ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.30.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Weekly bar took back all of bullishness of prior bar but no major breakdown technically.

DAILY - Bearish. Continued balance after last week's initial correction.

Good morning traders. Add F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) to stocks that could trade higher from a nearby ascending trendline. Please observe the chart below.

Actually, FFIV is approaching not only the ascending trendline, but also the prior breakout level at 117.80 (orange arrow). We are anticipating a bounce from this area of support with a target of another higher-high to as high as the top of the channel illustrated.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17071.22-41.93-0.25%
S&P 500 Index1977.80-5.05-0.25%
Nasdaq Composite4505.85-6.34-0.14%
Nasdaq 1004047.17-6.54-0.16%
Russell 20001117.90-1.42-0.13%
Spot Gold1215.81-5.71-0.47%
Crude Oil94.57+1.03+1.1%
NYSE Overall Volume3,045,370Kn/a+4.78%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,706,004Kn/a+5.26%
NYSE Breadth2.64 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.18 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio27.50
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio45.96
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-537
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-312
NYSE Trin1.86
Nasdaq Trin0.93
$VIX15.981.13
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1972.00 4047.00
Point of Control 1970.00 4036.00
Value Area Low 1964.50 4027.00
R3 1995.674104.58
R2 1984.834076.67
R1 1977.174056.08
Pivot 1966.334028.17
S1 1958.674007.58
S2 1947.833979.67
S3 1940.173959.08


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Seventeen ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Monday while eight closed higher. No sectors, nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/30/2014

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: WAG


Wednesday - 10/01/14

Motor Vehicle Sales
08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k shares or more scheduled to release earnings.


Thursday - 10/02/2014

08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: ATU, GPN, MKC, STZ



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
TSLA 234.32-232.19 222.19 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ATVI 20.30 19.30 Coming inot ascending trendline from 12/31/12 on weekly chart
FFIV 117.80-116.00 112.25 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
CCJ 16.63-16.41 15.41 Please see Monday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader
DEI 24.93 23.93 Coming inot ascending trendline from 10/3/11 on weekly chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/29/14 - 10/03/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
GMEDlong 5009/2919.65 n/a n/a 22.0018.57 open 19.64(0.01)($5)$9,825
  Relative strength on move over short term trendline
FEYElong 2259/2932.07 n/a n/a 40.0029.80 open 31.45(0.62)($140)$7,216
  Reversal from 61.8% level of prior leg up
DATAlong 1009/2973.44 n/a n/a 88.2068.67 open 73.01(0.43)($43)$7,344
  Bought on move out of consolidation and 200ma
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/29/14 - 10/03/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 825 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $24,385

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/29/2014 10:17:52 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - DATA Buy the Stock
 
September 29, 2014
 
Company: Tableau Software, Inc.  - (DATA)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 73.44
Shares: 100
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 68.67
Target: 88.20
 
Trade Explanation:  We have bought Data on today's move out of consolidation and off the 200 day moving average.  
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/29/2014 1:28:05 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - FEYE Buy the Stock
September 29, 2014
 
Company: Fireeye, Inc.  - (FEYE)
Action: Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 32.07
Shares: 225
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 29.80
Target: 40.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We have bought  FEYE on today's move off the 61.8% retracement level of the prior move higher on the daily chart.  
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/29/2014 10:46:30 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - GMED Buy the Stock
September 29, 2014
 
Company: Globus Medical Inc. - (GMED)
 
Action: Buy the Stock
 
Entry Price: 19.65
Shares: 500
Price n/a
Stop: 18.57
Target: 22.00
 
Trade Explanation:  We have bought GMED on it's relative strength and move above the short term trendline from the 9/19 high on the daily chart.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/29/2014 10:21:34 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.29.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bearish to Neutral. Weekly bar took back all of bullishness of prior bar but no major breakdown technically.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Trend is down but begrudgingly.

Good morning traders. A bounce play is setting up in the out of favor stock of Cameco (CCJ). Please observe the chart below.

The entire industrial metals and minerals industry has been under pressure for the better part of 2014. But as the chart above illustrates, CCJ is coming into a long term price range low where the stock has formed "V" shaped reversal bottoms in the past.

We are looking to enter a long position at prior lows between 16.63 and 16.41 for a bounce back to 19.65 which is a 3.0 to 1.0 reward to risk ratio with a 1.00 point stop below entry.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17113.15+167.35+0.99%
S&P 500 Index1982.85+16.86+0.86%
Nasdaq Composite4512.19+45.44+1.02%
Nasdaq 1004053.71+45.89+1.15%
Russell 20001119.33+9.08+0.82%
Spot Gold1221.52-3.20-0.26%
Crude Oil93.54+1.01+1.09%
NYSE Overall Volume2,906,337Kn/a-10.75%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,620,729Kn/a-15.15%
NYSE Breadth3.46 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth3.95 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio77.58
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio79.78
NYSE Advancers/Decliners1413
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners890
NYSE Trin0.78
Nasdaq Trin0.51
$VIX14.85-0.79
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1979.00 4040.50
Point of Control 1975.50 4017.00
Value Area Low 1963.50 4006.50
R3 2003.424106.00
R2 1991.334078.25
R1 1983.674062.00
Pivot 1971.584034.25
S1 1963.924018.00
S2 1951.833990.25
S3 1944.173974.00


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty four of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Friday. The only sector to close lower was GOX. Friday's broad market move higher took the heat off potentially oversold conditions. No sectors are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/29/2014

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k shares or more scheduled to release earnings.


