ShadowTrader Swing Trader rss
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.02.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Continued one timeframing on these charts. Momentum seems to be slowing, however, as new monthly highs are only incrementally higher.

Weekly - Neutral to bearish on weekly bar however context changing with 30+ point overnight gap in futures on Greece.

Daily - Neutral. Market balancing and not finding new sellers thus far after Monday's strong decline.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17757.91+138.40+0.79%
S&P 500 Index2077.42+14.31+0.69%
Nasdaq Composite5013.12+26.25+0.53%
Nasdaq 1004429.22+32.46+0.74%
Russell 20001256.392.450.20%
Spot Gold1169.20-9.90-0.84%
Crude Oil56.94-1.38-2.37%
NYSE Overall Volume3,690,839Kn/a+1.55%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,798,267Kn/a-10.29%
NYSE Breadth1.27 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.22 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio56.02
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio54.95
NYSE Advancers/Decliners744
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners167
NYSE Trin1.28
Nasdaq Trin0.93
$VIX16.09-2.14
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Thursday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2071.75 4427.50
Point of Control 2069.25 4423.00
Value Area Low 2064.75 4405.00
R3 2091.834479.17
R2 2083.174458.83
R1 2077.084440.42
Pivot 2068.424420.08
S1 2062.334401.67
S2 2053.674381.33
S3 2047.584362.92


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.



Eighteen ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Wednesday while seven ended lower. $DJUSCL remained oversold with its sixth consecutive lower close. No other sectors, nor the broad market are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/02/15

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Friday - 07/03/2015

Markets closed, banks open
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Today - 07/06/15

10:00 am EST - ISM Non-Mfg Index
Reporting earnings today: TV



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Olong 50006/2544.3006/2945.0947.00closed n/a0.79$395$22,150
  Sold 400 at 45.20 and 100 at 44.65
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 7/1/2015 9:30:35 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 07.01.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Continued one timeframing on these charts. Momentum seems to be slowing, however, as new monthly highs are only incrementally higher.

Weekly - Neutral to bearish on weekly bar however context changing with 30+ point overnight gap in futures on Greece.

Daily - Bearish to neutral. Balance at low end of Monday's range but market may still be oversold.

Good morning traders. One of our favorite swing trading indicators has returned to the spot light. Please observe the chart below.

The last three times the McClellan Oscillator came into the area just above -200, the S&P 500 Index SPX reversed for a moderate gain. However, larger reversals occur after the oscillator moves below the -200 line. Perhaps this will occur if SPX reaches the 61.8% Fibonacci level we profiled in yesterday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17619.51+23.16+0.13%
S&P 500 Index2063.11+5.47+0.27%
Nasdaq Composite4986.86+28.39+0.57%
Nasdaq 1004396.76+16.89+0.39%
Russell 20001253.94+7.19+0.58%
Spot Gold1171.80-7.30-0.62%
Crude Oil59.44+1.12+1.92%
NYSE Overall Volume3,969,906Kn/a+9.22%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,977,350Kn/a-1.35%
NYSE Breadth1.18 : 1positive
Nasdaq Breadth1.86 : 1positive
NYSE Breadth Ratio54.02
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio65.02
NYSE Advancers/Decliners674
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners663
NYSE Trin1.32
Nasdaq Trin0.87
$VIX18.23-0.62
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Wednesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2059.50 4398.75
Point of Control 2054.00 4388.25
Value Area Low 2051.50 4383.75
R3 2086.504451.25
R2 2077.004431.75
R1 2065.754411.00
Pivot 2056.254391.50
S1 2045.004370.75
S2 2035.504351.25
S3 2024.254330.50


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.



Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed higher on Tuesday. $DJUSCL and GDX both triggered an oversold signal with their fifth consecutive lower close yesterday.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 07/01/15

Motor Vehicle Sales
08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: GBX, GIS, MKC, PAYX, STZ


Thursday - 07/02/15

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Friday - 07/03/2015

Markets closed, banks open
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Olong 50006/2544.3006/2945.0947.00closed n/a0.79$395$22,150
  Sold 400 at 45.20 and 100 at 44.65
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/30/2015 9:45:33 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 06.30.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Continued one timeframing on these charts. Momentum seems to be slowing, however, as new monthly highs are only incrementally higher.

