345)$29,260
  Pullback to prior breakout level
NMBLlong 25012/1828.68 n/a n/a 31.3026.25 open 28.690.01$3$7,170
  Close over 200ma
SUNElong 35012/1819.73 n/a n/a 23.2018.34 open 19.65(0.08)($28)$6,906
  Higher close on Friday
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
WDAYlong 25012/0983.1712/1580.7596.2580.75closed n/a(2.42)($605)$20,793
  Stopped out
ZENlong 25012/0924.3612/1522.528.3022.50closed n/a(1.86)($465)$6,090
  Stopped out
TWTRlong 30012/0937.0412/1537.3346.2534.52closed n/a0.29$87$11,112
  Trailing stop triggered
TRUElong 25011/1718.2712/1619.5123.6518.27closed n/a1.24$310$4,568
  Trailing stop triggered
BBBYlong 25012/1573.1712/1673.278.0071.11closed n/a0.03$8$18,293
  Scratched Trade
TOTALS: 1450 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $81,697

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/21/2014 9:26:47 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 12.19.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Break and close above three month resistance off prior month's reversal bar.

WEEKLY - Bearish. Expansion of range on Friday and testing 50ma on this timeframe which usually does not hold price. Path of least resistance is to the 50% fibonacci retracement of the up move from early October at the 1950 area.

DAILY - Bullish. Largest one day move in a year. Expect some balance and then further follow through to new highs.

Good morning traders. The Russell 2000 (RUT) provides the best illustration of just how damaging the last two days have been to a bearish argument and why stocks will trade even higher into the end of 2014.

Two major technical events have broken the back of a bearish bias in the medium term.

The first is highlighted by the red arrow which points to this week's failed breakdown. Breakdown and breakout failures are generally strong messages from the market that price will ultimately make an extended move in the opposite direction. It is an even more powerful message in this case since the failure took place with two months of volume built up overhead.

The second major blow to a bearish thesis is the very decisive seller "shut off" that occurred over the past two days. In most cases, a shut off takes back the last two or three days of trade, but in this case it took back the entire price range of the past two months.

Based on this analysis, probabilities are high that RUT trades to new all-time highs before the end of 2014.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17778.15+421.28+2.43%
S&P 500 Index2061.23+48.34+2.40%
Nasdaq Composite4748.39+104.08+2.24%
Nasdaq 1004267.77+102.67+2.47%
Russell 20001192.1578+17.33+1.48%
Spot Gold1194.900.000.00%
Crude Oil54.44-2.31-4.07%
NYSE Overall Volume4,663,471Kn/a-4.84%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,149,506Kn/a-4.72%
NYSE Breadth8.67 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth5.42 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio89.65
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio84.42
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1962
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners1375
NYSE Trin0.50
Nasdaq Trin0.57
$VIX16.81-2.63
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2045.25 4248.50
Point of Control 2033.75 4245.50
Value Area Low 2030.25 4219.00
R3 2098.924334.08
R2 2077.834298.17
R1 2068.924280.58
Pivot 2047.834244.67
S1 2038.924227.08
S2 2017.834191.17
S3 2008.924173.58


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


All twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Thursday. No sectors nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 12/19/14

Quadruple Witching
No economic data scheduled for release
Reporting earnings today: CCL, FINL, KMX, PAYX


Monday - 12/22/2014

10:00 am EST - Existing Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with average daily volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 12/23/2014

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
08:30 am EST - GDP
08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
Reporting earnings today: WAG



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
BABAlong 30012/15107.09 n/a n/a 119.00103.00 open 109.252.16$648$32,127
  Added 100 shares at 110.71
TRUElong 30012/1720.78 n/a n/a 25.0019.00 open 21.220.44$132$6,234
  Continued higher off reversal
DDSlong 25012/18117.04 n/a n/a 130.00114.80 open 119.031.99$498$29,260
  Breakout from handle portion of cup & handle pattern
NMBLlong 25012/1828.68 n/a n/a 31.3026.25 open 28.34(0.34)($85)$7,170
  Entered trade off higher-lowand increasing OBV
SUNElong 35012/1819.73 n/a n/a 23.2018.34 open 19.5(0.23)($81)$6,906
  Solar play. Continued higher off reversal
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 12/15/14 - 12/19/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
WDAYlong 25012/0983.1712/1580.7596.2580.75closed n/a(2.42)($605)$20,793
  Stopped out
ZENlong 25012/0924.3612/1522.528.3022.50closed n/a(1.86)($465)$6,090
  Stopped out
TWTRlong 30012/0937.0412/1537.3346.2534.52closed n/a0.29$87$11,112
  Trailing stop triggered
TRUElong 25011/1718.2712/1619.5123.6518.27closed n/a1.24$310$4,568
  Trailing stop triggered
BBBYlong 25012/1573.1712/1673.278.0071.11closed n/a0.03$8$18,293
  Scratched Trade
TOTALS: 1450 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $81,697

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:45:46 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - SUNE Buy the Stock
 
December 18, 2014
 
Company: SunEdison, Inc.  - (SUNE)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 19.73
Shares: 350
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 18.34
Target: 23.20
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought SUNE off the higher low after the stock filled the prior gap on the daily chart.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:31:13 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - NMBL Buy the Stock
 
December 18, 2014
 
Company: Nimble Storage, Inc.  - (NMBL)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 28.68
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 26.25
Target: 31.30
 
Trade Explanation:  We bought NMBL here in anticipation  of a breakout from the month long inverse head and shoulder pattern on the daily chart and increasing OBV.  This trade was listed in the Bulls and Bears section of today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:18:46 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - DDS Buy the Stock
December 18 , 2014
 
Company: Dillards, Inc. - (DDS)
Action: Buy the Stock 
Entry Price: 117.04
Shares: 250
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 114.80
Target: 130.00
 
 
Trade Explanation: We bought DDS per the set up illustrated in Tuesday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:16:09 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - BABA Buy the Stock (Add to Position)
December 18 , 2014
 
Company: Alibaba Group Hldg Ltd ADR - (BABA)
Action: Buy the Stock (Add to Position)
Entry Price: 110.71
Shares: 100 
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 105.35
Target: 119.00
 
 
Trade Explanation: We added 100 shares to our BABA position which brings our total position to 300 shares with an average price of 107.09.  We have aslo moved our stop up to 105.35.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 12/18/2014 10:03:53 AM | 0 Comments