Tuesday - 09/30/2014

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: WAG


Wednesday - 10/01/14

Motor Vehicle Sales
08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Spending
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k shares or more scheduled to release earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
TSLA 234.32-232.19 222.19 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update
ATVI 20.30 19.30 Coming inot ascending trendline from 12/31/12 on weekly chart
CBG 29.50 28.50 Entry at ascending trendline from 11/12/13 low on daily chart
CCJ 16.63-16.41 15.41 Please see today's Looking Ahead section

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/29/14 - 10/03/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/29/14 - 10/03/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/28/2014 10:24:07 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.26.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Slight engulfment on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish. Very large expansion of range with break of recent support. Path of least resistance should be lower.

Good morning traders. ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader anticipates a reversal back higher by the S&P 500 Index (SPX)from the range between 1952.00-1942.00. Please observe the chart below.

The dark line that has marked the area of the last six SPX reversals is the 100 day simple moving average. In every instance, the index has overshot the line by an average of 12.00 points.

The ascending trendline (swing out method), from the low on 02/05, comes into play at 1951.00. Given the last time SPX encountered the combination of this same trendline and the 100 SMA together (orange arrow), price overshot the moving average by just five points.

Those who decide to enter long trades for a bounce back higher should gauge intraday price and volume reactions closely as SPX comes into the trendline for signs of a price stall followed by increasing volume. Those without access to intraday screens will have to set long trade entries with conviction and/or smaller size and wider stops, knowing some pain will most likely be in store before prices move back higher.

There are a number of indicators flagging oversold conditions that SPX will be in close harmony with on a bounce back higher.

We've pictured one example below using SPY. This study is called the Volume Oscillator and can be found on the thinkorswim platform by TD Ameritrade. The settings for the oscillator in the picture below are: fast length:5, slow length:20, color norm length 5.

No single indicator is accurate enough on its own to consult exclusively for successful trading, but a combination of several can provide a feel for where a market is during the trading cycle.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average16945.80-264.26-1.54%
S&P 500 Index1965.99-32.31-1.62%
Nasdaq Composite4466.74-88.47-1.94%
Nasdaq 1004007.82-86.49-2.11%
Russell 20001110.24-18.07-1.60%
Spot Gold1224.72+7.63+0.63%
Crude Oil92.53-0.26-0.28%
NYSE Overall Volume3,256,356Kn/a-2.98%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,910,218Kn/a+9.16%
NYSE Breadth13.67 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth9.07 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio6.82
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio9.93
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-2037
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1661
NYSE Trin2.81
Nasdaq Trin2.10
$VIX15.642.37
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1968.75 4024.00
Point of Control 1960.75 4012.00
Value Area Low 1958.75 4000.50
R3 2007.084139.00
R2 1996.674109.00
R1 1979.084058.25
Pivot 1968.674028.25
S1 1951.083977.50
S2 1940.673947.50
S3 1923.083896.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


All twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Thursday. $DJUSCL, extended its streak of consecutive lower closes to seven, maintaining its oversold status. No other sectors are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/26/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: FINL


Monday - 09/29/2014

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k shares or more scheduled to release earnings.


Tuesday - 09/30/2014

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Shiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: WAG



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/25/2014 11:08:28 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AMZN Cancel Limit Order to Buy the Stock
 
September 25, 2014
 
Company: Amazon.com - (AMZN)
 
Action: Cancel Limit Order to Buy the Stock
 
Entry Price: 318.40
Shares: 50
Price n/a
Stop: 308.40
Target: 349.35
 
Trade Explanation:  We have cancelled our limit order to Buy 50 shares of AMZN.  We'lll continue to track the stock for further relative strength.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/25/2014 12:51:12 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - AMZN Set a Limit Order to Buy the Stock
September 25, 2014
 
Company: Amazon.com - (AMZN)
Action: Set a Limit Order to Buy the Stock
Entry Price: 318.40
Shares: 50
Price n/a
Stop: 308.40
Target: 349.35
 
Trade Explanation:  We have set a limit order to Buy 50 shares of AMZN.  This trade setup was illustrated in today's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/25/2014 12:39:29 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.25.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Slight engulfment on this timeframe.

DAILY - Neutral. Large retracement into middle of range.

Good morning traders. We've illustrated two potential entry points for a long trade in Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN) on the chart below

So far this week, AMZN has shown relative strength in the face of the broad market selloff on Monday and Tuesday. Over the past eight days, price had remained within a 15.00 point range as it approaches the corner of the converging magenta trendlines.

Based on the fore mentioned relative strength, we believe the stock is setting up to trade higher.