Weekly - Neutral to bearish on weekly bar however context changing with 30+ point overnight gap in futures on Greece.

Daily - Bearish. Largest downside expansion of range in quite some time. Market should head to next level of support at 2040.00.

Good morning traders. Applying a Fibonacci retracement study from the low to high of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) year to date price range illustrates the next level of near term support. Please observe the chart below.

Yesterday, SPX closed right at the 50.0% level of this year's price range. The 61.8% level is 18.00 points below at 2039.66 which ties in with the reversal made in early March (blue circle). We are looking for price to find support here. Alternatively, a close below the 61.8% level brings a higher probability of revisiting the bottom of the price range at 1980.90.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17596.35-350.33-1.95%
S&P 500 Index2057.64-43.85-2.09%
Nasdaq Composite4958.46-122.03-2.40%
Nasdaq 1004379.86-104.41-2.33%
Russell 20001246.75-33.04-2.58%
Spot Gold1179.10+5.90+0.50%
Crude Oil58.32-1.35-2.26%
NYSE Overall Volume3,634,624Kn/a-16.84%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,004,478Kn/a-27.23%
NYSE Breadth21.00 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth19.14 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio4.55
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio4.97
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-2594
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-2096
NYSE Trin2.10
Nasdaq Trin2.83
$VIX18.854.83
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Tuesday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2071.50 4424.75
Point of Control 2050.50 4373.75
Value Area Low 2047.50 4368.25
R3 2109.424513.50
R2 2096.334482.50
R1 2073.424430.25
Pivot 2060.334399.25
S1 2037.424347.00
S2 2024.334316.00
S3 2001.424263.75


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.



All twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Monday. $DJUSRR and SOX each closed lower for the fifth consecutive day and are now over sold. Nine other sectors will trigger an oversold signal with a lower close today. These are XNG, $DJUSNS, OSX, XAL, XTC, $DJUSCA, BTK, $DJUSCL and GDX. The broad market has also triggered an oversold signal.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 06/30/2015

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Schiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: CAG


Wednesday - 07/01/15

Motor Vehicle Sales
08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: GBX, GIS, MKC, PAYX, STZ


Thursday - 07/02/15

08:30 am EST - Employment Situation
08:30 am EST - Jobless Claims
10:00 am EST - Factory Orders
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
None
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Olong 50006/2544.3006/2945.0947.00closed n/a0.79$395$22,150
  Sold 400 at 45.20 and 100 at 44.65
TOTALS: 0 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $0.00

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/29/2015 9:55:17 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - O Trailing Stop Triggered
June 29, 2015
 
Company: Realty Income Corp. (O)
Action: Trailing Stop Triggered
Entry Price: $44.30
Exit Price: 44.65
Shares: 100
Stop: $44.65
Target: n/a
 
Trade Explanation: Our trailing stop on the remaining 100 shares of O was triggered and the shares were sold.  Our average exit price on the trade was 45.09.  We are now flat the stock for a nice gain given current market conditions.
 
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/29/2015 3:03:09 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - O Move the Stop
June 29, 2015
 
Company: Realty Income Corp. (O)
Action: Move the Stop
Price: n/a
Entry Price: $44.30
Exit Price: n/a
Shares: 100
Stop: $44.65
Target: $46.12
 
Trade Explanation: We have move the stop on the remaining 100 shares of O up to 44.65 which is just under today's low.  Earlier this morning, we sold 400 of our 500 shares at 45.20 for a nice gain.
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/29/2015 2:08:58 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Advisory - O sell partial position

June 29, 2015
 
Company: Realty Income Corp. (O)
Action: Sell partial position (400 of 500)
Price: $45.20
Entry Price: $44.30
Exit Price: n/a
Shares: 400
Stop: $44.18
Target: $46.12

Trade Explanation: We are setting a sell limit order to close 4/5 of our long O position at a modest target area.  There is a recent swing high from the morning of 6/24 that could be resistant there.  Recent Greece news has the market on edge and we are not as confident about any equities going forward, so looking to book some gains as we have them.  We will find an area to move our stop on the remaining position to, shortly, once we see where O pulls back to from here. We remain long 100 shares of O.  

ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
 

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/29/2015 9:51:22 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 06.29.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Continued one timeframing on these charts. Momentum seems to be slowing, however, as new monthly highs are only incrementally higher.

Weekly - Neutral to bearish on weekly bar however context changing with 30+ point overnight gap in futures on Greece.

Daily - Neutral to bearish on daily chart however context changing with 30+ point overnight gap in futures on Greece.

Good morning traders. We could be forced to implement the 5 or 15 minute rule this morning in our current Realty Income Corp. (O) long position. Here is how we will play it.

If O gaps down below the stop (44.18), we will wait for the first 15 minutes (up to 9:45am EST) before doing anything. We will then adjust the protective stop to just under the low of the first 15 minute price bar.

If O opens close to the stop but not below it and trades down through the stop within the first 5 minutes of trade, we will then let the stock trade for a full 5 minutes (until 9:35am EST) before taking any action. Once 9:35 has elapsed, we will adjust the protective stop to just under the low made in that first 5 minutes of trade.

The 5 and 15 minute rule is discussed in further detail on page 12 of the Swing Trader User's Guide.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17946.68+56.32+0.31%
S&P 500 Index2101.49-0.82-0.04%
Nasdaq Composite5080.50-31.68-0.62%
Nasdaq 1004484.28-29.72-0.66%
Russell 20001279.79-3.49-0.27%
Spot Gold1173.20+1.40+0.12%
Crude Oil59.67-0.06-0.10%
NYSE Overall Volume4,370,395Kn/a+35.40%
Nasdaq Overall Volume2,754,544Kn/a+72.84%
NYSE Breadth1.06 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth2.33 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio48.43
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio30.00
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-429
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-484
NYSE Trin0.81
Nasdaq Trin1.64
$VIX14.020.01
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Monday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2098.00 4493.25
Point of Control 2093.50 4475.75
Value Area Low 2091.50 4461.25
R3 2116.754569.00
R2 2108.754543.00
R1 2102.254511.75
Pivot 2094.254485.75
S1 2087.754454.50
S2 2079.754428.50
S3 2073.254397.25


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.



ShadowTrader Sectors were mixed on Friday. Ten closed higher while fifteen ended lower. $DJUSRR and SOX will both trigger an oversold signal with a lower close today. Beyond this, no other sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 06/29/15

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 06/30/2015

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Schiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: CAG


Wednesday - 07/01/15

Motor Vehicle Sales
08:15 am EST - ADP Employment Report
09:45 am EST - PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 am EST - ISM Mfg Index
10:00 am EST - Construction Index
10:30 am EST - EIA Petroleum Status Report
Reporting earnings today: GBX, GIS, MKC, PAYX, STZ



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
RL 133.73 132.73 Please see the ShadowTrader Weekend Update

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 06/29/15-07/03/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Olong 50006/2544.30 n/a n/a 47.0044.18 open 44.940.64$320$22,150
  5 and 15 minute rule may be in play today.
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 06/22/15-06/26/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DECKlong 10006/1975.7006/2474.90100.00closed n/a(0.80)($80)$7,570
  Trailing stop triggered
JOElong 50006/2215.3706/2615.0717.8715.07closed n/a(0.3)($150)$7,685
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 500 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $7,685

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/28/2015 9:46:00 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - JOE Trailing Stop Triggered
June 26, 2015
 
Company: The St. Joe Company - (JOE)
Action: Trailing Stop Triggered
Entry Price: 15.37
Shares: 500
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 15.07
Target: 17.87
 
Trade Explanation:  Our long position was stopped out at 15.07.  We are now flat the stock for a small loss.
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/26/2015 1:58:07 PM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader Advisory - JOE Move the Stop
June 26, 2015
 
Company: The St. Joe Company - (JOE)
Action: Move the Stop
Entry Price: 15.37
Shares: 500
Exit Price: n/a
Stop: 15.07
Target: 17.87
 
Trade Explanation:  We moved our stop on JOE up to 15.07 which is just under the short term ascending trendline from the 06/16 low on the daily chart.
 