Our preferred entry for the stock is at the ascending trendline which is very close to yesterday's low. However, if AMZN follow through higher today, the second entry just over the descending trendline will come into play.

In either case, we'll plan to place a protective stop 10.00 points, or 1.50 time the daily average true range, beneath the entry with the prior high at 349.35 as the first target.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17210.06+154.19+0.90%
S&P 500 Index1998.30+15.53+0.78%
Nasdaq Composite4555.22+46.53+1.03%
Nasdaq 1004094.31+42.74+1.05%
Russell 20001128.31+9.60+0.86%
Spot Gold1217.09-6.33-0.52%
Crude Oil92.79+1.23+1.34%
NYSE Overall Volume3,356,519Kn/a+3.17%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,749,855Kn/a-3.67%
NYSE Breadth1.84 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth2.87 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio64.75
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio74.16
NYSE Advancers/Decliners550
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners865
NYSE Trin0.79
Nasdaq Trin0.69
$VIX13.27-1.66
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1992.50 4090.00
Point of Control 1991.50 4072.00
Value Area Low 1977.00 4050.00
R3 2020.834163.67
R2 2006.674126.58
R1 1998.834107.17
Pivot 1984.674070.08
S1 1976.834050.67
S2 1962.674013.58
S3 1954.833994.17


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Nineteen of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday. $DJUSCL, extended its streak of consecutive lower closes to six, maintaining its oversold status. No other sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/25/2014

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: DMND, MU, NKE


Friday - 09/26/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: FINL


Monday - 09/29/2014

08:30 am EST - Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: No stocks priced $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k shares or more scheduled to release earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
AMZN 318.40 308.40 Please see today's Looking Ahead section
AMZN 330.00 320.00
FEYE 33.58 31.85 Short term descending wedge on daily chart

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/24/2014 9:46:30 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 09.24.14
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Large body candle with close at high indicates that market pushes higher in September.

WEEKLY - Bullish. Slight engulfment on this timeframe.

DAILY - Bearish to Neutral. Strong follow through to Monday's sell off in broad averages yesterday. Price near bottom of large range.

Good morning traders. Although the NYSE cumulative advancers - decliners line (AD Line) is currently trending lower, it has not taken out its prior low. But as of yesterday's close, the NASDAQ cumulative AD Line did surpass prior lows. Please observe the chart below.

The green rectangle surrounds the period between April and June when the broad market ignored the diverging NASDAQ AD Line and traded to new highs.

Fast forward to yesterday's close and the AD Line is once again rapidly diverging from current levels of QQQ. Why might this divergent signal be more indicative of forthcoming lower stock prices than it was last time?

First, the last two moves lower by the AD Line (including the current one) have been preceded by lower highs (blue circles). This was not the case in April to June when the move lower occurred after a long series of higher highs and higher lows. The current lower highs spread over a period of six months shows a more formidable deterioration of breadth which is not present in a healthy market.

Second, tops rarely occur from a V shaped reversal. Today's NASDAQ AD Line could very well be displaying the "process" of a market top. Notice the ad line was trending higher from late 2013 up until March of this year. Since then, it has trended sideways to down while QQQ resumed its move in price higher.

We are well aware of the last "false alarm" by the NASDAQ AD Line from April to June. We are also aware that the NYSE AD Line has yet to make a lower high on the wider time frame. However, we can't ignore the potential of the currently diverging NASDAQ AD Line as a leading indicator for the future price direction of the broad market. With this information, we are approaching the market with more caution.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17055.87-116.81-0.68%
S&P 500 Index1982.77-11.52-0.58%
Nasdaq Composite4508.68-19.00-0.42%
Nasdaq 1004051.57-9.66-0.24%
Russell 20001118.71-10.650-0.94%
Spot Gold1223.42+8.34+0.69%
Crude Oil91.56+0.69+0.76%
NYSE Overall Volume3,253,514Kn/a-1.06%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,816,577Kn/a-2.34%
NYSE Breadth2.92 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth2.00 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio25.53
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio33.39
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-1293
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-1071
NYSE Trin1.19
Nasdaq Trin0.84
$VIX14.931.24
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 1985.75 4056.00
Point of Control 1982.25 4047.00
Value Area Low 1977.25 4045.00
R3 1995.174080.67
R2 1991.584070.83
R1 1981.924053.92
Pivot 1978.334044.08
S1 1968.674027.17
S2 1965.084017.33
S3 1955.424000.42


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.


Twenty one of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Tuesday. The four sectors that closed higher were OSX, $DJUSCA, $DJUSHB, and GOX. Both XNG and $DJUSCL have signaled oversold status with a fifth consecutive lower close. No other sectors are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 09/24/2014

10:00 am EST - New Home Sales
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: ACN, JBL, PAYX


Thursday - 09/25/2014

08:30 am EST - Durable Goods Orders
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
Reporting earnings today: DMND, MU, NKE


Friday - 09/26/14

08:30 am EST - GDP
09:55 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: FINL



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 09/22/14 - 09/26/14
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 9/23/2014 11:02:36 PM | 0 Comments