 
ShadowTraderPro
 
 
Please note: All emails are price sensitive. Therefore, all
recommendations, unless otherwise noted, are applicable
for 'DAY' orders only, not good-till-cancelled. If a
recommendation cannot be filled,we may choose to resend
the email the following day along with any modifications.
 
*****Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all
investors. ******
ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/26/2015 9:49:21 AM | 0 Comments
ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader 06.26.15
Swing Trader


You can get real-time alerts to your phone for this advisory by texting "follow st_swing" (without the quote marks) to 40404 on your cellphone. No twitter account is necessary.

To stop receiving alerts, simply text "off st_swing" (no quotes) to 40404

The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is your every morning dose of market reality brought to you from the resident geniuses at ShadowTrader. Each issue contains a full report on the prior day's action, including market internals, technicals, and what sectors were hot and cold. Each issue also includes the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio, which updates members on what stock plays STPro is currently engaged in officially, as well as provide a daily list of long and short setups for more self-directed traders and investors.

To get the most out of your subscription, please read our Swing Trader User's Guide

If you have any questions or comments regarding commentary or plays in this newsletter, please email to swingtrader@shadowtrader.net.

Looking Ahead

Market Outlook - Check here daily for the current S&P 500 Index Monthly, Weekly, and Daily bias.

MONTHLY - Bullish. Continued one timeframing on these charts. Momentum seems to be slowing, however, as new monthly highs are only incrementally higher.

Weekly - Bullish to neutral. Market crossed recent downtrend line but failed to close above.

Daily - Bearish. Market beginning to roll over after lower-high.

Good morning traders. In spite of a weak transportation sector ($DJT), broad market indices have not fallen apart. Maybe $DJT is too old school for some traders. Well then, perhaps the other traditional leading index, semiconductors (SOX) is "cool enough" to get some respect. If so, the chart below should be observed.

SOX is on the cusp of testing the outside ascending trendline from October 2014 lows. We've noted its recent failed breakout and lower-high, neither of which indicates strength at this stage. A break of the ascending trendline opens SOX to a potential decline to horizontal support which is 5.00% lower.

If a breakdown by SOX takes place, it should be impressive to all market observers that two traditional leading indices, $DJT and SOX, continue to weaken.

Under The Hood

When we say "under the hood" we mean market internals, ie: what was really happening behind the scenes. ShadowTraders who listen to our daily broadcast every day live on the thinkorswim platform know that all closing figures on the major averages should only be interpreted in the context of market internals. Look for convergences and divergences in the breadth, a/d line, and trin figures below to either confirm or cast doubt on what all those talking heads on TV are telling you.

Dow Jones Industrial Average17890.36-75.71-0.42%
S&P 500 Index2102.31-6.27-0.30%
Nasdaq Composite5112.18-10.22-0.20%
Nasdaq 1004514.00-10.58-0.23%
Russell 20001283.28-0.64-0.05%
Spot Gold1171.80-0.80-0.07%
Crude Oil59.73-0.50-0.83%
NYSE Overall Volume3,227,847Kn/a+6.07%
Nasdaq Overall Volume1,593,721Kn/a-0.64%
NYSE Breadth2.45 : 1negative
Nasdaq Breadth1.49 : 1negative
NYSE Breadth Ratio28.95
Nasdaq Breadth Ratio40.22
NYSE Advancers/Decliners-869
Nasdaq Advancers/Decliners-250
NYSE Trin1.37
Nasdaq Trin1.24
$VIX14.010.75
Market Profile and Pivot Points for ES and NQ for Friday
 
How to put value areas and breadth bubbles on your charts - click here
ES
NQ
Value Area High 2107.00 4538.25
Point of Control 2105.00 4525.25
Value Area Low 2095.50 4512.75
R3 2118.924572.42
R2 2113.334556.08
R1 2103.674532.67
Pivot 2098.084516.33
S1 2088.424492.92
S2 2082.834476.58
S3 2073.174453.17


ShadowTrader Sector Trend Scores

The ShadowTrader Sector Trend Score matrix is a proprietary method of assigning values to twenty five sectors that are a representative cross-section of the market as a whole. The heat map in the trend score column defines the current strength or weakness of that sector using a proprietary weighting formula. Sectors bolded in green and red are the two sectors that experienced the largest absolute gain and loss in trend score over the prior day. We strongly urge subscribers to read the full explanation of the meaning and calculation of the trend scores in the Swing Trader User's Guide.



Twenty of twenty five ShadowTrader Sectors closed lower on Thursday. $DJUSRE and UTY both triggerred oversold signals with a fifth consecutive lower close. Beyond this, no other sectors, nor the broad market, are overbought or oversold at this time.

Heads Up

Up and coming economic and corporate data that may move markets this week:


Today - 06/26/15

10:00 am EST - Consumer Sentiment
Reporting earnings today: FINL


Monday - 06/29/15

10:00 am EST - Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 am EST - Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
Reporting earnings today: No stocks price $20 or higher with daily average volume of 500k or more reporting earnings.


Tuesday - 06/30/2015

09:00 am EST - S&P Case-Schiller HPI
09:45 am EST - Chicago PMI
10:00 am EST - Consumer Confidence
Reporting earnings today: CAG



Bulls and Bears

This section is for self-directed traders and investors who like to "do it themselves". Every trading day, Bulls and Bears will list long and short equity setups with defined entries and stops. Note: A listing in this section does NOT necessarily mean that the stock will end up as a part of the ShadowTraderPro Model Portfolio. Plays listed here change daily and are not managed or tracked by ShadowTrader unless traded via MyTrade posting.

Long Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
RL 135.50 132.00 Please see yesterday's ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader

Short Ideas

 Symbol Trigger Price Stop Price Notes
None

ShadowTrader Model Portfolio

The matrix below shows all current ShadowTrader Pro plays in the Model Portfolio. The Model Portfolio contains only those plays that are sent out in real-time via posting to MyTrade or text message to your phone. Bulls and Bears plays above are not actively managed or tracked. Current open positions are on top, with positions that were closed in the current calendar week on the bottom. Closed positions are moved out of the matrix on Monday mornings and posted in our performance page here.


To get the most out of your subscription and for detailed instructions on how to structure your own portfolio, read our Swing Trader User's Guide


OPEN POSITIONS - week of 06/22/15-06/26/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
Olong 50006/2544.30 n/a n/a 47.0074.90 open 44.420.12$60$22,150
  Entered at descending trendline support
JOElong 50006/2215.37 n/a n/a 17.8714.90 open 15.15(0.22)($110)$7,685
  Follow through lower close on lower volume
CLOSED POSITIONS - week of 06/22/15-06/26/15
sym dir size date
entered
entry
price
date
closed
exit
price
target stop status mark
to
market
p&l
points
p&l
capital
capital
commit
DECKlong 10006/1975.7006/2474.90100.00closed n/a(0.80)($80)$7,570
  Trailing stop triggered
TOTALS: 500 open shares (open capital committed doesn't include closed trades) $7,685

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2015

Click here for year to date Model Portfolio Performance - 2014

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2013

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2012

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2011

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2010

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2009

Click here for Model Portfolio Performance - 2008

All content © 2014 by ShadowTrader Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer and Waiver of Claims: The ShadowTraderPro Swing Trader is a newsletter service, designed as supplemental material for the ShadowTraderPro Newsletter subscription service and it is not intended to be a stand alone newsletter. The risk of loss in the trading of any securities products can be substantial. The strategies mentioned here are active trading strategies, therefore you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your personal investment objectives and financial resources. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Past performance of any trades mentioned never guarantees future results.

Securities and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the characteristics and risks of standardized options.

ShadowTrader Swing Trader | 6/25/2015 10:09:48 PM | 0 Comments